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A Monetary Policy Strategy In Good And Bad Times: Lessons From The Recent Past

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Executive Summary

The authors evaluate the ECB's monetary policy strategy against the underlying economic structure of the euro area economy, in normal times and in times of severe financial dislocations. They show that in the years preceding the financial crisis that started in 2007 the strategy was successful at ensuring macroeconomic stability and steady growth despite shocks to the supply side and to the transmission mechanism which complicated the policy process. Emphasis on monetary indicators in the ECB's monetary policy strategy - the monetary pillar - was instrumental in avoiding more volatile and less predictable patterns of inflation and growth.

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