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Levy Economics Institute
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The Global Crisis And The Future Of The Dollar: Toward Bretton Woods III?
February 1, 2010, 12:00am PST
This paper investigates the U.S. dollar's role as the international currency of choice as a key contributing factor in critical global developments that led to the crisis of 2007 - 09, and...
Provided by Jerome Levy Economics Institute of Bard College
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Global Imbalances, The U.S. Dollar, And How The Crisis At The Core Of Global Finance Spread To "Self-insuring" Emerging Market Economies
March 1, 2010, 12:00am PST
This paper investigates the spread of what started as a crisis at the core of the global financial system to emerging economies. While emerging economies had exhibited some resilience through the...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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Using Capabilities To Project Growth, 2010-30
August 1, 2010, 12:00am PDT
The authors forecast growth rates for 2010-2030 by estimating a cross-country reduced form conditional-convergence regression, augmented with variables that account for a country's accumulated...
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The Global Crisis And The Remedial Actions: A Nonmainstream Perspective
July 1, 2011, 12:00am PDT
The global financial crisis has now spread across multiple countries and sectors, affecting both financial and real spheres in the advanced as well as the developing economies. This has been...
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The Rise And Fall Of Export-Led Growth
July 1, 2011, 12:00am PDT
This paper traces the rise of export-led growth as a development paradigm and argues that it is exhausted owing to changed conditions in Emerging Market (EM) and developed economies. The global...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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Minsky?s Money Manager Capitalism And The Global Financial Crisis
March 1, 2011, 12:00am PST
The world's worst economic crisis since the 1930s is now well into its third year. All sorts of explanations have been proffered for the causes of the crisis, from lax regulation and oversight to...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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Modeling Technological Progress And Investment In China: Some Caveats
December 1, 2010, 12:00am PST
Since the early 1990s, the number of papers estimating econometric models and using other quantitative techniques to try to understand different aspects of the Chinese economy has mushroomed. A...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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China In The Global Economy
December 1, 2010, 12:00am PST
China occupies a unique position among developing countries. Its success in achieving relative stability in the financial sector since the institution of reforms in 1979 has given way to relative...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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US "Quantitative Easing" Is Fracturing The Global Economy
November 1, 2010, 12:00am PDT
The Federal Reserve's quantitative easing is presented as injecting $600 billion into "The economy." But instead of getting banks lending to Americans again - households and firms - the money is...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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Financial Stability, Regulatory Buffers, And Economic Growth: Some Postrecession Regulatory Implications
November 1, 2010, 12:00am PDT
Over the past 40 years, regulatory reforms have been undertaken on the assumption that markets are efficient and self-corrective, crises are random events that are unpreventable, the purpose of an...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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The Impact Of Geography And Natural Resource Abundance On Growth In Central Asia
October 1, 2010, 12:00am PDT
This paper examines the growth experience of the Central Asian economies after the breakup of the Soviet Union. In particular, it evaluates the impact of being landlocked and resource rich. The...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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The Meltdown Of The Global Economy: A Keynes-Minsky Episode?
September 1, 2010, 12:00am PDT
The enormity and pervasiveness of the global economic crisis that began in 2008 makes it relevant to analyze the circumstances that can explain this catastrophe. This will also provide clues to...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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Gendered Aspects Of Globalization
September 1, 2010, 12:00am PDT
We need to go beyond the accepted notions relating to the role of women in the economy and society, especially in terms of what is recognized in mainstream theory and policy as "Work" done by...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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Does Excessive Sovereign Debt Really Hurt Growth? A Critique Of This Time Is Different
June 1, 2010, 12:00am PDT
The worst global downturn since the Great Depression has caused ballooning budget deficits in most nations, as tax revenues collapse and governments bail out financial institutions and attempt...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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The Global Financial Crisis And The Shift To Shadow Banking
February 1, 2010, 12:00am PST
While most economists agree that the world is facing the worst economic crisis since the Great Depression, there is little agreement as to what caused it. Some have argued that the financial...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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Money Manager Capitalism And The Global Financial Crisis
September 1, 2009, 12:00am PDT
This paper applies Hyman Minsky's approach to provide an analysis of the causes of the global financial crisis. Rather than finding the origins in recent developments, this paper links the crisis...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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The International Monetary (Non-)Order And The "Global Capital Flows Paradox"
April 1, 2008, 12:00am PDT
This paper sets out to investigate the forces behind the so-called "Global capital flows paradox" and related "Dollar glut" observed in the era of advancing financial globalization. The supposed...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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Money In Finance
