for all those people thinking that Cisco certs specially the CCIE certifications will guarantee them a 6 figure paycheck.
His second to the last paragraph on page 4 pretty much spells out what's in store for the IT engineers looking for jobs. To quote: " Don't get me wrong, the engine room is critical. But it needs fewer engineers to keep it running -- or should -- than in the early days. If the engine room is your passion, become a Scotty. But don't stay an ensign, because not many will be needed in the years to come".
The key point Mr. Gruman is saying is that that many large businesses are getting rid of their large staffs of engineers because they don't need them anymore. Large businesses are no longer willing to spend enormous sums of money on IT, on a continual basis and outsourcing their IT services to Cloud providers to reduce costs associated with IT.
IT hardware and software manufacturers are embracing the Cloud because if they don't, the Telecoms like AT&T, Verizon will merge IT [computers] into phone service with "use for 6 months and toss" smart phones along with businesses embracing the BYO smart phones, laptops, and the days of laptops, desktops and servers that businesses buy will dry up to nothing.
So the IT industry will no longer be what it was and is today. Businesses hiring IT workers. Businesses will buy IT services from " Internet based" IT providers and shed their IT departments. While CCIEs will be in demand there will be a small number of Internet Based IT provier companies that hire them to run the infrastructure. The app developers will also see a reduction as the small number of Internet Based IT providers that create them don't need fleets of developers. An app is simply a small foot print, Web based, front end to remote database.
Even field service techs won't be in demand as the smart phones take over computing from laptops and desktops. Smart phones are, use and toss because the O/S is firmware and apps are stored in SD or flash memory.
So while my view of IT is pretty bleak, the evolution of smart phones by Telecoms is what's driving the IT industry today. IT industry has to move to make smart devices or the Telecoms will take over what traditionally was IT.
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