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Cardiff Business School
(49 results)-
White Papers
Optimal Indexation Of Government Bonds And Monetary Policy
January 1, 2011, 12:00am PST
Using an overlapping generations model in which the young save for old age using indexed and nominal government bonds, this paper investigates how optimal indexation is influenced by monetary...
Provided by Cardiff Business School
-
White Papers
Economic Policy: Protectionism As An Elite Strategy
January 1, 2009, 12:00am PST
The EU has pursued protectionist policies not merely in food but also in manufacturing at the customs union level. In services it has not dismantled much of the existing national protectionism....
Provided by Cardiff Business School
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White Papers
Basic, Applied And Experimental Knowledge And Productivity: Further Evidence
January 1, 2011, 12:00am PST
Analyzing a novel dataset the authors find significantly positive effects of basic, and applied and experimental knowledge stocks on domestic output and productivity for a panel of 10 OECD...
Provided by Cardiff Business School
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White Papers
Motivated Sellers In The Housing Market
March 1, 2010, 12:00am PST
The authors present a search-and-matching model of the housing market where potential buyers' willingness to pay is private information and sellers may become desperate as they are unable to sell....
Provided by Cardiff Business School
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White Papers
The Greek Debt Crisis: Likely Causes, Mechanics And Outcomes
April 1, 2010, 12:00am PDT
The authors use insights from the literature on currency crises to offer an analytical treatment of the crisis in the market for Greek government bonds. They argue that the crisis itself and its...
Provided by Cardiff Business School
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White Papers
Immiserizing Growth And The Metzler Paradox In The Ricardian Model
July 1, 2009, 12:00am PDT
Conditions for the occurrence of immiserizing growth and the Metzler paradox are analysed in the Ricardian model when consumers in the foreign country have Leontief preferences while consumers in...
Provided by Cardiff Business School
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White Papers
The Option Of Last Resort: A Two-Currency EMU
November 1, 2010, 12:00am PDT
The key ingredients of the authors' proposal involve a temporary split of the euro into two currencies, both run by the European Central Bank. The hard euro will be maintained by the core-EMU...
Provided by Cardiff Business School
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White Papers
Risk Management And Managerial Efficiency In Chinese Banks: A Network DEA
April 1, 2010, 12:00am PDT
Risk Management in Chinese banks has traditionally been the Cinderella of its internal functions. Political structure and developmental imperative have often overridden standard practice of risk...
Provided by Cardiff Business School
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White Papers
A Correction Function Approach To Solve The Incidental Parameter Problem
March 1, 2009, 12:00am PST
The authors propose a strategy to solve the incidental parameter problem. The method is demonstrated under a simple panel Poisson count model. They also extend the strategy to accommodate cases...
Provided by Cardiff Business School
-
White Papers
Consistent Estimation, Model Selection And Averaging Of Dynamic Panel Data Models With Fixed Effect
March 1, 2009, 12:00am PST
In the context of an autoregressive panel data model with fixed effect, the authors examine the relationship between consistent parameter estimation and consistent model selection. Consistency in...
Provided by Cardiff Business School
-
White Papers
The Horizon Effect Of Stock Return Predictability And Model Uncertainty On Portfolio Choice: UK Evidence
August 1, 2009, 12:00am PDT
The authors study how stock return's predictability and model uncertainty affect a rational buy-and-hold investor's decision to allocate her wealth for different lengths of investment horizons in...
Provided by Cardiff Business School
-
White Papers
The Strength And Persistence Of Entrepreneurial Cultures
July 1, 2010, 12:00am PDT
The twentieth century United States provides a natural experiment to measure the strength and persistence of entrepreneurial cultures. Assuming immigrants bear the cultures of their birth place,...
Provided by Cardiff Business School
-
White Papers
Some Problems In The Testing Of DSGE Models
December 18, 2009, 12:00am PST
The authors review the methods used in many papers to evaluate DSGE models by comparing their simulated moments and other features with data equivalents. They note that they select, scale and...
Provided by Cardiff Business School
-
White Papers
Efficiency And Convergence In The Jamaican Banking Sector 1998-2007
December 1, 2009, 12:00am PST
Deregulation, re-regulation and continuing globalization embody an imperative that banks increase efficiency to survive. The authors employ non-parametric bootstrap DEA to measure technical...
