a race to the bottom.
Okay, I'm exaggerating, but I don't see the "promise" in this prognosis. It sounds like a scramble to avoid the bottom rather than a scramble to the top.
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A report (on here I think) had business complaining that there aren't enough basic IT people in the UK due to outsourcing and so staff could not get a foothold on the IT ladder making IT a poor career choice. This will only compound it.
But that's where our gov't is driving the economy. This applies to business, not just IT.
as many companies, including mine is operating on such basis since 2000... but nevertheless, a good insight.
and he sees EVERYTHING from a geek perspective. it is too much distorted towards electronic tech stuff for which most people don't understand or care. most people just want a stable economy and job market. that doesn't require the quantum leap in hi tech wizardry described in this article.
Phew! Don't even know where to start on this one.
Most of these have, indeed, been underway for years. And a few won't materialize at all. Agree with therlacher this is a geek's perspective, not one from a real business person. Embedded in here are hopes rather than realities, and many - like BYOD will slowly take various forms, working for some organizations and not others.
And how easy is it to prognosticate that some things will both expand and contract. And these newly, massively mobile workers - who will need even more structure to be productive - will require years of management and executive retraining while many companies scramble to deal with the fallout from this kind of transition. Etc.
Sheesh! Not worth diving into further. Quite the futurist. He should re-read Drucker.
Most of these have, indeed, been underway for years. And a few won't materialize at all. Agree with therlacher this is a geek's perspective, not one from a real business person. Embedded in here are hopes rather than realities, and many - like BYOD will slowly take various forms, working for some organizations and not others.
And how easy is it to prognosticate that some things will both expand and contract. And these newly, massively mobile workers - who will need even more structure to be productive - will require years of management and executive retraining while many companies scramble to deal with the fallout from this kind of transition. Etc.
Sheesh! Not worth diving into further. Quite the futurist. He should re-read Drucker.
Given the US government's cavalier atitude to private files stored on Megaupload (yes, it was also used for perfectly legitamate business as well as piracy) and its renewel of claiming jurisdiction over all data held on US servers even by non US entities, the cloud is highly unlikely to take off the way people keep predicting. Store something that's legal in your jurisdiction but illegal in the US? You could well be facing court.
Secondly, the realisation that once it's on a cloud server it is out of your control. The Instatgram fiasco demonstrates this kind of attitude nicely.
Private cloud, hosted on servers in your company's legall jurisdiction with a detailed contract specifying what the host can (and cannot do) with the data may be acceptable (or even larger companies hosting their own?)
Until the legal aspects are sorted out (never mind all the security aspects, crap internet access in many places - I loved the bit about uploading via a 10Mb/s. Here in the UK a download of that speed can often be considered good!), cloud is not something I would recommend to anyone.
Secondly, the realisation that once it's on a cloud server it is out of your control. The Instatgram fiasco demonstrates this kind of attitude nicely.
Private cloud, hosted on servers in your company's legall jurisdiction with a detailed contract specifying what the host can (and cannot do) with the data may be acceptable (or even larger companies hosting their own?)
Until the legal aspects are sorted out (never mind all the security aspects, crap internet access in many places - I loved the bit about uploading via a 10Mb/s. Here in the UK a download of that speed can often be considered good!), cloud is not something I would recommend to anyone.
I don't see any conflict in having data stored on US-based servers being subject to US law. If you put physical goods in a 'self-storage' warehouse, your goods are subject to the laws of that warehouse's physical location. Why would data be any different? The key is to do your research up front and find out where you're putting your information and what laws apply, the same way you would if you were shipping physical goods overseas.
Would someone explain to me the difference between 'private cloud' and the traditional client-server model?
Would someone explain to me the difference between 'private cloud' and the traditional client-server model?
The 'new economy', fewer full-time jobs, leading to more part-time jobs and small businesses? Let's reword that beyond the government-style optimistic spin...
Businesses will downsize, people will lose their permanent jobs and have to either scrap it out for lower-paying part-time jobs, or start/join small businesses that will struggle to make ends meet due to the dramatic rise in competition. More of 'the rich get richer, and screw the middle-class/poor'?
Businesses will downsize, people will lose their permanent jobs and have to either scrap it out for lower-paying part-time jobs, or start/join small businesses that will struggle to make ends meet due to the dramatic rise in competition. More of 'the rich get richer, and screw the middle-class/poor'?
A continuing growth of "The end justifies the means" ethic, which is no ethic at all.
Continuing chaos as management and government continues to prove that they don't have a clue about what's going on and no clue as how to resolve the issues.
Total abandonment of any kind of project management in favor of "do it now (expletive deleted), we don't have time for planning!".
Continuing disdain and contempt for those with integrity insisting that process be followed.
Continued contempt for highly skilled professional technologists, with the hope that businesses and governments can get by paying incompetents part time to resolve technologies beyond their ken.
Growing fantasy amongst managers, directors and CEOs about the glowing reports of useless solutions by snake oil salesmen.
Increasing panic among managers going, "Shoot, what do we do now?!".
Growing problems with frustrated people doing insane things.
IT professionals catching on that psychopaths are running everything and doing considerable research to survive using such resources as "Snakes in Suits", "The Management Trap", "Moral Mazes" and maybe the DSM-IV, since management these days is pretty much crazy.
Continuing chaos as management and government continues to prove that they don't have a clue about what's going on and no clue as how to resolve the issues.
Total abandonment of any kind of project management in favor of "do it now (expletive deleted), we don't have time for planning!".
Continuing disdain and contempt for those with integrity insisting that process be followed.
Continued contempt for highly skilled professional technologists, with the hope that businesses and governments can get by paying incompetents part time to resolve technologies beyond their ken.
Growing fantasy amongst managers, directors and CEOs about the glowing reports of useless solutions by snake oil salesmen.
Increasing panic among managers going, "Shoot, what do we do now?!".
Growing problems with frustrated people doing insane things.
IT professionals catching on that psychopaths are running everything and doing considerable research to survive using such resources as "Snakes in Suits", "The Management Trap", "Moral Mazes" and maybe the DSM-IV, since management these days is pretty much crazy.
Can you pay just a little more attention to your grammar and spelling? I would feel very embarrassed if, with all the knowledge, degrees and titles, I could not write English correctly. Specially the English language! I am not British, OK?
geeks wanting chaotic change won't get much traction in companies where talented business people reside.
business people in good paying positions worked hard to get there and will not let geeks come in and upset the apple cart.
but this doesn't mean talented business people in good paying positions always do the right thing the right way.
the author of 2013 Trends... is a futurist so with that in mind, things could lead in that direction since its the futurist's interest to see which way the wind is blowing.
what seems to be obvious to everyone, degree or no-degree, is the rich will pray for and I promise you, find even more ways to squeeze the rest of us out of a good salary for the hard work we perform.
business people in good paying positions worked hard to get there and will not let geeks come in and upset the apple cart.
but this doesn't mean talented business people in good paying positions always do the right thing the right way.
the author of 2013 Trends... is a futurist so with that in mind, things could lead in that direction since its the futurist's interest to see which way the wind is blowing.
what seems to be obvious to everyone, degree or no-degree, is the rich will pray for and I promise you, find even more ways to squeeze the rest of us out of a good salary for the hard work we perform.
If this trend does continue, where are all these companies going to get customers? I can't wait until this continual squeeze of companies to make more money and pay workers less comes to a head. This is my prediction for the next bubble...
...I just love knee jerk reactions, unfortunately they now seem to rule the world....
Peter Cochrane
Peter Cochrane
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