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Levy Economics Institute
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The Global Crisis And The Future Of The Dollar: Toward Bretton Woods III?
February 1, 2010, 12:00am PST
This paper investigates the U.S. dollar's role as the international currency of choice as a key contributing factor in critical global developments that led to the crisis of 2007 - 09, and...
Provided by Jerome Levy Economics Institute of Bard College
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Global Imbalances, The U.S. Dollar, And How The Crisis At The Core Of Global Finance Spread To "Self-insuring" Emerging Market Economies
March 1, 2010, 12:00am PST
This paper investigates the spread of what started as a crisis at the core of the global financial system to emerging economies. While emerging economies had exhibited some resilience through the...
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Using Capabilities To Project Growth, 2010-30
August 1, 2010, 12:00am PDT
The authors forecast growth rates for 2010-2030 by estimating a cross-country reduced form conditional-convergence regression, augmented with variables that account for a country's accumulated...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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Wage Growth And The Measurement Of Social Security~s Financial Condition
July 1, 2006, 12:00am PDT
Government spending on the elderly is projected to increase rapidly as the U.S. population becomes older, and many policymakers and budget analysts are concerned about the continued viability of...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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The Global Crisis And The Remedial Actions: A Nonmainstream Perspective
July 1, 2011, 12:00am PDT
The global financial crisis has now spread across multiple countries and sectors, affecting both financial and real spheres in the advanced as well as the developing economies. This has been...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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The Rise And Fall Of Export-Led Growth
July 1, 2011, 12:00am PDT
This paper traces the rise of export-led growth as a development paradigm and argues that it is exhausted owing to changed conditions in Emerging Market (EM) and developed economies. The global...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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Minsky?s Money Manager Capitalism And The Global Financial Crisis
March 1, 2011, 12:00am PST
The world's worst economic crisis since the 1930s is now well into its third year. All sorts of explanations have been proffered for the causes of the crisis, from lax regulation and oversight to...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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Modeling Technological Progress And Investment In China: Some Caveats
December 1, 2010, 12:00am PST
Since the early 1990s, the number of papers estimating econometric models and using other quantitative techniques to try to understand different aspects of the Chinese economy has mushroomed. A...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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China In The Global Economy
December 1, 2010, 12:00am PST
China occupies a unique position among developing countries. Its success in achieving relative stability in the financial sector since the institution of reforms in 1979 has given way to relative...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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US "Quantitative Easing" Is Fracturing The Global Economy
November 1, 2010, 12:00am PDT
The Federal Reserve's quantitative easing is presented as injecting $600 billion into "The economy." But instead of getting banks lending to Americans again - households and firms - the money is...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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Financial Stability, Regulatory Buffers, And Economic Growth: Some Postrecession Regulatory Implications
November 1, 2010, 12:00am PDT
Over the past 40 years, regulatory reforms have been undertaken on the assumption that markets are efficient and self-corrective, crises are random events that are unpreventable, the purpose of an...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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The Impact Of Geography And Natural Resource Abundance On Growth In Central Asia
October 1, 2010, 12:00am PDT
This paper examines the growth experience of the Central Asian economies after the breakup of the Soviet Union. In particular, it evaluates the impact of being landlocked and resource rich. The...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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The Meltdown Of The Global Economy: A Keynes-Minsky Episode?
September 1, 2010, 12:00am PDT
The enormity and pervasiveness of the global economic crisis that began in 2008 makes it relevant to analyze the circumstances that can explain this catastrophe. This will also provide clues to...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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Gendered Aspects Of Globalization
September 1, 2010, 12:00am PDT
We need to go beyond the accepted notions relating to the role of women in the economy and society, especially in terms of what is recognized in mainstream theory and policy as "Work" done by...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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Does Excessive Sovereign Debt Really Hurt Growth? A Critique Of This Time Is Different
June 1, 2010, 12:00am PDT
The worst global downturn since the Great Depression has caused ballooning budget deficits in most nations, as tax revenues collapse and governments bail out financial institutions and attempt...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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The Global Financial Crisis And The Shift To Shadow Banking
February 1, 2010, 12:00am PST
While most economists agree that the world is facing the worst economic crisis since the Great Depression, there is little agreement as to what caused it. Some have argued that the financial...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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Money Manager Capitalism And The Global Financial Crisis
September 1, 2009, 12:00am PDT
This paper applies Hyman Minsky's approach to provide an analysis of the causes of the global financial crisis. Rather than finding the origins in recent developments, this paper links the crisis...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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The International Monetary (Non-)Order And The "Global Capital Flows Paradox"
April 1, 2008, 12:00am PDT
This paper sets out to investigate the forces behind the so-called "Global capital flows paradox" and related "Dollar glut" observed in the era of advancing financial globalization. The supposed...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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Global Demographic Trends And Provisioning For The Future
August 1, 2006, 12:00am PDT
The world's population is aging. Virtually no nation is immune to this demographic trend and the challenges it brings for future generations. Relative growth of the elderly population is fueling...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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Money In Finance
March 1, 2011, 12:00am PST
This paper begins by defining, and distinguishing between, money and finance, and addresses alternative ways of financing spending. The authors next examine the role played by financial...
