Completion Confidence Measurement Tractatus (CCMT)
On November 9, 2010, a Boeing 787 Dreamliner test plane made an emergency landing in Laredo, Texas when the flight crew detected smoke in the passenger compartment. The airplane was originally scheduled to enter service in May of 2008. Currently Boeing officials are quiet about how the incident will affect the 787's delivery schedule. "It's tough to make predictions, especially about the future." - Yogi Berra This paper is a first attempt to define a project progress measurement system that will allow project managers to measure what is not yet known about their projects and to report a reasonable estimate of confidence about whether a project can be completed with its scope requirements satisfied, within an acceptable budget, and within an acceptable time.