Banking

Five megatrends that will affect you in 2011

Executive leadership coach John M McKee discusses five megatrends he thinks will impact most of us.

Whatever your perspective, how you feel about 2011 at the end of next December will be affected by how you manage the year's opportunities and deal with its hassles. To a real extent, much of that is in your own hands. However, you are also going to be affected by global mega-events and trends.

If you're thoughtful and strategic, the odds are better that you'll be celebrating a good year. If not -- or if you try to ignore the big stuff -- you may find this new year to be rough. With that in mind, here are five megatrends that I expect will affect us all, one way or another:

1. The global recovery is for real - Although threats remain, and some regions will take longer to return to "normal," we're past the worst of it. Expect organizations to start acquiring and increase hiring (although that will be more part timers than in the past). The stock market, after two great growth years, will continue to pay off for smart investors. The United States will continue to keep the currency value down. As of today, Canada's buck is at parity, and the OZ $ and the Yen have been greatly impacted as well. 2. Wellness takes the stage - Good health will become more of a status symbol than ever before. Those who continue to be sloths (even great performers) will lose "value" internally at corporations, while healthy looking individuals who appear to have greater stamina will move ahead more quickly. Organizations that market health or wellness products that can fix ailments or prevent misery will grow faster as consumers seek to be seen as healthy and wise. Outdoor activity will become more "status-y." 3. BRIC grows more important - The countries of Brazil, Russia, India, and China will affect everyone, worldwide, even more. Investments in people, facilities, natural resources, and infrastructure will continue at the current fast pace in many areas of these countries. At the same time, "older" (in terms of the twentieth-century growth) countries of the Western world will be cutting back on similar spending for years to come as they try to deal with debt management. 4. EnGen Era is on the rise - In the Western countries, the end of gender wars is nearing an end. A new era where gender roles and lifestyle are less rigid is spilling across all aspects of life. In the United States especially, there is much higher male unemployment, and consequently the "bread winners" are more frequently female. Additionally younger people still want children, and there's greater awareness that old role models were pretty fictitious anyway. With this comes greater integration of tech and art on the job front. 5. World continues love/hate relationship with the United States - Many people around the world enjoyed watching the struggles experienced by the United States over the past two years. It's almost like when you see an uppity person slip on a patch of ice and fall on his tail. It's a "They got what was due to them" kind of thing. And yet, when I deal with my clients, subscribers, and colleagues around the world, it's still very clear that there are many things about the States that they deeply admire and desire. Additionally, the United States accounts for 1/4 of the world's economy. It invests in fighting wars, at least partially, to prevent horrible situations for poor people and/or women in other parts of the world.

Here's to your future!

John

About

John M. McKee is the founder and CEO of BusinessSuccessCoach.net, an international consulting and coaching practice with subscribers in 43 countries. One of the founding senior executives of DIRECTV, his hands-on experience includes leading billion d...

29 comments
spfitton
spfitton

This has to be one of the worst so called tech articles I've ever read. Gender wars? Fictitious gender role models? Investment in wars? Is this techrepublic.com or moveon.org?

CharlieSpencer
CharlieSpencer

"It (the US) invests in fighting wars, at least partially, to prevent horrible situations for poor people and/or women in other parts of the world." Gods of us all. I'd hate to think I served for the benefit of anyone other than US citizens, and hate even more the assumed 'investment' of American servicemen's lives as a tool of economic policy. I await a response, but John isn't noted for replying to his content. Should he follow pattern of not defending his positions, I look forward to completely ignoring him in the future.