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An Alternative View Of Finance, Saving, Deficits, And Liquidity
October 1, 2009, 12:00am PDT
This paper contrasts the orthodox approach with an alternative view on finance, saving, deficits, and liquidity. The conventional view on the cause of the current global financial crisis points...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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Quality Of Match For Statistical Matches Used In The 1989 And 2000 LIMEW Estimates For France
July 1, 2011, 12:00am PDT
The quality of match for each of four statistical matches used in the LIMEW estimates for France for 1989 and 2000 is described. The first match combines the 1992 Enquête sur les Actifs Financiers...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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Causes Of Financial Instability: Don't Forget Finance
April 1, 2011, 12:00am PDT
Given the economy's complex behavior and sudden transitions as evidenced in the 2007-08 crisis, agent-based models are widely considered a promising alternative to current macroeconomic practice...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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The Financial Crisis Viewed From The Perspective Of The "Social Costs" Theory
March 1, 2011, 12:00am PST
This paper examines the causes and consequences of the current global financial crisis. It largely relies on the work of Hyman Minsky, although analyses by John Kenneth Galbraith and Thorstein...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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Financial Markets
March 1, 2011, 12:00am PST
This paper provides a brief exposition of financial markets in Post Keynesian economics. Inspired by John Maynard Keynes's path-breaking insights into the role of liquidity and finance in...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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A Minskyan Road To Financial Reform
March 1, 2011, 12:00am PST
In the aftermath of the global financial collapse that began in 2007, governments around the world have responded with reform. The outlines of Basel III have been announced, although some have...
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Financial Keynesianism And Market Instability
March 1, 2011, 12:00am PST
In this paper, the author will follows Hyman Minsky in arguing that the postwar period has seen a slow transformation of the economy from a structure that could be characterized as "Robust" to one...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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How Brazil Can Defend Against Financialization And Keep Its Economic Surplus For Itself
November 1, 2010, 12:00am PDT
The post-1945 mode of global integration has outlived its early promise. It has become exploitative rather than supportive of capital investment, public infrastructure, and living standards. In...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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The Household Sector Financial Balance, Financing Gap, Financial Markets, And Economic Cycles In The US Economy: A Structural VAR Analysis
November 1, 2010, 12:00am PDT
This paper investigates private net saving in the US economy - divided into its principal components, households and (nonfinancial) corporate financial balances - and its impact on the GDP cycle...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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Managing Finance In Emerging Economies: The Case Of India
October 1, 2010, 12:00am PDT
India has been experiencing rising inflows of overseas capital since the deregulation of its financial sector. Often looked upon as a success story among other emerging economies, the country has...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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The Transition From Industrial Capitalism To A Financialized Bubble Economy
October 1, 2010, 12:00am PDT
For the past decade, the U.S. economy has been driven not by industrial investment but by a real estate bubble. Although the United States may seem to be the leading example of industrial...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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Detecting Ponzi Finance: An Evolutionary Approach To The Measure Of Financial Fragility
June 1, 2010, 12:00am PDT
Different frameworks of analysis lead to different conceptions of financial instability and financial fragility. On one side, the static approach conceptualizes financial instability as an...
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Too Big To Fail In Financial Crisis: Motives, Countermeasures, And Prospects
June 1, 2010, 12:00am PDT
Regulatory forbearance and government financial support for the largest U.S. financial companies during the crisis of 2007-09 highlighted a "Too big to fail" problem that has existed for decades....
