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Structural Breaks And Purchasing Power Parity In The CEE And Post-War Former Yugoslav States

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Executive Summary

In this paper the authors investigate purchasing power parity in the CEE and post-War former-Yugoslav states during EU integration process 1994-2006. This work stems from longer term tests of real exchange rate convergence in the former Yugoslavia. This period is of interest on two fronts: First, it investigates real exchange dynamics in the aftermath of war financed in part through seignorage; and second, they investigate the level of economic integration with the European Union following the breakup of the former Yugoslavia. Given the short run nature of the available data they use panel unit root tests with and without structural breaks. Preliminary results suggest that real exchange rates between the former Yugoslav states and Germany are stationary when breaks are accounted for.

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