Crisis? What Crisis? Currency Vs. Banking In The Financial Crisis Of 1931

This paper examines the role of currency and banking in the German financial crisis of 1931 for both Germany and the U.S. The authors specify a structural dynamic factor model to identify financial and monetary factors separately for each of the two economies. They find that monetary transmission through the Gold Standard played only a minor role in causing and propagating the crisis, while financial distress was important. They also find evidence of crisis propagation from Germany to the U.S. via the banking channel. Banking distress in both economies was apparently not endogenous to monetary policy. Results confirm Bernanke's (1983) conjecture that an independent, non-monetary financial channel of crisis propagation was operative in the Great Depression.