Data Management

Optimal Pricing And Capacity Choice For A Public Service Under Risk Of Interruption

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Executive Summary

The authors develop rules for pricing and capacity choice for an interruptible service that recognize the interdependence between consumers' perceptions of system reliability and their market behavior. Consumers post ex ante demands, based on their expectations on aggregate demand. Posted demands are met if ex post supply capacity is sufficient. However, if supply is inadequate all ex ante demands are proportionally interrupted. Consumers' expectations of aggregate demand are assumed to be rational. Under reasonable values for the consumer's degrees of relative risk aversion and prudence, demand is decreasing in supply reliability.

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