Provided by Cardiff Business School
-
White Papers
Two Orthogonal Continents? Testing A Two-Country DSGE Model Of The US And The EU Using Indirect Inference
December 1, 2009, 12:00am PST
The authors examine a two country model of the EU and the US. Each has a small sector of the labor and product markets in which there is wage/price rigidity, but otherwise enjoys flexible wages...
Provided by Cardiff Business School
-
White Papers
Exchange Rate Uncertainty And Deviations From Purchasing Power Parity: Evidence From The G7 Area
November 1, 2009, 12:00am PDT
Arghyrou, Gregoriou and Pourpourides (2009) argue that exchange rate uncertainty causes deviations from the law of one price. The authors test this hypothesis on aggregate data from the G7- area....
Provided by Cardiff Business School
-
White Papers
Taylor Rule Or Optimal Timeless Policy? Reconsidering The Fed's Behavior Since
May 1, 2010, 12:00am PDT
The authors calibrate a standard New Keynesian model with three alternative representations of monetary policy-an optimal timeless rule, a Taylor rule and another with interest rate smoothing-with...
Provided by Cardiff Business School
-
White Papers
The Monetary Policy Implications Of Behavioral Asset Bubbles
September 18, 2009, 12:00am PDT
The author introduces behavioral asset pricing rules into a wider dynamic stochastic general equilibrium framework. Asset price bubbles emerge endogenously within the model. The author finds that...
Provided by Cardiff Business School
-
White Papers
Can Behavioral Finance Models Account For Historical Asset Prices?
September 1, 2009, 12:00am PDT
The author constructs a behavioral model of asset pricing in which agents choose whether to base their expectations on chartist or fundamental forecasts. The author simulates the model in order to...
Provided by Cardiff Business School
-
White Papers
Bank Productivity In China 1997-2007: An Exercise In Measurement
September 1, 2009, 12:00am PDT
This paper examines the productivity growth of the nationwide banks of China and a sample of city commercial, banks for the eleven years to 2007. Estimates of total factor productivity growth are...
Provided by Cardiff Business School
-
White Papers
The Banking Crisis - A Rational Interpretation
July 1, 2009, 12:00am PDT
Modern macroeconomic models have been widely criticized as relying too much on rationality and market efficiency. However, basically their predictions about this crisis are being borne out by...
Provided by Cardiff Business School
-
White Papers
Peripherality And The Impact Of SME Takeovers
April 1, 2008, 12:00am PDT
If large companies buy small dynamic enterprises, and move them to the headquarters' location or elsewhere, the process could suppress regional, or dependent, economy income and productivity. The...
Provided by Cardiff Business School
-
White Papers
Real Exchange Rate Overshooting In Real Business Cycle Model-An Empirical Evidence From India
January 1, 2008, 12:00am PST
The objective of this paper is to establish the ability of a Real Business Cycle (RBC) model to account for the behaviour of the real exchange rate, using Indian data (1966- 1997). The authors...
Provided by Cardiff Business School
-
White Papers
A Unique Orthogonal Variance Decomposition
April 1, 2008, 12:00am PDT
Let e and S be respectively the vector of shocks and its variance covariance matrix in a linear system of equations in reduced form. This paper shows that a unique orthogonal variance...
Provided by Cardiff Business School
-
White Papers
Testing A DSGE Model Of The EU Using Indirect Inference
December 1, 2008, 12:00am PST
The authors use the method of indirect inference, using the bootstrap, to test the Smets and Wouters model of the EU against a VAR auxiliary equation describing their data. They find that their...
Provided by Cardiff Business School
-
White Papers
The Other Side Of The Trading Story: Evidence From NYSE
July 1, 2008, 12:00am PDT
The authors analyse the well-known TORQ dataset of trades on the NYSE over a 3-month period, breaking down transactions depending on whether the active or passive side was institutional or...
Provided by Cardiff Business School
-
White Papers
Risk Measurement And Management In A Crisis-Prone World
July 1, 2008, 12:00am PDT
The current subprime crisis has prompted the authors to look again into the nature of risk at the tail of the distribution. In particular, the authors investigate the risk contribution of an...
