Monetary Policy, Housing Booms And Financial (Im)Balances

This paper uses a Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregressive Model (FAVAR) estimated on U.S. data in order to analyze monetary transmission via private sector balance sheets, credit risk spreads and asset markets in an integrated setup and to explore the role of monetary policy in the three imbalances that were observed prior to the global financial crisis: high house price inflation, strong private debt growth and low credit risk spreads. The results suggest that monetary policy shocks have a highly significant and persistent effect on house prices, real estate wealth and private sector debt as well as a strong short-lived effect on risk spreads in the money and mortgage markets.

Provided by: Deutsche Bundesbank Topic: CXO Date Added: May 2010 Format: PDF

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