March 1, 2011, 12:00am PST
This paper begins by defining, and distinguishing between, money and finance, and addresses alternative ways of financing spending. The authors next examine the role played by financial...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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An Alternative View Of Finance, Saving, Deficits, And Liquidity
October 1, 2009, 12:00am PDT
This paper contrasts the orthodox approach with an alternative view on finance, saving, deficits, and liquidity. The conventional view on the cause of the current global financial crisis points...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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Quality Of Match For Statistical Matches Used In The 1989 And 2000 LIMEW Estimates For France
July 1, 2011, 12:00am PDT
The quality of match for each of four statistical matches used in the LIMEW estimates for France for 1989 and 2000 is described. The first match combines the 1992 Enquête sur les Actifs Financiers...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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Causes Of Financial Instability: Don't Forget Finance
April 1, 2011, 12:00am PDT
Given the economy's complex behavior and sudden transitions as evidenced in the 2007-08 crisis, agent-based models are widely considered a promising alternative to current macroeconomic practice...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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The Financial Crisis Viewed From The Perspective Of The "Social Costs" Theory
March 1, 2011, 12:00am PST
This paper examines the causes and consequences of the current global financial crisis. It largely relies on the work of Hyman Minsky, although analyses by John Kenneth Galbraith and Thorstein...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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Financial Markets
March 1, 2011, 12:00am PST
This paper provides a brief exposition of financial markets in Post Keynesian economics. Inspired by John Maynard Keynes's path-breaking insights into the role of liquidity and finance in...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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A Minskyan Road To Financial Reform
March 1, 2011, 12:00am PST
In the aftermath of the global financial collapse that began in 2007, governments around the world have responded with reform. The outlines of Basel III have been announced, although some have...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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Financial Keynesianism And Market Instability
March 1, 2011, 12:00am PST
In this paper, the author will follows Hyman Minsky in arguing that the postwar period has seen a slow transformation of the economy from a structure that could be characterized as "Robust" to one...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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How Brazil Can Defend Against Financialization And Keep Its Economic Surplus For Itself
November 1, 2010, 12:00am PDT
The post-1945 mode of global integration has outlived its early promise. It has become exploitative rather than supportive of capital investment, public infrastructure, and living standards. In...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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The Household Sector Financial Balance, Financing Gap, Financial Markets, And Economic Cycles In The US Economy: A Structural VAR Analysis
November 1, 2010, 12:00am PDT
This paper investigates private net saving in the US economy - divided into its principal components, households and (nonfinancial) corporate financial balances - and its impact on the GDP cycle...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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Managing Finance In Emerging Economies: The Case Of India
October 1, 2010, 12:00am PDT
India has been experiencing rising inflows of overseas capital since the deregulation of its financial sector. Often looked upon as a success story among other emerging economies, the country has...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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The Transition From Industrial Capitalism To A Financialized Bubble Economy
October 1, 2010, 12:00am PDT
For the past decade, the U.S. economy has been driven not by industrial investment but by a real estate bubble. Although the United States may seem to be the leading example of industrial...
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Detecting Ponzi Finance: An Evolutionary Approach To The Measure Of Financial Fragility
June 1, 2010, 12:00am PDT
Different frameworks of analysis lead to different conceptions of financial instability and financial fragility. On one side, the static approach conceptualizes financial instability as an...
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Too Big To Fail In Financial Crisis: Motives, Countermeasures, And Prospects
June 1, 2010, 12:00am PDT
Regulatory forbearance and government financial support for the largest U.S. financial companies during the crisis of 2007-09 highlighted a "Too big to fail" problem that has existed for decades....
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The Economic And Financial Crises In CEE And CIS Gender Perspectives And Policy Choices
May 1, 2010, 12:00am PDT
This paper looks at the countries of Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) and the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS), where economies have been most dramatically hit by the global crisis and its...
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Revisiting "New Cambridge": The Three Financial Balances In A General Stock-Flow Consistent Applied Modeling Strategy
May 1, 2010, 12:00am PDT
This paper argues that modified versions of the so-called "New Cambridge" approach to macroeconomic modeling are both quite useful for modeling real capitalist economies in historical time and...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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A Contribution To The Theory Of Financial Fragility And Crisis
May 1, 2010, 12:00am PDT
The paper examines three aspects of a financial crisis of domestic origin. The first section studies the evolution of a debt-financed consumption boom supported by rising asset prices, leading to...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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The Global Financial Crisis And A New Capitalism?