Provided by Cardiff Business School
-
White Papers
Commentary On Economic Projections And Rules Of Thumb For Monetary Policy
July 1, 2008, 12:00am PDT
The Taylor rule is widely seen as a good summary of what the Federal Reserve does. Though the rule cannot easily be fitted to actual data as subsequently revised, at least for a full postwar...
Provided by Cardiff Business School
-
White Papers
Inflation, Investment And Growth: A Money And Banking Approach
October 22, 2008, 12:00am PDT
Output growth, investment and the real interest rate are all found empirically to be negatively affected by inflation. But a seeming puzzle arises of opposite Tobin-like inflation effects because...
Provided by Cardiff Business School
-
White Papers
On The Cyclicality Of Real Wages And Wage Differentials
April 1, 2009, 12:00am PDT
The authors show that two models of the labor market, a Walrasian model and a labor contracting model, both have an approximate dynamic factor structure. They use this result to motivate the...
Provided by Cardiff Business School
-
White Papers
Information-Based Trade In The Shanghai Stock Market
January 1, 2008, 12:00am PST
The authors show that the probability of information-based trade played a significant role in explaining monthly returns on Shanghai A shares over the period 2001 to 2006. In particular, PIN, as...
Provided by Cardiff Business School
-
White Papers
Non-smooth Dynamics And Multiple Equilibria In A Cournot-Ramsey Model With Endogenous Markups
July 20, 2010, 12:00am PDT
The authors consider a Ramsey model with a continuum of Cournotian industries where free entry generates an endogenous markup. The model produces two different regimes, monopoly and oligopoly,...
Provided by Cardiff Business School
-
White Papers
The Single Monetary Policy And Domestic Macro-Fundamentals: Evidence From Spain
October 1, 2008, 12:00am PDT
The authors model pre-euro Spanish monetary policy and use the findings to assess the compatibility of the interest rates set by the ECB since 1999 with Spanish macro fundamentals. They find that...
Provided by Cardiff Business School
-
White Papers
Does Public Investment Boost Economic Growth? Evidence From An Open-Economy Macro Model For India
October 1, 2008, 12:00am PDT
Using annual data for India for the period 1984-2003 and employing parametric technique (GMM), the present paper jointly determines GDP growth, real exchange rate and net foreign assets in Indian...
Provided by Cardiff Business School
-
White Papers
The Effect Of Inflation On Growth: Evidence From A Panel Of Transition Countries
October 1, 2008, 12:00am PDT
The paper examines the effect of inflation on growth in transition countries. It presents panel data evidence for 13 transition countries over the 1990-2003 period; it uses a fixed effects,...
Provided by Cardiff Business School
-
White Papers
X-Efficiency Versus Rent Seeking In Chinese Banks: 1997-2006
November 1, 2008, 12:00am PDT
This paper demarcates cost-inefficiency in Chinese banks into X-inefficiency and rent-seeking-inefficiency. A protected banking market not only encourages weak management and X-inefficiency but...
Provided by Cardiff Business School
-
White Papers
US Volatility Cycles Of Output And Inflation, 1919-2004: A Money And Banking Approach To A Puzzle
November 24, 2008, 12:00am PST
The post-1983 moderation coincided with an ahistorical divergence in the money aggregate growth and velocity volatilities away from the downward trending GDP and inflation volatilities. Using an...
Provided by Cardiff Business School
-
White Papers
Heterogeneous Ideas Production And Endogenous Growth: An Empirical Investigation
December 1, 2008, 12:00am PST
The authors examine the dynamics of ideas production and knowledge-productivity relationship in a panel of 19 OECD countries. A new data set of triadic patents is used. They rigorously address the...
Provided by Cardiff Business School
-
White Papers
Financial Structure And Economic Growth
January 1, 2008, 12:00am PST
Recent empirical work on financial structure and economic growth analyzes multi-country dataset in panel and/or cross-section frameworks and conclude that financial structure is irrelevant. The...
Provided by Cardiff Business School
-
White Papers
Private Information In Executives' Option Trades: Evidence From The UK
February 1, 2008, 12:00am PST
This paper investigates whether UK executives use private information in the trading decisions associated with the exercise of their executive stock options. The authors find that UK executives'...
Provided by Cardiff Business School
-
White Papers
Economic Policy And Output Volatility In Spain, 1950-1998: Was Fiscal Policy Destabilizing?
