Business Intelligence

Trade Crisis? What Trade Crisis?

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Executive Summary

The authors provide an analysis of the 2008-2009 trade collapse using microdata from a small open economy, Belgium. First, They find that changes in firm-country-product exports and imports occurred mostly at the intensive margin: the number of firms, the average number of destination and origin markets per firm, and the average number of products per market changed only very little. Second, econometric analysis reveals some composition effects in the intensive margin fall along firm, product and country characteristics. The most important factor explaining changes in exports is the destination country's growth rate of GDP.

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