An Economic Theory Of Foreign Interventions And Regime Change
The author constructs a theory of foreign interventions in which the preferences of the foreign country over alternative local groups are determined by each group's international economic ties. In equilibrium, the foreign country supports the group with which it has the strongest ties, since this is most influenceable from the outside. However this is counterweighted by the tendency of the domestic political system to favour the least influenceable group. The author allows for a non-economic dimension of policy (geopolitics), and study how the saliency of this dimension may play in favor of the incumbent group.