July 1, 2010, 12:00am PDT
Was Spanish fiscal policy destabilizing? The authors estimate policy reaction functions and test the impact of fiscal shocks on growth volatility over the period 1950-1998. They find that a...
Provided by Cardiff Business School
-
White Papers
UK Fiscal Policy Sustainability, 1955-2006
March 1, 2011, 12:00am PST
The authors test for fiscal policy sustainability in the UK for the period 1955-2006. They find evidence of sustainability with three structural breaks, respectively occurring in the early 1970s,...
Provided by Cardiff Business School
-
White Papers
Fiscal Policy Under Imperfect Competition With Flexible Prices: An Overview And Survey
February 1, 2011, 12:00am PST
This paper surveys the link between imperfect competition and the effects of fiscal policy on output, employment and welfare. The authors examine static and dynamic models, with and without entry...
Provided by Cardiff Business School
-
White Papers
Fiscal Policy Under Imperfect Competition: A Survey
April 14, 2010, 12:00am PDT
This paper surveys the link between imperfect competition and the effects of fiscal policy on output, employment and welfare. The authors examine static and dynamic models, with and without entry...
Provided by Cardiff Business School
-
White Papers
Financial Sector Shocks, External Finance Premium And Business Cycle
March 1, 2011, 12:00am PST
This paper extends Nolan and Thoenissen (2009), hence NT, model with an explicit financial intermediary that transfer funds from households to entrepreneurs subject to a well defined loan...
Provided by Cardiff Business School
-
White Papers
Monetary Effects On Nominal Oil Prices
November 1, 2009, 12:00am PDT
The paper presents a theory of nominal asset prices for competitively owned oil. Focusing on monetary effects, with flexible oil prices the US dollar oil price should follow the aggregate US price...
Provided by Cardiff Business School
-
White Papers
How Much Nominal Rigidity Is There In The US Economy? Testing A New Keynesian DSGE Model Using Indirect Inference
March 3, 2011, 12:00am PST
The authors evaluate the Smets-Wouters model of the US using indirect inference and the bootstrap with a VAR representation of the main US data series. They find that the New Keynesian SW model is...
Provided by Cardiff Business School
-
White Papers
Nonlinear ACD Model And Informed Trading: Evidence From Shanghai Stock Exchange
April 1, 2008, 12:00am PDT
Dufour and Engle (J. Finance (2000) 2467) find evidence of an increased presence of informed traders when the NYSE markets are most active. No such evidence, however, can be found by Manganelli...
Provided by Cardiff Business School
-
White Papers
Flat Tax Reform: The Baltics 2000 - 2007
October 28, 2008, 12:00am PDT
The paper presents an endogenous growth economy with a representation of the tax rate system in the Baltic countries. Assuming that government spending is a given fraction of output, the paper...
Provided by Cardiff Business School
-
White Papers
Private Information In Executives' Option Trades: Evidence From The UK
February 1, 2008, 12:00am PST
This paper investigates whether UK executives use private information in the trading decisions associated with the exercise of their executive stock options. The authors find that UK executives'...
Provided by Cardiff Business School
-
White Papers
Financial Structure And Economic Growth
January 1, 2008, 12:00am PST
Recent empirical work on financial structure and economic growth analyzes multi-country dataset in panel and/or cross-section frameworks and conclude that financial structure is irrelevant. The...
Provided by Cardiff Business School
-
White Papers
Heterogeneous Ideas Production And Endogenous Growth: An Empirical Investigation
December 1, 2008, 12:00am PST
The authors examine the dynamics of ideas production and knowledge-productivity relationship in a panel of 19 OECD countries. A new data set of triadic patents is used. They rigorously address the...
Provided by Cardiff Business School
-
White Papers
US Volatility Cycles Of Output And Inflation, 1919-2004: A Money And Banking Approach To A Puzzle
November 24, 2008, 12:00am PST
The post-1983 moderation coincided with an ahistorical divergence in the money aggregate growth and velocity volatilities away from the downward trending GDP and inflation volatilities. Using an...
Provided by Cardiff Business School
-
White Papers
X-Efficiency Versus Rent Seeking In Chinese Banks: 1997-2006
November 1, 2008, 12:00am PDT
This paper demarcates cost-inefficiency in Chinese banks into X-inefficiency and rent-seeking-inefficiency. A protected banking market not only encourages weak management and X-inefficiency but...