Oz_Media
Oz_Media

1) Canuck buck is at parity - is not a good thing for Canada' seonomy actually. As we rely on exports of grains, lumber, fish, oil etc. to the US,traded in US dollars, for every penny the US dollar evens out, we lose millions/billions in national and provincial revenue. This in turn raises trade prices to the US and impacts the price you pay at the punp too of course. 2) Wellness takes the stage, welcome to the club, after a while you realize what a monet grabbing and discriminatory farce it all is. 3)A global era (BRIC) which has been a realityhere for decades already and is finally being ignored by the US in order to take shape while the US has more internal issues to focus on. 4)" A new era where gender roles and lifestyle are less rigid" catching up to the rest of the western world at last. Don't worry you'll have Republicans in power again and women will all put their aprons back on and head back to the kitchen as they are told to. 5)"Many people around the world enjoyed watching the struggles experienced by the United States over the past two years." Make it 200+ years. Your economy is as reliant on the rest of the world providing you with the resources you need to live and finction day to day, as any other country needs your money. America couldno tfunction even in the most basic ways, without global trades. Many other countries can. As for the fighting wars to help people in need around the world, you've been watching too much TV I think. It is known worldwide that the US doesn't invest in anything it case it expects to gain control of another, gain the resources or another or gain in SOME way for the US. You aren't seen by anyone as being like Gandhi or Mother Theresa.

tmcclure
tmcclure

1. The global recovery is for real. Duh! did you think capitalism was dead? 2. Wellness takes the stage. Owning a Prius used to be a status symbol too. 3. BRIC grows more important. Not so sure about Russia, the rule of law seems to be lackadaisical. This makes Russia unstable. 4. EnGen era on the rise. This is not new. 5. Love/hate the USA. This is not a popularity contest. We are the freest country in the world making us the most prosperous. Of course people will hate us.

admin
admin

Interesting perception from someone who bases their livelihood on wanting people to feel like there is hope in the future! You actually make it sound like the US is in control of things (keeping the dollar down). Do you actually have any knowledge in this area? The debt that the country has with China is not a concern? Investments leaving your shores faster than any other country. And "investing" in war...you are kidding aren't you? I thought this was a forum for the tech heads of the world, not a forum for uneducated global perspectives on all things non-tech?!?

maclovin
maclovin

Yeah, well, as soon as employers actually start caring about the hours spent to keep things running....ah whatever....

Al_nyc
Al_nyc

This reads, and I give it as much credibility, as a horoscope. I can't believe you decided to "print" this article. Unemployment is at record highs and continues to grow. How can the worst be over?

alistair.k
alistair.k

My brother lives in Asia. "What recession?" he keeps asking. I live in the UK. "What recovery?" I keep asking... The US may well be moving into recovery but its not a homogenous global economy. Greece, Ireland, Spain, Italy... Europe is still in trouble and the UK is teetering on the brink of a double-dip in its recession as many of the public sector job cuts got deferred out until February/March 2011... Worst retail figures for Christmas in a long time, a couple of big UK chains reporting sales down as much as 18-20%. Significant private sector employment is based on public spending here. Something like 20% of the UK IT spend is [was!] from Big Govt! With the change of administration and the cuts coming in now a lot of the big suppliers to HMGov are hurting too. I have no idea what a colapse of the European economy would be in the US. As a single entity Europe is a significant player and depending on how you cut the figures can be seen as the single largest economy in the world. (albeit, not a single economy...) if the whole blok goes down I don't see how that won't affect other economies and their performance. I'd like to sit here in December and look back at all the confident predictions for 2011 and see which came true. If I had the time I'd be reviewing 2010's right now... If I end 2011 still owning my house I'll consider it a good year.

dranallo
dranallo

The global recovery is for real? Real like central banks around the world propping up their failed domestic businesses while devaluing their currency and decreasing our purchasing power? Yes, those are the fundamentals I'm seeking. And your non-sense about the US fighting wars to help children is the very definition of "American exceptionalism". Tell that little lie to the 100K dead Iraqi's + the 3M+ refugees in that area.

kdickson
kdickson

Do You believe the US does this: "It invests in fighting wars, at least partially, to prevent horrible situations for poor people and/or women in other parts of the world." They are the cause most of the time! Wake UP!

spunkygermanicus
spunkygermanicus

I was expecting more buzzword laden digital flatulence about the power of the cloud and how the consumerization of IT will synergize with it to empower the mobile knowledge worker who will be using a tablet PC to create social content. It was a refreshing departure. Do the usual staff writers have off today?

charlie.vantoen
charlie.vantoen

One of the reasons there is a"dislike" of America (meaning the US) in the world is dumb comments such as this one. On what criteria is this statement based - prison population - highest in world; business freedom - who caused the global meltdown?, etc, etc. As many of the other commentators have expressed, this is a very US view of the world and if we now have a global economy, one cannot ignore the financial situations elsewhere. Working in a global economy requires requires a global vision not just that in your own backyard.

