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revenue forecasting
(108 results)-
Downloads
Try IBM Cognos Express FREE for 30 days for integrated reporting, analysis & planning
Dec 2009
Download a free trial of IBM Cognos Express, the first and only integrated business intelligence (BI) and planning solution purpose-built for midsize companies. Get essential reporting, analysis,...
Provided by IBM
-
Whitepapers
Get more from BI by understanding your analysis needs
Oct 2009
By understanding the four major types of analysis companies can avoid the common pitfalls that derail more traditional approaches to BI implementation.
Provided by IBM
-
White Papers
Making A Revenue Projection: How To Project Income When You Depend On A Few Large Accounts
Jul 2007
The problem with projecting revenue when your business depends on a few large accounts is predicting when you're going to land that next new client and how much the new business will be worth....
Provided by Suite101
-
White Papers
Improving Revenue Cycle Efficiency For High Performance: Accenture's Revenue Assurance Solutions For Utilities
Dec 2008
Retail utilities are finding it more difficult than ever to keep customers current with their utility bills. Consumers are falling behind on paying their utility bills as they struggle with high...
Provided by Accenture
-
White Papers
Q & A With Barry Keating: Smarter Forecasting, Better Profits
Nov 2009
For businesses, it's crucial to have accurate forecasts for product demand. When there's an economic downturn that curbs orders, they risk big losses if they have too much inventory. Likewise,...
Provided by University of Notre Dame (Mendoza)
-
White Papers
Do Euro Area Forecasters (Still) Have Faith In Macroeconomic Building Blocks?
Oct 2009
Since the early beginning of the financial and economic crisis in 2007, economists began to raise concerns about the usefulness of macroeconomic building blocks, because none of them had predicted...
Provided by Kellogg / WHU-Otto Beisheim School
-
White Papers
Cargo Revenue Management With Allotments And Spot Market Demand
Jan 2010
The paper considers a problem faced by an airline that operates a number of parallel flights to transport cargo between a particular origin destination pair. The airline can sell its cargo...
Provided by Queen's University
-
White Papers
Predictable Currency Risk Premia
Aug 2009
Currency excess returns are highly predictable, more than stock returns, and about as much as bond returns. Author shows that in a general, no-arbitrage setup, expected currency excess returns...
Provided by University of California, Los Angeles (Anderson)
-
White Papers
Self-Selection And The Forecasting Abilities Of Female Equity Analysts
May 2009
This paper investigates whether there are systematic differences between the forecasting style and abilities of female and male analysts, and whether market participants recognize these...
Provided by University of Texas at Austin (McCombs)
-
White Papers
Sentiment-Driven Overvaluation And Management Forecasting Strategies
Jan 2010
Prior research suggests that managers adopt disclosure strategies to exacerbate sentiment driven overvaluation, concluding that managers either "Keep quiet" or inject bias into certain voluntary...
Provided by University of Texas at Austin (McCombs)
-
White Papers
Management Earnings Forecasts: A Review And Framework
Jan 2008
In this paper, author provides a framework in which to view management earnings forecasts. By evaluating management earnings forecast research within the context of this framework, author renders...
Provided by University of Texas at Austin (McCombs)
-
White Papers
The Financial Crisis, Rethinking Of The Global Financial Architecture, And The Trilemma
Apr 2010
This paper extends the previous paper (Aizenman, Chinn, and Ito 2008) and explores some of the unexplored questions. The authors examine the channels through which the trilemma policy...
Provided by Asian Development Bank Institute
-
White Papers
Projecting Global Economic Growth An Information Technology Contribution-Based Approach
Sep 2008
This paper introduces a framework for projecting economic growth that takes into account the contribution of Information Technology. The author applies this framework to forecast the growth of...
Provided by National University of Singapore School of Business
-
White Papers
Dynamic Revenue Management For Online Display Advertising
Nov 2008
In this paper, the authors propose a dynamic optimization model to maximize a web publisher's online display advertising revenues. Specifically, the model dynamically selects which advertising...