Provided by Cardiff Business School
-
White Papers
The Effect Of Inflation On Growth: Evidence From A Panel Of Transition Countries
October 1, 2008, 12:00am PDT
The paper examines the effect of inflation on growth in transition countries. It presents panel data evidence for 13 transition countries over the 1990-2003 period; it uses a fixed effects,...
Provided by Cardiff Business School
-
White Papers
Does Public Investment Boost Economic Growth? Evidence From An Open-Economy Macro Model For India
October 1, 2008, 12:00am PDT
Using annual data for India for the period 1984-2003 and employing parametric technique (GMM), the present paper jointly determines GDP growth, real exchange rate and net foreign assets in Indian...
Provided by Cardiff Business School
-
White Papers
The Single Monetary Policy And Domestic Macro-Fundamentals: Evidence From Spain
October 1, 2008, 12:00am PDT
The authors model pre-euro Spanish monetary policy and use the findings to assess the compatibility of the interest rates set by the ECB since 1999 with Spanish macro fundamentals. They find that...
Provided by Cardiff Business School
-
White Papers
Non-smooth Dynamics And Multiple Equilibria In A Cournot-Ramsey Model With Endogenous Markups
July 20, 2010, 12:00am PDT
The authors consider a Ramsey model with a continuum of Cournotian industries where free entry generates an endogenous markup. The model produces two different regimes, monopoly and oligopoly,...
Provided by Cardiff Business School
-
White Papers
Information-Based Trade In The Shanghai Stock Market
January 1, 2008, 12:00am PST
The authors show that the probability of information-based trade played a significant role in explaining monthly returns on Shanghai A shares over the period 2001 to 2006. In particular, PIN, as...
Provided by Cardiff Business School
-
White Papers
On The Cyclicality Of Real Wages And Wage Differentials
April 1, 2009, 12:00am PDT
The authors show that two models of the labor market, a Walrasian model and a labor contracting model, both have an approximate dynamic factor structure. They use this result to motivate the...
Provided by Cardiff Business School
-
White Papers
Inflation, Investment And Growth: A Money And Banking Approach
October 22, 2008, 12:00am PDT
Output growth, investment and the real interest rate are all found empirically to be negatively affected by inflation. But a seeming puzzle arises of opposite Tobin-like inflation effects because...
Provided by Cardiff Business School
-
White Papers
Commentary On Economic Projections And Rules Of Thumb For Monetary Policy
July 1, 2008, 12:00am PDT
The Taylor rule is widely seen as a good summary of what the Federal Reserve does. Though the rule cannot easily be fitted to actual data as subsequently revised, at least for a full postwar...
Provided by Cardiff Business School
-
White Papers
Risk Measurement And Management In A Crisis-Prone World
July 1, 2008, 12:00am PDT
The current subprime crisis has prompted the authors to look again into the nature of risk at the tail of the distribution. In particular, the authors investigate the risk contribution of an...
Provided by Cardiff Business School
-
White Papers
The Other Side Of The Trading Story: Evidence From NYSE
July 1, 2008, 12:00am PDT
The authors analyse the well-known TORQ dataset of trades on the NYSE over a 3-month period, breaking down transactions depending on whether the active or passive side was institutional or...
Provided by Cardiff Business School
-
White Papers
Testing A DSGE Model Of The EU Using Indirect Inference
December 1, 2008, 12:00am PST
The authors use the method of indirect inference, using the bootstrap, to test the Smets and Wouters model of the EU against a VAR auxiliary equation describing their data. They find that their...
Provided by Cardiff Business School
-
White Papers
A Unique Orthogonal Variance Decomposition
April 1, 2008, 12:00am PDT
Let e and S be respectively the vector of shocks and its variance covariance matrix in a linear system of equations in reduced form. This paper shows that a unique orthogonal variance...
Provided by Cardiff Business School
-
White Papers
Real Exchange Rate Overshooting In Real Business Cycle Model-An Empirical Evidence From India
January 1, 2008, 12:00am PST
The objective of this paper is to establish the ability of a Real Business Cycle (RBC) model to account for the behaviour of the real exchange rate, using Indian data (1966- 1997). The authors...
