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Reports and numbers
I think the problem with statistics, and I've proven this before with Linux, OS X and Windows, is that there is no consistent, reliable and easy to check way to confirm all the numbers. It is very difficult to get the numbers on a level playing field, and so you're left making some qualified guesses on either side.

Here is what I think is readily apparent. Android is growing. Android has a lot of good will. Android has lots of forward momentum, Android has lots of flexibility. This kind of model in technology has always traditionally been a key component to success in the long haul as devices change from luxuries to commodities.

Apple has never sold as commodity products - and this hurts them when their industries change from luxury items to commodity items. It happened with 8 bit, it happened with 16/32 bit, and it'll probably eventually happen with mobile computing. Really, it already is, and I think almost everyone knows that. The company is large, stale, not as innovative, making mistakes, slower to react, and losing consumer good will at an alarming rate. At one point Windows Mobile dominated the mobile device OS market. Even Palm was putting Windows Mobile on the Treo as opposed to PalmOS. Within a matter of months, Apple destroyed their market viability in mobile, and caused a significant cooling in their entire core business. Things can change rapidly in these industries.

Samsung is supposed to be the most dominant smartphone builder globally at the moment. I believe that. They've replaced Apple as #1. Android handsets outnumber Apple handsets. That has been the case for awhile. Android tablets inevitably are gaining and are almost certain to exceed iPad tablet numbers next year, as I predicted months ago. The trend in that regard is clear. That doesn't mean all of your points are wrong. Sure, there are a lot of cheap and off brand Android devices in those numbers. Sure, customer satisfaction isn't as great (it has never been as great for Windows PCs as for OS X machines, either, but OS X has less than 20% of the market and Microsoft has just under 80% and that is a OS X HIGH and a Windows LOW), but that doesn't really matter with the numbers we're talking about.

Android is on track to be the "Windows" of mobile platforms, in multiple senses of that thought. iOS looks to be declining into the role of the Macintosh of the mobile platforms.

What you've got to wonder is where Microsoft fits in there. Sony once felt very secure as the king of console gaming. Microsoft is a determined competitor.
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Posted by dcolbert@...
31st Jan

Would you like to take this discussion to the Water Cooler?

No Thanks