R!nzl3r
R!nzl3r

Why? Proof A: This is a blog. Proof B: The Author's job discription: Technical/PC Support Lighten up a bit... don't read this post if it's not tech enough. And if you know better, you are not showing it with that comment...

RikDee
RikDee

Having briefly lived in that impressive country that is way ahead of the BRIC (and even USA, Canada) etc in many areas (e.g. technology, transportation, health care) it annoys me that they get left out of BRIC.

jtnieves
jtnieves

...how the author slipped in that nonsense about the US investing in wars? I got stuck on "investing" as opposed to fighting. I found that to be more than a subtle Freudian slip because "investing" in war is exactly what our country has done the last 10 years. War and weapons are our biggest export product. As for unemployment going down and the recovery being real, that's BS, too. Yeah, many U.S. companies are doing well, and doing most of their new hiring outside the country.

rjbrown94
rjbrown94

LMAO! Wars cause horrible situations for everyone, no matter who or where you are. Not prevent them. You and the people feeding you that crap are idiots.

alistair.k
alistair.k

But being as this is an American based site was going to let it slide... :)

Con_123456
Con_123456

This item is completely stupid. The current movement has nothing common with equality, which was achieved in the 19th century. The current so-called "gender wars" that are actually nothing else than a war of feminists (representing only themselves, not all women) against white men will not finish unless the Final Solution of the Man Question is reached. i.e. - all families without men, children stolen out from their fathers and vice versa (all, not only most of them like today) - almost all money earned by men stolen by government and given to women (not only most of them as today) - total discrimination and persecution of men at the work, law, court and in all the other areas of social life (not only the horrible like today) - total undemocratic law distortion, public stultification etc. against men, housewives and two-parent (non-lesban) families - everything leading to men's short and poor life, even bigger bullying and abuse of men, leading to their miserable existence on the margins of society (or in prison), status similar to slavery, even shorter life end up homeless without any help. Then the war will be over. We still have a long way, anyway.

jonniva
jonniva

Makes no sense. What gender wars? People do what they need to given their reality (e.g., economic circumstances). Desiring children, therefore role models are fictitious, therefore tech and art in the workplace? Sounds like it was written with random subjects by a computer. Might be tech in your workplace, but certainly not art.

gameuprob
gameuprob

Great one spunky You made my morning with that post. I find that John McKee's article's are very informative and provide valuable insight into our industry. I look forward to reading his articles and always find something of value to myself and what I am doing and in helping me to prepare for the future in the IT game.

Steve__Jobs
Steve__Jobs

Agreed. This was a clearly crafted article where it is obvious that the writer has evolved beyond the need for buzz words to impress. Other contributers, take note: the real subject matter expert does not need to fluff.

tmcclure
tmcclure

What country would you say offers more freedom and opportunity than the US? I'm not saying it is perfect. In fact our government is getting worse by the day. But it is still a hell of a lot better than the statist governments of Europe and Asia. I agree our government has caused great harm to our economy. So has the governments of other counties. If you want to fix the economy, limit governments power.

brian.sinclair-james
brian.sinclair-james

While there's no doubt the US has engaged in armed conflict with it's own interests in mind, there used to be a perception among people around the world that the US was fighting in the interests of freedom and democracy, and that wasn't complete bs. With WWII a distant memory and the end of the cold war, that perception plummeted. To the extent that it re-emerges with global terrorism and aggression from 3rd countries, that perception may shift again.

Richard Turpin
Richard Turpin

Those of us that have been very fortunate to travel the world in the course of our employment know that there are an awful lot of free countries in this world which are all magnanimous in their own right. The statement of being the freest country in the world is a common remark from someone who has never been any where else. Add to this that the respondent obviously has no idea as to what Europe is or possibly where it is? Excellent reply Charlie and I am envious of the beautiful country that you live in.

charlie.vantoen
charlie.vantoen

Check out your next door neighbour ( to the north). What about the Scandinavian countries; Australia, NZ. What are your criteria for "freest"? It's the assumption / blanket statement that riles many of us. And assuming that limiting governments power will help fix the economy is just plain scary.