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The Economic And Financial Crises In CEE And CIS Gender Perspectives And Policy Choices
May 1, 2010, 12:00am PDT
This paper looks at the countries of Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) and the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS), where economies have been most dramatically hit by the global crisis and its...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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Revisiting "New Cambridge": The Three Financial Balances In A General Stock-Flow Consistent Applied Modeling Strategy
May 1, 2010, 12:00am PDT
This paper argues that modified versions of the so-called "New Cambridge" approach to macroeconomic modeling are both quite useful for modeling real capitalist economies in historical time and...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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A Contribution To The Theory Of Financial Fragility And Crisis
May 1, 2010, 12:00am PDT
The paper examines three aspects of a financial crisis of domestic origin. The first section studies the evolution of a debt-financed consumption boom supported by rising asset prices, leading to...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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The Global Financial Crisis And A New Capitalism?
May 1, 2010, 12:00am PDT
The 2008 global financial crisis was the consequence of the process of financialization, or the creation of massive fictitious financial wealth, that began in the 1980s; and the hegemony of a...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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Is This The Minsky Moment For Reform Of Financial Regulation?
February 1, 2010, 12:00am PST
The current financial crisis has been characterized as a "Minsky" moment, and as such provides the conditions required for a reregulation of the financial system similar to that of the New Deal...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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Is Reregulation Of The Financial System An Oxymoron?
February 1, 2010, 12:00am PST
The extension of the subprime mortgage crisis to a global financial meltdown led to calls for fundamental reregulation of the U.S. financial system. However, that reregulation has been slow in...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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A Financial Sector Balance Approach And The Cyclical Dynamics Of The U.S. Economy
September 1, 2009, 12:00am PDT
This paper investigates the relationship between asset markets and business cycles with regard to the U.S. economy. The authors consider the Goldman Sachs approach (2003) developed to study the...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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The Minskyan System, Part I Properties Of The Minskyan Analysis And How To Theorize And Model A Monetary Production Economy
June 1, 2006, 12:00am PDT
This is the first part of a three-part analysis of the Minskyan framework. Via an extensive review of the literature, this paper looks at 12 essential elements necessary to get a good...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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Why Central Banks (And Money) "Rule The Roost"
June 1, 2006, 12:00am PDT
Some have argued that a significant decrease in the demand for money, due to financial innovations, could imply that central banks are unable to implement effective monetary policies. This paper...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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How The Maastricht Regime Fosters Divergence As Well As Fragility
July 1, 2006, 12:00am PDT
This paper investigates the phenomenon of persistent macroeconomic divergence that has occurred across the eurozone in recent years. Optimal currency area theory would point toward asymmetric...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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The Local Geographic Origins Of Russian-Jewish Immigrants, Circa 1900
August 1, 2006, 12:00am PDT
This working paper concerns the local origins of Russian-Jewish immigrants to the United States, circa 1900. New evidence is drawn from a large random sample of Russian-Jewish immigrant arrivals...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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Net Government Expenditures And The Economic Well-Being Of The Elderly In The United States, 1989-2001
August 1, 2006, 12:00am PDT
The authors examine the economic well-being of the elderly, using the Levy Institute Measure of Economic Well-Being (LIMEW). Compared to the conventional measures of income, the LIMEW is a...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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The Financial Requirements Of Achieving Gender Equality And Women's Empowerment
August 1, 2006, 12:00am PDT
Although the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) have been ratified in global and national forums, they have not yet been incorporated into operational planning within governments or international...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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Population Forecasts, Fiscal Policy, And Risk
August 1, 2006, 12:00am PDT
This paper describes how stochastic population forecasts are used to inform and analyze policies related to government spending on the elderly, mainly in the context of the industrialized nations....
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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The American Jewish Periphery: An Overview
August 1, 2006, 12:00am PDT
This paper calls attention to the American Jewish periphery - Americans of recent Jewish origin who have only the most tenuous connections, if any, with those origins. This periphery has been...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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On The Minskyan Business Cycle
August 1, 2006, 12:00am PDT
The essential insight Minsky drew from Keynes was that optimistic expectations about the future create a margin, reflected in higher asset prices, which makes it possible for borrowers to access...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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The "New Consensus" View Of Monetary Policy: A New Wicksellian Connection?