Provided by University of California, Los Angeles (Anderson)
-
White Papers
Robust Controls For Network Revenue Management
Sep 2007
Revenue management models traditionally assume that future demand is unknown, but can be represented by a stochastic process or a probability distribution. Demand is however often difficult to...
Provided by University of California, Los Angeles (Anderson)
-
White Papers
4 Secrets Of Meaningful Projections
Mar 2010
Most business owners feel one of two ways about projections. Either they feel projections are worthless because they cannot predict the future, or they feel projections are a mechanism to make...
Provided by American Express
-
White Papers
The Three Budgets
Mar 2010
We're all optimistic about the future of our business. Without that optimism, we wouldn't be able to push through the challenges of small business ownership. Our dream of a sunny future and our...
Provided by American Express
-
White Papers
Term Structure Forecasting Using Macro Factors And Forecast Combination
Jan 2010
The authors examine the importance of incorporating macroeconomic information and, in particular, accounting for model uncertainty when forecasting the term structure of U.S. interest rates. They...
Provided by Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
-
White Papers
The Taylor Rule And Forecast Intervals For Exchange Rates
Mar 2009
This paper attacks the Meese-Rogoff (exchange rate disconnect) puzzle from a different perspective: out-of-sample interval forecasting. Most studies in the literature focus on point forecasts. In...
Provided by Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
-
White Papers
Estimating The Parameters Of A Small Open Economy DSGE Model: Identifiability And Inferential Validity
Nov 2008
This paper estimates the parameters of a stylized dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model using maximum likelihood and Bayesian methods, paying special attention to the issue of weak...
Provided by Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
-
White Papers
Predicting Cycles In Economic Activity
Apr 2008
Predicting cycles in economic activity is one of the more challenging but important aspects of economic forecasting. This paper reports the results from estimation of binary probit models that...
Provided by Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
-
White Papers
Automatic Stabilizers And The Size Of Government: Correcting A Common Misunderstanding
Jul 2010
The size of government is a commonly used variable in many analytical studies on the effects of fiscal policy. An accepted practice is to measure it as the ratio of government spending to GDP....
Provided by International Monetary Fund
-
White Papers
In Search Of Lost Revenue: Why Restoring Fiscal Soundness After A Crisis Is Harder Than It Looks
Jun 2010
This note argues that because fiscal deficit after a crisis owe much to a drop in tax revenues and a sluggish revenue growth, its adjustment has to rely more on revenue augmentation than commonly...
Provided by International Monetary Fund
-
White Papers
New Keynesian Exchange Rate Pass-Through
Jul 2008
The recent development literature stresses that countries that receive large revenues from natural resource endowments typically raise less revenue from domestic taxation, and that this creates...
Provided by International Monetary Fund
-
White Papers
Bank Recycling Of Petro Dollars To Emerging Market Economies During The Current Oil Price Boom
May 2008
Fiscal performance in Latin America looks much improved this decade compared to the 1980s or 1990s. Is this a "structural" improvement or likely to be transitory? This paper answers this question...
Provided by International Monetary Fund
-
White Papers
Determinants Of Tax Revenue Efforts In Developing Countries
Jul 2007
This paper contributes to the existing empirical literature on the principal determinants of tax revenue performance across developing countries by using a broad dataset and accounting for some...
Provided by International Monetary Fund
-
White Papers
U.S. Revenue Surprises: Are Happy Days Here To Stay?
Jun 2007
A key question for U.S. policymakers is whether the recent strength in federal revenue is likely to continue. This question is addressed through an econometric analysis of the determinants of tax...
Provided by International Monetary Fund
-
White Papers
Box Office Revenue Forecasting: A System Dynamics Approach
May 2009
System dynamics models offer tremendous potential for use as forecasting tools. The primary advantages offered by systems dynamics-based forecasting models over traditional forecasting methods...
Provided by Sensorlytics
-
White Papers
MIS Alea The Engine For Reforecasting
Jun 2007
Competition is fiercer now than it has ever been. Requirements for reporting up to date actuals are greater than ever and the need to analyse data and spot trends to gain competitive advantage is...
