Investment Across The Taiwan Strait: How Taiwan's Relationship With China Affects Its Position In The Global Economy

The signing of the Economic Cooperation Framework Agreement (ECFA) between Taiwan and the People's Republic of China (PRC) on 29 June 2010 was achieved after a major debate in Taiwan, with over 40,000 people marching at one event in Taipei in opposition to what they saw as the potential threat from the agreement. For President Ma Ying-jeou it was the fulfillment of a large part of his election promise, and it was presented as a major achievement. The agreement is one of the most tangible indicators of greater links between the Mainland and Taiwan, and will have significant implications in the years ahead. This paper looks at where Taiwan might be by the year 2020.