Rumor mill about Yahoo's future goes into overdrive
December 3, 2008, 12:06pm PST | Length: 00:04:04
ZDNet correspondent Sumi Das talks with Editor in Chief Larry Dignan about the many variables at play in the Yahoo saga. Dignan also sifts through some of the theories about the search giant, sorting the probable from the impossible.
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Transcript
Sumi Das: Hello everybody, I'm Sumi Das for ZDnet.
Joining us today are editor and chief Larry Digman.
Larry, thanks for being with us.
Larry Digman: Any time.
Sumi Das: We're going to talk about Yahoo today,
because it seems like everybody's got a theory,
including you, about what's going to happen with this --
Larry Digman: Never-ending saga.
Sumi Das: Yes, this never-ending saga of this company.
Tell us what some of the theories are that are being
floated around.
Larry Digman: Well now I think we're really in the
trial balloon phase, where Jerry Yang is now chief of
Yahoo. They're looking for a CEO to replace him. So
you have this vacuum, and what do you do in a vacuum?
You throw something into it. And what's being thrown
out there a bunch of --
Sumi Das: You're saying this is intentional?
Larry Digman: Oh, completely intentional. I think
people are throwing out ideas, theories to the press,
mainstream blogs and otherwise, notably The Journal.
Floating some concepts of what are we going to do with
Yahoo. And you know, yesterday, the Wall Street Journal
reported that Jonathan Miller who was in the running to
be CEO at Yahoo wants to raise 28 to $30 billion, just a
little pocket change, to basically take Yahoo or at
least a part of it, buy a chunk and take it private.
The question here is, you know, would the market go for
it. I think any Yahoo shareholder that could get more
than they have today would probably take it and run.
But the question for me it whether it if you took Yahoo
private, what would you do with it. You know, would it
be acquired by visionaries or would it be acquired by
folks that are just going to strip it down and sell off
parts and saddle with a bunch of debt. Because if you
look at private equity, it's a train wreck. I mean,
they've -- they've destroyed a bunch of companies that
are now in bankruptcy just from that and other things.
So if that was the outcome, it probably wouldn't be a
good long term move. The other theory that's being
floated almost daily is that Microsoft is going to swoop
in and buy the search business.
Sumi Das: Which they keep saying that they're not
going to.
Larry Digman: Yeah, the official line is that they're
not interested in the whole company. I still think
they're interested in search, no matter what they say.
The question here is what does it look like on paper. I
mean, I think it looks pretty good for Yahoo. They
could get rid of search. Because they don't have the
resources to compete with Google. Microsoft has the
dough, they have the urge, and you know, they just want
to compete. So you know, it's going to wind up Google
Microsoft against each other in search anyway, so Yahoo
should probably just get out of the way and take a few
billion and run.
Sumi Das: What are some of the crazy rumors out there
that are just patently false -- that you think are just
never going to happen.
Larry Digman: Well, some of the CEO folks that are
being tossed out there, some of them have no media
experience, which I have a hard time seeing. I think
the private equity option doesn't make much sense at
all. In this environment I just don't see how you're
going to raise that much cash. Now, if this were a year
ago, Yahoo would be a great private equity take over
because these guys had cash out the wazoo. And they
still have cash, but now they're scared to spend it
because they're too busy messing with companies like
Chrysler and companies that are just -- aren't , you
know, they have other things to worry about than Yahoo.
So you know, but we are clearly in the trial balloon
stage, and I think people are just going float out a
bunch of theories to see what sticks. And if you throw
out a theory and Yahoo shares jump 25%, well, it's a
nice indication that you might be on to a good idea.
Sumi Das: So they're throwing out theories and
watching the stock market, that is the tactics --
Larry Digman: Yeah, traders are definitely profiting
from this stuff. I mean, you could float any theory
right now, you know, and all you need is a few seconds
of gains and you're out.
Sumi Das: It's fun to watch though, isn't it?
Larry Digman: It is. It's a very interesting stock
chart.
Sumi Das: And we can keep watching it and you'll keep
reporting back to us on all the latest. Larry, thank
you so much. For all the latest on Yahoo and everything
else happening in the tech industry you can go to
Blogs.zdnet.com.
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