Windows 8

Poll: What development rumor do you predict will come true in 2012?

Windows Phone 7, Windows 8, RIM, Adobe, and mobile devices are topics of some development rumors for 2012. Let us know which rumor you think will come true this year.

There are a ton of rumors swirling around that will dramatically impact developers if they come true. Some people suspect that Microsoft will make Windows 8 light enough for a phone and replace the WP7 line with Windows 8, which would be very transparent for the most part. RIM has been following Palm's path for a few years now, and there is definitely a "waiting for the other shoe to drop" feeling about the BlackBerry maker. Mobile devices are poised to replace desktops and laptops for many users, and the introduction of universal docking stations for Windows 8, iPhone/iPad, or Android would go a long way to making that happen, especially if they provide additional computing and video horsepower. And from where I sit, I could see Adobe deciding the pull the plug on Flash.

Which of these rumors do you think will happen in 2012? Unfortunately, our polling tool only allows voters to select one answer, so please choose the story that you think is most likely to come true this year.

J.Ja

About

Justin James is the Lead Architect for Conigent.

13 comments
Tony Hopkinson
Tony Hopkinson like.author.displayName like.author.displayName 2 Like

Okay I was being silly. How about the desktop will die... This is IT. Change is a given, I predict none of the the things that are rumoured will happen as and or when and probably how some non-technical person predicted.....

rrusson_z
rrusson_z like.author.displayName 1 Like

All predictions seem likely, but realistically no earlier than 2013 on the Flash and RIM obits. and closer to 2015 (probably later) on Windows devices having a common code base and mobiles replacing desktops. There's just too much that needs to happen first.

Albert Myles
Albert Myles

These might be picky questions but I think they are important: 1) When you say RIM goes under, do you mean merge with another company or go completely out of business? 2) What is considered a mobile device? Apple, famously claimed, at one point, that laptops were mobile devices. Is it the OS? Is it the form factor? is it both?

Justin James
Justin James

1. Means that they no longer operate as a stand alone company... get bought out or out of business, all the same. 2. Tablet or smartphone is the industry definition of "mobile device". A "convertable PC" running full blown Windows could fit into either category. A "slate PC" running Windows is a "mobile device". J.Ja

Sterling chip Camden
Sterling chip Camden like.author.displayName 1 Like

... but that's probably just wishful thinking. I think the death of RIM is far more probable.

SafeInAFlash
SafeInAFlash

1) Adobe Flash 2) Flash drives 3) Superhero Flash

Justin James
Justin James

My suspicion is 2013 for that one. I'm feeling good on the Windows 8/WP7 merger personally. I would be calling RIM on this, but Palm took a lot longer to go down than I thought... Palm in 2001/2002 is where RIM is now, and they held out for something like 6 or 7 years past that point. But RIM's velocity is definitely terminal at this point... J.Ja

Albert Myles
Albert Myles

I think the most likely scenarios is that RIM focuses on services possible merging with another company. RIM still, after all these years, has the messaging stuff on lock. No one else has been able to crack it, and that market is still there. Flash? I can see it happening this year but more likely next year.

Sterling chip Camden
Sterling chip Camden

... one of the most important qualities is cachet. Both Android and iOS have their own share of that, but RIM has lost it. Oddly, I see signs of WP7 getting some for Microsoft. RIM would have to release something totally mind-blowing and unexpected to have any shot at survival.