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A Multiagent Urban Traffic Simulation Part II: Dealing With the Extraordinary

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Executive Summary

Probabilistic Risk Management, risk is characterized by two quantities: The magnitude (or severity) of the adverse consequences that can potentially result from the given activity or action, and by the likelihood of occurrence of the given adverse consequences. But a risk seldom exists in isolation: chain of consequences must be examined, as the outcome of one risk can increase the likelihood of other risks. Systemic theory must complement classic PRM. Indeed these chains are composed of many different elements, all of which may have a critical importance at many different levels.

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