The Impact Of The Global Commodity And Financial Crises On Poverty In Vietnam
Economic growth in Vietnam has been fairly resilient to the global commodity and financial crises, but it is unclear why. In addition, the impact of the crises on employment and poverty is in dispute. The authors develop a dynamic computable general equilibrium model to decompose impacts and estimate distributional outcomes. Their results indicate that the 2008 commodity crisis increased employment and reduced poverty by favouring labour-intensive exports, especially in agriculture. The 2009 financial crisis reversed these gains.