Provided by Corporate Financial Management Systems
-
Whitepapers
Bridging Operational & Financial Forecasting
Jun 2010
This white paper examines the need for an analytic and planning environment based on definitions and metrics that are common to operations and finance. An environment like this can 1) provide...
Provided by IBM
-
White Papers
The Determinants Of Foreign Box Office Revenue For English Language Movies
Jun 2009
This paper examines the determinants of foreign box office revenue for English language movies. The sample consists of 449 films released during 2006-2008. Regression results indicate the primary...
Provided by West Texas A&M University
-
White Papers
Auction Pricing: A Case Study Assessing The Price Elasticity Of Demand Based On Supply And The Revenue Equivalence Theorem
Feb 2009
This paper addresses the price elasticity of demand related to various categories of goods sold within the consignment auction-marketing environment. An actual ongoing non-traditional business...
Provided by University of Texas
-
White Papers
Forecasting U.S. Investment
Nov 2010
This Working Paper should not be reported as representing the views of the IMF. The views expressed in this Working Paper are those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of the IMF...
Provided by International Monetary Fund
-
White Papers
Forecasting Financial Market Annual Performance Measures: Further Evidence
Sep 2010
Forecasting is simple; producing accurate forecasts is the essential task. Experience suggests that financial managers often assume that because models used in forecasting are appropriate that...
Provided by Science Publications
-
White Papers
The Year Ahead
Jan 2010
No one can accurately predict how the economy will perform in 2010. Most stock markets are up and many signs point to a recovery that is gaining some momentum. At the same time, the latest US...
Provided by Business Process Trends
-
White Papers
Forecasting Exchange Rate Change Between USD And JPY By Using Dynamic Adaptive Neuron-Fuzzy Logic System
Jun 2008
Foreign exchange rate is a chaotic time series which is consistent with the Mackey-Glass equation. Fuzzy logic is an intelligent computational technique and has good potential in forecasting...
Provided by Eastern Connecticut State University
-
White Papers
Over-Reaction To Demand Changes Due To Subjective And Quantitative Forecasting
Aug 2008
In this paper, the authors study managers' errors in decision making for inventory replenishment and how these errors affect their inventory system. In particular, primarily for its expected...
Provided by Harvard Business School
-
White Papers
Dramatic Revenue Growth? Without Selling!
Feb 2010
This paper gives a step-by-step action plan to radically re-design the company's sales approach, eliminating the need for pushy salespeople and developing long-term relationships with the...
Provided by IdeaBridge
-
White Papers
Forecasting In The Presence Of Recent Structural Change
Dec 2010
The authors examine how to forecast after a recent break. They consider monitoring for change and then combining forecasts from models that do and do not use data before the change; and robust...
Provided by Bank of England
-
Podcasts
Forecasting Cloud Computing: Opportunities For Banking
Jan 2011
Cloud computing can cut costs; increase efficiency and help banks achieve competitive differentiation. In this podcast, Accenture's author outlines opportunities for banks that use cloud...
Provided by Accenture
-
Podcasts
IBM Cognos Express Product Demo Overview
Jan 2013
Delivering essential reporting, analysis, dashboard, scorecard, planning, budgeting and forecasting capabilities that workgroups and midsize companies need at a price they can afford.
Provided by IBM
-
Whitepapers
Success in the cloud: Why workload matters
Mar 2012
Companies are continuously challenged by stakeholders to drive new revenue opportunities and efficiencies while lowering costs. This whitepaper discovers how by implementing cloud computing across...
Provided by IBM Australia
-
Whitepapers
Telco 2015: Five Telling Years, Four Future Scenarios
Apr 2012
Despite the run-up in mobile revenues over the last few years, communications revenue growth is beginning to falter as voice markets in developing countries saturate. Unfortunately, content and...
Provided by IBM
-
White Papers
Intra-Industry Information Transfers And The Post-Earnings Announcement Drift
May 2008
This paper examines the role of intra-industry information transfers in the post-earnings announcement drift. The authors find that subsequent same-industry earnings announcements are strongly...
Provided by Northeastern University
-
White Papers
The Relationship Between Directors' Independence, Reputation And Management Earnings Forecasts
Nov 2007
The authors examine the relationship between corporate governance and management earnings forecasts. They extend the prior literature by examining the impact of independent director reputation on...
