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I fully agree with your assessment. Even SF novelists like Frank Herbert saw guilds in our future. They are most useful in highly creative fields, such as the arts. Software and Hardware development are as much an art as a science, especially as thescience advances.
Guilds can be more effective than unions when working with an entire industry (such as the entertainment industry).
On the other hand, guilds can force industries to unite, simply to bargain at that level and a guild member either must leave the guild to explore other career paths(the same problem exists within unions) or be willing to call their career choice their home for the rest of their life. Aside from that, the guild approach is a sensible one for the IT IS industry... and perhaps, it would not be a bad idea for more than one to exist, since the computer industry, like the entertainment industry, has many different aspects.