Provided by Cardiff Business School
-
White Papers
Peripherality And The Impact Of SME Takeovers
April 1, 2008, 12:00am PDT
If large companies buy small dynamic enterprises, and move them to the headquarters' location or elsewhere, the process could suppress regional, or dependent, economy income and productivity. The...
Provided by Cardiff Business School
-
White Papers
The Banking Crisis - A Rational Interpretation
July 1, 2009, 12:00am PDT
Modern macroeconomic models have been widely criticized as relying too much on rationality and market efficiency. However, basically their predictions about this crisis are being borne out by...
Provided by Cardiff Business School
-
White Papers
Bank Productivity In China 1997-2007: An Exercise In Measurement
September 1, 2009, 12:00am PDT
This paper examines the productivity growth of the nationwide banks of China and a sample of city commercial, banks for the eleven years to 2007. Estimates of total factor productivity growth are...
Provided by Cardiff Business School
-
White Papers
Can Behavioral Finance Models Account For Historical Asset Prices?
September 1, 2009, 12:00am PDT
The author constructs a behavioral model of asset pricing in which agents choose whether to base their expectations on chartist or fundamental forecasts. The author simulates the model in order to...
Provided by Cardiff Business School
-
White Papers
The Monetary Policy Implications Of Behavioral Asset Bubbles
September 18, 2009, 12:00am PDT
The author introduces behavioral asset pricing rules into a wider dynamic stochastic general equilibrium framework. Asset price bubbles emerge endogenously within the model. The author finds that...
Provided by Cardiff Business School
-
White Papers
Taylor Rule Or Optimal Timeless Policy? Reconsidering The Fed's Behavior Since
May 1, 2010, 12:00am PDT
The authors calibrate a standard New Keynesian model with three alternative representations of monetary policy-an optimal timeless rule, a Taylor rule and another with interest rate smoothing-with...
Provided by Cardiff Business School
-
White Papers
Exchange Rate Uncertainty And Deviations From Purchasing Power Parity: Evidence From The G7 Area
November 1, 2009, 12:00am PDT
Arghyrou, Gregoriou and Pourpourides (2009) argue that exchange rate uncertainty causes deviations from the law of one price. The authors test this hypothesis on aggregate data from the G7- area....
Provided by Cardiff Business School
-
White Papers
Two Orthogonal Continents? Testing A Two-Country DSGE Model Of The US And The EU Using Indirect Inference
December 1, 2009, 12:00am PST
The authors examine a two country model of the EU and the US. Each has a small sector of the labor and product markets in which there is wage/price rigidity, but otherwise enjoys flexible wages...
Provided by Cardiff Business School
-
White Papers
Efficiency And Convergence In The Jamaican Banking Sector 1998-2007
December 1, 2009, 12:00am PST
Deregulation, re-regulation and continuing globalization embody an imperative that banks increase efficiency to survive. The authors employ non-parametric bootstrap DEA to measure technical...
Provided by Cardiff Business School
-
White Papers
Some Problems In The Testing Of DSGE Models
December 18, 2009, 12:00am PST
The authors review the methods used in many papers to evaluate DSGE models by comparing their simulated moments and other features with data equivalents. They note that they select, scale and...
Provided by Cardiff Business School
-
White Papers
The Strength And Persistence Of Entrepreneurial Cultures
July 1, 2010, 12:00am PDT
The twentieth century United States provides a natural experiment to measure the strength and persistence of entrepreneurial cultures. Assuming immigrants bear the cultures of their birth place,...
Provided by Cardiff Business School
-
White Papers
The Horizon Effect Of Stock Return Predictability And Model Uncertainty On Portfolio Choice: UK Evidence
August 1, 2009, 12:00am PDT
The authors study how stock return's predictability and model uncertainty affect a rational buy-and-hold investor's decision to allocate her wealth for different lengths of investment horizons in...
Provided by Cardiff Business School
-
White Papers
Consistent Estimation, Model Selection And Averaging Of Dynamic Panel Data Models With Fixed Effect
March 1, 2009, 12:00am PST
In the context of an autoregressive panel data model with fixed effect, the authors examine the relationship between consistent parameter estimation and consistent model selection. Consistency in...
Provided by Cardiff Business School
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