Provided by University of Melbourne
-
White Papers
Transformed Telcos Can Build Businesses as Other Enterprises Face Transformation
Jul 2011
Telecoms operators often don't realize how admired they are in other industries for how well they have transformed their sector. They have huge potential selling those services to enterprises that...
Provided by SAP
-
White Papers
The Impact Of Management Earnings Forecasts On Firm Risk And Firm Value
May 2009
This paper investigates whether voluntary management disclosure of earnings forecasts influences investors' long-term assessment of firm risk and firm value. The authors control for possible...
Provided by University of Western Ontario
-
White Papers
Why Do Analysts Issue Long-Term Earnings Growth Forecasts? An Empirical Analysis
Sep 2007
The authors examine analysts' motives to issue Long-Term earning Growth (LTG) forecasts. They find that analysts are more likely to issue LTG forecasts when their incentive to please managers is...
Provided by University of Alabama
-
White Papers
The Role Of Analysts~ Earning Forecasts In The Valuation Process: An Introductory Overview
Aug 2010
This paper explains how analysts' earnings estimates (issued early in a fiscal year) affect the valuation process, illustrating key concepts with analyst forecast data. To derive estimates of...
Provided by Rutgers, State University of New Jersey
-
White Papers
How Accurate Are Government Forecasts Of Economic Fundamentals? The Case Of Taiwan
Aug 2009
A government's ability to forecast key economic fundamentals accurately can affect business confidence, consumer sentiment, and foreign direct investment, among others. A government forecast based...
Provided by University of Tokyo
-
White Papers
Does The FOMC Have Expertise, And Can It Forecast?
Aug 2009
The primary purpose of the paper is to answer the following two questions regarding the performance of the influential Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) of the Federal Reserve System, in...
Provided by University of Tokyo
-
White Papers
VaR Forecasts And Dynamic Conditional Correlations For Spot And Futures Returns On Stocks And Bonds
Oct 2009
The paper investigates the interdependence and conditional correlations between futures contracts and their underlying assets, both for stock and bond markets, and the impact of the...
Provided by University of Tokyo
-
White Papers
Forecasting Realized Volatility With Linear And Nonlinear Models
Oct 2009
In this paper the authors consider a nonlinear model based on neural networks as well as linear models to forecast the daily volatility of the S&P 500 and FTSE 100 indexes. As a proxy for daily...
Provided by University of Tokyo
-
White Papers
Evaluating Macroeconomic Forecasts: A Review Of Some Recent Developments
Mar 2010
Macroeconomic forecasts are frequently produced, published, discussed and used. The formal evaluation of such forecasts has a long research history. Recently, a new angle to the evaluation of...
Provided by University of Tokyo
-
White Papers
Are Forecast Updates Progressive?
Apr 2010
Macro-economic forecasts typically involve both a model component, which is replicable, as well as intuition, which is non-replicable. Intuition is expert knowledge possessed by a forecaster. If...
Provided by University of Tokyo
-
White Papers
Anti-Takeover Provisions And Corporate Disclosure
Aug 2007
The authors examine the effects of Anti-Takeover Provisions (ATPs) on corporate disclosure by testing the following two hypotheses: The market pressure hypothesis, which predicts that firms with...
Provided by Texas Christian University
-
White Papers
Dispersion In Analysts' Earnings Forecasts And Credit Rating
Jul 2007
This paper shows that the puzzling negative cross-sectional relation between dispersion in analysts' earnings forecasts and future stock returns results from financial distress as proxied by...
Provided by University of Maryland
-
White Papers
GDP Modelling With Factor Model: An Impact Of Nested Data On Forecasting Accuracy
Apr 2011
Uncertainty associated with an optimal number of macroeconomic variables to be used in factor model is challenging since there is no criteria which states what kind of data should be used, how...
Provided by Munich Personal Repec Archive
-
White Papers
Multi-Period Credit Default Prediction With Time-Varying Covariates
Apr 2011
In credit default prediction models, the need to deal with time-varying covariates often arises. For instance, in the context of corporate default prediction a typical approach is to estimate a...
