Business Intelligence

Making Early Predictions of the Accuracy of Machine Learning Applications

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Executive Summary

The accuracy of machine learning systems is a widely studied research topic. Established techniques such as cross-validation predict the accuracy on unseen data of the classifier produced by applying a given learning method to a given training data set. However, they do not predict whether incurring the cost of obtaining more data and undergoing further training will lead to higher accuracy. In this paper the authors investigate techniques for making such early predictions. They note that when a machine learning algorithm is presented with a training set the classifier produced, and hence its error, will depend on the characteristics of the algorithm, on training set's size, and also on its specific composition.

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