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Revealed Preferences For Risk And Ambiguity

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Executive Summary

The authors replicate the essentials of the Huettel et al. (2006) experiment on choice under uncertainty with 30 Yale undergraduates, where subjects make 200 pair wise choices between risky and ambiguous lotteries. Inferences about the independence of economic preferences for risk and ambiguity are derived from estimation of a mixed legit model, where the choice probabilities are functions of two random effects: the proxies for risk-aversion and ambiguity-aversion. This principal empirical finding is that they cannot reject the null hypothesis that risk and ambiguity are independent in economic choice under uncertainty. This finding is consistent with the hypothesized independence of the neural mechanisms governing economic choices under risk and ambiguity, suggested by the double dissociation-fMRI study reported in Huettel et al.

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