Provided by Munich Personal Repec Archive
-
White Papers
Evaluating Density Forecasts: A Comment
May 2011
This is a comment on Mitchell and Wallis (2011) which in turn is a critical reaction to Gneiting et al. (2007). The comment discusses the notion of forecast calibration, the advantage of using...
Provided by Munich Personal Repec Archive
-
White Papers
Monetary Policy With Judgment: Forecast Targeting
Nov 2007
Forecast targeting, forward-looking monetary policy that uses central-bank judgment to construct optimal policy projections of the target variables and the instrument rate, may perform...
Provided by Munich Personal Repec Archive
-
White Papers
Nonlinear Combination Of Financial Forecast With Genetic Algorithm
Nov 2007
Complexity in the financial markets requires intelligent forecasting models for return volatility. In this paper, historical simulation, GARCH, GARCH with skewed student-t distribution and...
Provided by Munich Personal Repec Archive
-
White Papers
Exchange Rate Determination: An Empirical Study for Emerging Economies
Nov 2007
This paper replicates empirical studies of models of exchange rate determination for a set of seven emerging economies: Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Mexico, Turkey, South Africa and South Korea. All...
Provided by Insper Institute of Education and Research
-
White Papers
The Properties Of Market-Based And Survey Forecasts For Different Data Releases
Nov 2007
The authors compare the accuracy of the survey forecasts and forecasts implied by economic binary options on the U.S. nonfarm payroll change. These options are available for a number of ranges of...
Provided by Munich Personal Repec Archive
-
White Papers
Decomposing Federal Funds Rate Forecast Uncertainty Using Real-time Data
Feb 2009
This paper uses real-time data for the U.S. to estimate out-of-sample forecast uncertainty about the Federal Funds Rate. By combining a Taylor rule with an unobserved components model of economic...
Provided by Munich Personal Repec Archive
-
White Papers
Exchange Rates Predictability In Developing Countries
Aug 2009
The main objective of this paper is to re-investigates the exchange rates predictability puzzle using monetary model. It is hypothesised that the performance of exchange rate predictability is...
Provided by Munich Personal Repec Archive
-
White Papers
Forecasting In Vector Autoregressions With Many Predictors
Mar 2010
This paper addresses the issue of improving the forecasting performance of Vector AutoRegressions (VARs) when the set of available predictors is inconveniently large to handle with methods and...
Provided by Munich Personal Repec Archive
-
White Papers
Economic Forecasts With Bayesian Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model: Choosing Optimal Prior In Economic Downturn
Sep 2009
Bayesian inference requires an analyst to set priors. Setting the right prior is crucial for precise forecasts. This paper analyzes how optimal prior changes when an economy is hit by a recession....
Provided by Munich Personal Repec Archive
-
White Papers
Signal Extraction And Forecasting Of The UK Tourism Income Time Series. A Singular Spectrum Analysis Approach
Nov 2009
The authors present and apply the Singular Spectrum Analysis (SSA), a relatively new, non-parametric and data-driven method used for signal extraction (trends, seasonal and business cycle...
Provided by Munich Personal Repec Archive
-
White Papers
The Role Of Regime Shifts In The Term Structure Of Interest Rates: Further Evidence From An Emerging Market
Nov 2009
In this paper, the authors investigate the interrelations among Turkish interest rates with different maturities by using a regime switching Vector Error Correction (VECM) Model. They find a long...
Provided by Munich Personal Repec Archive
-
White Papers
VAR Forecasting Using Bayesian Variable Selection
Mar 2010
This paper develops methods for automatic selection of variables in forecasting Bayesian Vector AutoRegressions (VARs) using the Gibbs sampler. In particular, the author provides computationally...
Provided by Munich Personal Repec Archive
-
White Papers
Financial Forecast For The Relative Strength Index
Oct 2010
In this paper the authors provide a closed-form expression for one of the most popular index in Technical Analysis: the Relative Strength Index (RSI). Given that they show how the standard...