May 1, 2010, 12:00am PDT
The 2008 global financial crisis was the consequence of the process of financialization, or the creation of massive fictitious financial wealth, that began in the 1980s; and the hegemony of a...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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Is This The Minsky Moment For Reform Of Financial Regulation?
February 1, 2010, 12:00am PST
The current financial crisis has been characterized as a "Minsky" moment, and as such provides the conditions required for a reregulation of the financial system similar to that of the New Deal...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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Is Reregulation Of The Financial System An Oxymoron?
February 1, 2010, 12:00am PST
The extension of the subprime mortgage crisis to a global financial meltdown led to calls for fundamental reregulation of the U.S. financial system. However, that reregulation has been slow in...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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A Financial Sector Balance Approach And The Cyclical Dynamics Of The U.S. Economy
September 1, 2009, 12:00am PDT
This paper investigates the relationship between asset markets and business cycles with regard to the U.S. economy. The authors consider the Goldman Sachs approach (2003) developed to study the...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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A Critical Assessment Of Seven Reports On Financial Reform: A Minskyan Perspective, Part IV: Summary Tables
August 1, 2009, 12:00am PDT
The paper uses Minsky's framework of analysis and focuses on the implications of Ponzi finance for regulatory and supervisory policies. The main conclusion of the paper is that, while all reports...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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A Critical Assessment Of Seven Reports On Financial Reform: A Minskyan Perspective, Part II: Treasury, CRMPG Reports, Financial Stability Forum
August 1, 2009, 12:00am PDT
The paper argues that the crisis was caused by four basic factors: a long period of economic growth, low interest rates, financial innovations, and regulatory and accounting incentives to use...
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Gender Disparities In Employment And Aggregate Profitability In The United States
May 1, 2008, 12:00am PDT
The authors explore the relationships between aggregate profitability and women's growing share of market work in the United States during the 1980s and 1990s. Using decomposition analysis and...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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Female Land Rights, Crop Specialization, And Productivity In Paraguayan Agriculture
July 1, 2007, 12:00am PDT
Previous work has shown a pattern of lower household incomes for those Paraguayan farms with female landowners in the household. The study of agricultural production reveals that Paraguayan women...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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Implementation Of The National Rural Employment Guarantee Act In India: Spatial Dimensions And Fiscal Implications
July 1, 2007, 12:00am PDT
Since its enactment in 2005, the National Rural Employment Guarantee Act (NREGA) has been implemented in 200 districts in India. Based on state-by-state employment demand-supply data and the use...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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The Effects Of A Declining Housing Market On The U.S. Economy
July 1, 2007, 12:00am PDT
Longstanding speculation about the likelihood of a housing market collapse has given way in the past few months to consideration of just how far the housing market will fall and how much damage...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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Who's A Jew In An Era Of High Intermarriage? Surveys, Operational Definitions, And The Contemporary American Context
July 1, 2007, 12:00am PDT
The old ways in which surveys of Jews handled marginal cases no longer make sense, and the number of cases involved is no longer small. The author examines in detail the public-use samples of the...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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The American Jewish Committee's Annual Opinion Surveys: An Assessment Of Sample Quality
July 1, 2007, 12:00am PDT
The American Jewish Committee (AJC) surveys of Jewish opinion are unique both in being conducted annually and in the subject matter covered. This paper assesses the quality of these samples. The...
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On Various Ways Of Measuring Unemployment, With Applications To Switzerland
August 1, 2007, 12:00am PDT
This paper begins with an examination of various ways of measuring unemployment and, borrowing ideas from the poverty measurement literature, proposes four new general unemployment indices. The...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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The Fed's Real Reaction - Function Monetary Policy, Inflation, Unemployment, Inequality - And Presidential Politics
August 1, 2007, 12:00am PDT
Using a VAR model of the American economy from 1984 to 2003, the authors find that, contrary to official claims, the Federal Reserve does not target inflation or react to "Inflation signals."...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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The Continuing Legacy Of John Maynard Keynes
September 1, 2007, 12:00am PDT
This working paper examines the legacy of Keynes's General Theory of Employment, Interest, and Money (1936), on the occasion of the 70th anniversary of the publication of Keynes's masterpiece and...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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Minsky's Approach To Employment Policy And Poverty: Employer Of Last Resort And The War On Poverty
September 1, 2007, 12:00am PDT
While Hyman P. Minsky is best known for his work on financial instability, he was also intimately involved in the postwar debates about fiscal policy and what would become the War on Poverty....
