Security

Investigating Sources Of Unanticipated Exposure In Industry Stock Returns

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Executive Summary

This paper investigates the sources of both foreign exchange rate and interest rate exposure of industry level portfolios in the G7, decomposing exposure into cash flow and discount rate effects. Initial examination of the degree of exposure on industry returns produces results consistent with the prior literature: that there is little evidence of exchange rate exposure in most industries - the exchange rate exposure puzzle. However, rather than relying solely on the sensitivity of industry returns, the authors examine the cash flow sensitivity to foreign exchange exposure, of primary interest to firm managers.

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