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Wicked problems and prediction
The epistemological issues of predicting social-technological development is taken up in this recent publication:

Wicked Problems Social Messes: Decision support Modelling with Morphological Analysis. Springer, 2011.

You can see a description at:

http://www.springer.com/business+%26+management/technology+management/book/978-3-642-19652-2

Regards,

Tom Ritchey
SweMorph
Posted by tomritchey
6th Sep