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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The Right To A Job, The Right Types Of Projects: Employment Guarantee Policies From A Gender Perspective
September 1, 2007, 12:00am PDT
There is now widespread recognition that in most countries, private-sector investment has not been able to absorb surplus labor. This is all the more the case for poor unskilled people. Public...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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What Are The Relative Macroeconomic Merits And Environmental Impacts Of Direct Job Creation And Basic Income Guarantees?
October 1, 2007, 12:00am PDT
There is a body of literature that favors universal and unconditional public assurance policies over those that are targeted and means-tested. Two such proposals - the basic income proposal and...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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Fiscal Deficit, Capital Formation, And Crowding Out In India
October 1, 2007, 12:00am PDT
This paper analyzes the real (direct) and financial crowding out in India between 1970-71 and 2002-03. Using an asymmetric Vector AutoRegressive (VAR) model, the paper finds no real crowding out...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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Public Employment And Women: The Impact Of Argentina's Jefes Program On Female Heads Of Poor Households
November 1, 2007, 12:00am PDT
In 2002, Argentina implemented a large-scale public employment program to deal with the latest economic crisis and the ensuing massive unemployment and poverty. The program, known as Plan Jefes,...
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Earnings Functions And The Measurement Of The Determinants Of Wage Dispersion: Extending Oaxaca's Approach
November 1, 2007, 12:00am PDT
This paper extends the famous Blinder (1973) and Oaxaca (1973) discrimination in several directions. First, the wage difference breakdown is not limited to two groups. Second, a decomposition...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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Lessons From The Subprime Meltdown
December 1, 2007, 12:00am PST
This paper uses Hyman P. Minsky's approach to analyze the current international financial crisis that was initiated by problems in the U.S. real estate market. In a 1987 manuscript, Minsky had...
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Promotion Nationale: Forty-Five Years Of Experience Of Public Works In Morocco
December 1, 2007, 12:00am PST
Created in 1961, Promotion Nationale (PN) is an autonomous public entity in charge of mobilizing an underemployed or unemployed workforce for the implementation of labor-intensive projects,...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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Can Robbery And Other Theft Help Explain The Textbook Currency-Demand Puzzle? Two Dreadful Models Of Money Demand With An Endogenous Probability Of Crime
March 1, 2008, 12:00am PST
This paper attempts to explain one version of an empirical puzzle noted by Mankiw (2003): a Baumol-Tobin inventory-theoretic money demand equation predicts that the average U.S. adult should have...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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The Discrete Charm Of The Washington Consensus
April 1, 2008, 12:00am PDT
Over the last two centuries in Latin America a Washington Consensus development strategy based on integration in the global trading system has dominated both domestic demand management and...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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Argentina: A Case Study On The Plan Jefes Y Jefas De Hogar Desocupados, Or The Employment Road To Economic Recovery
May 1, 2008, 12:00am PDT
After the 2001 crisis, Argentina - once the poster-child for pro-market structural-adjustment policies - had to define a new strategy in order to manage the societal demands that had led to the...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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Statistical Matching Using Propensity Scores: Theory And Application To The Levy Institute Measure Of Economic Well-Being
May 1, 2008, 12:00am PDT
This paper summarizes the background, type, logic, and working procedure of the statistical matching used in the Levy Institute Measure of Economic Well-Being (LIMEW) project to combine the...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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Deficient Public Infrastructure And Private Costs: Evidence From A Time-Use Survey For The Water Sector In India
July 1, 2008, 12:00am PDT
This paper presents new evidence on the links between public-infrastructure provisioning and time allocation related to the water sector in India. An analysis of time-use data reveals that...
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The Keynesian Roots Of Stock-Flow Consistent Macroeconomic Models: Peering Over The Edge Of The Short Period
July 1, 2008, 12:00am PDT
This paper argues that institutionally rich stock-flow consistent models - that is, models in which economic agents are identified with the main social categories/institutional sectors of actual...
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The Return Of Fiscal Policy: Can The New Developments In The New Economic Consensus Be Reconciled With The Post-Keynesian View?
July 1, 2008, 12:00am PDT
The monetarist counterrevolution and the stagflation period of the 1970s were among the theoretical and practical developments that led to the rejection of fiscal policy as a useful tool for...