October 19, 2006, 12:00am PDT
One of the greatest achievements of the modern "New Consensus" view in macroeconomics is the assertion of a nonquantity theoretic approach to monetary policy. Leading theorists and practitioners...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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When Knowledge Is An Asset: Explaining The Organizational Structure Of Large Law Firms
October 1, 2006, 12:00am PDT
The authors study the economics of employment relationships through theoretical and empirical analyses of an unusual set of firms, large law firms. Their point of departure is the "Property...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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Methodology And Microeconomics In The Early Work Of Hyman P. Minsky
November 1, 2006, 12:00am PST
This paper reviews the recently published Ph.D. thesis of Hyman P. Minsky, summarizing its main contributions to methodology and microeconomics. These were aspects of economics with which Minsky...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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An Inquiry Into The Nature Of Money: An Alternative To The Functional Approach
November 1, 2006, 12:00am PST
The paper argues that the functional approach of money does not provide a good method to study monetary history and monetary mechanisms. An alternative approach is developed and illustrated by...
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Fisher's Theory Of Interest Rates And The Notion Of "Real": A Critique
November 1, 2006, 12:00am PST
By providing five different criticisms of the notion of real rate, the paper argues that this concept, as Fisher defined it or as a definition, is not relevant to economic analysis. Following...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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Expensive Living: The Greek Experience Under The Euro
December 1, 2006, 12:00am PST
Apart from its widely accepted direct advantages, the introduction of the euro has been accompanied by a surge of inflation in most of the EU member states. At the same time, wages - in part,...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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Global Imbalances, Bretton Woods II, And Euroland's Role In All This
December 1, 2006, 12:00am PST
Approaching the issue of mounting global imbalances from the perspective of the "Bretton Woods II hypothesis," this paper argues that the popular preoccupation with China's supposed export-led...
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Class Structure And Economic Inequality
January 1, 2007, 12:00am PST
Existing empirical schemas of class structure do not specify the capitalist class in an adequate manner. The authors propose a schema in which the specification of capitalist households is based...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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Demand Constraints And Big Government
January 1, 2007, 12:00am PST
In a series of articles and books, Harold Vatter and John Walker attempted to make the case that the U.S. economy suffers from chronically insufficient demand that leads to growth below capacity....
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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Productivity, Technical Efficiency, And Farm Size In Paraguayan Agriculture
February 1, 2007, 12:00am PST
This paper assesses the relationship between farm size and productivity. Both parametric and nonparametric methods are used to derive efficiency measures. Smaller farms are found to have higher...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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Are The Costs Of The Business Cycle "Trivially Small"? Lucas's Calculus Of Hardship And Chooser-Dependent, Non-Expected Utility Preferences
March 1, 2007, 12:00am PST
In his presidential address to the American Economic Association, Robert Lucas claimed that the welfare costs of the business cycle in the United States equaled .05 percent of consumption. His...
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Fiscal Policy In A Stock-Flow Consistent (SFC) Model
April 1, 2007, 12:00am PDT
This paper deploys a simple Stock-Flow Consistent (SFC) model in order to examine various contentions regarding fiscal and monetary policy. It follows from the model that if the fiscal stance is...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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Gender Disparities In Employment And Aggregate Profitability In The United States
May 1, 2008, 12:00am PDT
The authors explore the relationships between aggregate profitability and women's growing share of market work in the United States during the 1980s and 1990s. Using decomposition analysis and...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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Surveying American Jews And Their Views On Middle East Politics: The Current Situation And A Proposal For A New Approach
May 1, 2007, 12:00am PDT
This working paper takes up three related themes. In section 1, the author briefly describes the issues relevant to surveying American Jews and highlights the importance of authoritative national...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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Employment Guarantee Programs: A Survey Of Theories And Policy Experiences
May 1, 2007, 12:00am PDT
This working paper provides a survey of the theoretical underpinnings for the various employment guarantee schemes, and discusses full employment policy experiences in the United States, Sweden,...
