It is not just premature, it is incorrect. One of the biggest drivers of 'Cloud' solutions is going to be agile solution development and integration.
That means teams of folks.
That means Zero PM roles and less prominent PMI influenced budgets that choke IT departments and hinder solution specialist from doing what the customer wants.
There is no question that a fair share of IT has been and will continue to be outsourced, however, his article related specifically to solutions that are developed internally, and frankly he is way, way off.
Agile (SCRUM, XP, TDD) are all very relevant in the conversation.
I would suggest you will begin to see an IT generalist appear in the marketplace.
Someone with Good to Great Technical Skills (Testing, System Analysis, Development/DBA etc) and a balance/blend of customer service/people skills.
Gartner and others consistently say, and even TR reported recently, there is not a shortage of IT skills, there is a shortage of IT people who can interact with the customer effectively.
See here one example...
http://www.techrepublic.com/blog/career/top-it-skills-wanted-for-2012/3503Note the desire for PM's with a twist?
The evolution of solution development is coming, it may be glacial in movement, but when DHS announces they are going agile, you should take note!
http://www.informationweek.com/news/government/enterprise-architecture/232601660IMHO