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The Unpaid Care Work-Paid Work Connection
July 1, 2008, 12:00am PDT
Since the 1960's a substantial amount of research has been undertaken to take stock of differences in the socio-economic status between men and women. At the same time, mobilization and awareness...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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Keynes's Approach To Full Employment: Aggregate Or Targeted Demand?
August 1, 2008, 12:00am PDT
This paper argues that John Maynard Keynes had a targeted (as contrasted with aggregate) demand approach to full employment. Modern policies, which aim to "Close the demand gap," are inconsistent...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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Promoting Equality Through An Employment Of Last Resort Policy
November 1, 2008, 12:00am PDT
To put an economy on an equitable growth path, economic development must be based on social efficiency, equity, and job creation. It has been shown that unemployment has far-reaching effects, all...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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Do The Innovations In A Monetary VAR Have Finite Variances?
October 1, 2008, 12:00am PDT
Since Christopher Sims's "Macroeconomics and Reality" (1980), macroeconomists have used structural VARs, or Vector AutoRegressions, for policy analysis. Constructing the impulse-response functions...
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Minsky And Economic Policy: "Keynesianism" All Over Again?
October 1, 2008, 12:00am PDT
Recently, national newspapers all over the world have suggested that we should reread John Maynard Keynes, and that Hyman P. Minsky provides a valuable framework for understanding the world in...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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Excess Capital And Liquidity Management
November 1, 2008, 12:00am PDT
This paper presents a new approach to corporate finance, one in which financing is not determined by prospective income streams but by financing opportunities, liquidity considerations, and...
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Small Is Beautiful: Evidence Of An Inverse Relationship Between Farm Size And Yield In Turkey
December 1, 2008, 12:00am PST
This paper examines the relationship between farm size and yield per acre in Turkey using heretofore untapped data from a 2002 farm-level survey of 5,003 rural households. After controlling for...
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Hypothetical Integration In A Social Accounting Matrix And Fixed-Price Multiplier Analysis
December 1, 2008, 12:00am PST
This paper proposes a simple modification to a Social Accounting Matrix (SAM) in order to analyze the multiplier effects of a new sector. A different input composition, or technology, of the...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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The Social And Economic Importance Of Full Employment
April 1, 2009, 12:00am PDT
Unemployment was singled out by John Maynard Keynes as one of the principle faults of capitalism; the other is excessive inequality. Obviously, there is some link between these two faults: because...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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Whither New Consensus Macroeconomics? The Role Of Government And Fiscal Policy In Modern Macroeconomics
May 1, 2009, 12:00am PDT
In the face of the dramatic economic events of recent months and the inability of academics and policymakers to prevent them, the New Consensus Macroeconomics (NCM) model has been the subject of...
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New Consensus Macroeconomics: A Critical Appraisal
May 1, 2009, 12:00am PDT
This paper is concerned with the New Consensus Macroeconomics (NCM) in the case of an open economy. It outlines and explains briefly the main elements of and way of thinking about the macroeconomy...
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Revisiting (And Connecting) Marglin-Bhaduri And Minsky: An SFC Look At Financialization And Profit-Led Growth
June 1, 2009, 12:00am PDT
Many heterodox strands of thought share both a concern with the study of different phases or growth regimes in the history of capitalism and the use of formal short-run models as an analytical...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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Market Failure And Land Concentration
August 1, 2009, 12:00am PDT
Utilizing a 2002 household-level World Bank Survey for rural Turkey, this paper explores the link between concentration of land ownership and rural factor markets. The authors construct a unique...
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A Perspective On Minsky Moments: The Core Of The Financial Instability Hypothesis In Light Of The Subprime Crisis
October 1, 2009, 12:00am PDT
This paper aims to help bridge the gap between theory and fact regarding the so-called "Minsky moments" by revisiting the "Financial Instability Hypothesis" (FIH). The authors limit the analysis...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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Minsky Moments, Russell Chickens, And Gray Swans: The Methodological Puzzles Of The Financial Instability Analysis
November 1, 2009, 12:00am PDT
The recent revival of Hyman P. Minsky's ideas among policymakers, economists, bankers, financial institutions, and the mass media, synchronized with the increasing gravity of the subprime...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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The Euro And Its Guardian Of Stability: The Fiction And Reality Of The 10th Anniversary Blast
November 1, 2009, 12:00am PDT
This paper investigates why Europe fared particularly poorly in the global economic crisis that began in August 2007. It questions the self-portrait of Europe as the victim of external shocks,...
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