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ELR-Led Economic Development: A Plan For Tunisia
May 1, 2007, 12:00am PDT
This paper establishes the financial feasibility of an Employer of Last Resort (ELR) program in a small developing country like Tunisia, and argues that an ELR-led economic development policy is...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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Economic Perspectives On Aging
May 1, 2007, 12:00am PDT
The aging of the U.S. population will be a critical public policy issue in the years ahead. This paper surveys the recent literature on the economics of aging, with a special emphasis on...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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Two National Surveys Of American Jews, 2000-01: A Comparison Of The NJPS And AJIS
May 1, 2007, 12:00am PDT
While there have been very few national surveys of American Jews, two that the authors do have are from the same period, 2000-01. They were conducted by different researchers using different...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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A Simplified "Benchmark" Stock-Flow Consistent (SFC) Post-Keynesian Growth Model
June 1, 2007, 12:00am PDT
Despite being arguably one of the most active areas of research in heterodox macroeconomics, the study of the dynamic properties of Stock-Flow Consistent (SFC) growth models of financially...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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Female Land Rights, Crop Specialization, And Productivity In Paraguayan Agriculture
July 1, 2007, 12:00am PDT
Previous work has shown a pattern of lower household incomes for those Paraguayan farms with female landowners in the household. The study of agricultural production reveals that Paraguayan women...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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Implementation Of The National Rural Employment Guarantee Act In India: Spatial Dimensions And Fiscal Implications
July 1, 2007, 12:00am PDT
Since its enactment in 2005, the National Rural Employment Guarantee Act (NREGA) has been implemented in 200 districts in India. Based on state-by-state employment demand-supply data and the use...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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The Effects Of A Declining Housing Market On The U.S. Economy
July 1, 2007, 12:00am PDT
Longstanding speculation about the likelihood of a housing market collapse has given way in the past few months to consideration of just how far the housing market will fall and how much damage...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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Who's A Jew In An Era Of High Intermarriage? Surveys, Operational Definitions, And The Contemporary American Context
July 1, 2007, 12:00am PDT
The old ways in which surveys of Jews handled marginal cases no longer make sense, and the number of cases involved is no longer small. The author examines in detail the public-use samples of the...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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The American Jewish Committee's Annual Opinion Surveys: An Assessment Of Sample Quality
July 1, 2007, 12:00am PDT
The American Jewish Committee (AJC) surveys of Jewish opinion are unique both in being conducted annually and in the subject matter covered. This paper assesses the quality of these samples. The...
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On Various Ways Of Measuring Unemployment, With Applications To Switzerland
August 1, 2007, 12:00am PDT
This paper begins with an examination of various ways of measuring unemployment and, borrowing ideas from the poverty measurement literature, proposes four new general unemployment indices. The...
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The Fed's Real Reaction - Function Monetary Policy, Inflation, Unemployment, Inequality - And Presidential Politics
August 1, 2007, 12:00am PDT
Using a VAR model of the American economy from 1984 to 2003, the authors find that, contrary to official claims, the Federal Reserve does not target inflation or react to "Inflation signals."...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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The Continuing Legacy Of John Maynard Keynes
September 1, 2007, 12:00am PDT
This working paper examines the legacy of Keynes's General Theory of Employment, Interest, and Money (1936), on the occasion of the 70th anniversary of the publication of Keynes's masterpiece and...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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Minsky's Approach To Employment Policy And Poverty: Employer Of Last Resort And The War On Poverty
September 1, 2007, 12:00am PDT
While Hyman P. Minsky is best known for his work on financial instability, he was also intimately involved in the postwar debates about fiscal policy and what would become the War on Poverty....
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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The Right To A Job, The Right Types Of Projects: Employment Guarantee Policies From A Gender Perspective
September 1, 2007, 12:00am PDT
There is now widespread recognition that in most countries, private-sector investment has not been able to absorb surplus labor. This is all the more the case for poor unskilled people. Public...
Provided by Levy Economics Institute
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What Are The Relative Macroeconomic Merits And Environmental Impacts Of Direct Job Creation And Basic Income Guarantees?
October 1, 2007, 12:00am PDT
There is a body of literature that favors universal and unconditional public assurance policies over those that are targeted and means-tested. Two such proposals - the basic income proposal and...
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Fiscal Deficit, Capital Formation, And Crowding Out In India
October 1, 2007, 12:00am PDT
This paper analyzes the real (direct) and financial crowding out in India between 1970-71 and 2002-03. Using an asymmetric Vector AutoRegressive (VAR) model, the paper finds no real crowding out...
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