Provided by Munich Personal Repec Archive
-
White Papers
Real-time Nowcasting Of GDP: Factor Model Versus Professional Forecasters
Feb 2011
This paper performs a fully real-time nowcasting (forecasting) exercise of US real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth using Giannone, Reichlin and Small (2008) factor model framework which...
Provided by Munich Personal Repec Archive
-
White Papers
Adaptive Forecasting Of Exchange Rates With Panel Data
Oct 2010
This paper investigates the statistical and economic implications of adaptive forecasting of exchange rates with panel data and alternative predictors. The candidate exchange rate predictors are...
Provided by University of Technology Sydney
-
White Papers
What Do We Know About Comparing Aggregate And Disaggregate Forecasts?
Mar 2009
This paper compares the performance of "Aggregate" and "Disaggregate" predictors in forecasting contemporaneously aggregated vector ARMA processes. An aggregate predictor is built by forecasting...
Provided by Universite Catholique de Louvain
-
White Papers
Improving The Forecasting Of Dynamic Conditional Correlation: A Volatility Dependent Approach
Nov 2009
Forecasting volatility in a multivariate framework has received many contributions in the recent literature, but problems in estimation are still frequently encountered when dealing with a large...
Provided by Centre For North South Economic Research
-
White Papers
Fundamentalists Vs. Chartists: Learning And Predictor Choice Dynamics
Sep 2008
In a simple, forward looking univariate model of price determination the authors investigate the evolution of endogenous predictor choice dynamics in presence of two types of agents:...
Provided by University of Manchester
-
White Papers
Variable Selection And Inference For Multi-Period Forecasting Problems
Jan 2009
This paper conducts a broad-based comparison of iterated and direct multi step forecasting approaches applied to both univariate and multivariate models. Theoretical results and Monte Carlo...
Provided by University of Cambridge
-
White Papers
On The Difficulty Of Measuring Forecasting Skill In Financial Markets
Aug 2010
The use of correlation between forecasts and actual returns is commonplace in the literature, often used as a measurement of investors' skill. A prominent application of this is the concept of the...
Provided by University of Cambridge
-
Podcasts
Forecasting Cloud Computing: Opportunities For Banking
Jan 2011
Cloud computing can cut costs; increase efficiency and help banks achieve competitive differentiation. In this podcast, Accenture's author outlines opportunities for banks that use cloud...
Provided by Accenture
-
White Papers
Over-Reaction To Demand Changes Due To Subjective And Quantitative Forecasting
Aug 2008
In this paper, the authors study managers' errors in decision making for inventory replenishment and how these errors affect their inventory system. In particular, primarily for its expected...
Provided by Harvard Business School
-
Whitepapers
Get more from BI by understanding your analysis needs
Oct 2009
By understanding the four major types of analysis companies can avoid the common pitfalls that derail more traditional approaches to BI implementation.
Provided by IBM
-
Downloads
Try IBM Cognos Express FREE for 30 days for integrated reporting, analysis & planning
Dec 2009
Download a free trial of IBM Cognos Express, the first and only integrated business intelligence (BI) and planning solution purpose-built for midsize companies. Get essential reporting, analysis,...
Provided by IBM
-
White Papers
Making A Revenue Projection: How To Project Income When You Depend On A Few Large Accounts
Jul 2007
The problem with projecting revenue when your business depends on a few large accounts is predicting when you're going to land that next new client and how much the new business will be worth....
Provided by Suite101
-
White Papers
Improving Revenue Cycle Efficiency For High Performance: Accenture's Revenue Assurance Solutions For Utilities
Dec 2008
Retail utilities are finding it more difficult than ever to keep customers current with their utility bills. Consumers are falling behind on paying their utility bills as they struggle with high...
Provided by Accenture
-
White Papers
Q & A With Barry Keating: Smarter Forecasting, Better Profits
Nov 2009
For businesses, it's crucial to have accurate forecasts for product demand. When there's an economic downturn that curbs orders, they risk big losses if they have too much inventory. Likewise,...
Provided by University of Notre Dame (Mendoza)
-
White Papers
Do Euro Area Forecasters (Still) Have Faith In Macroeconomic Building Blocks?
Oct 2009
Since the early beginning of the financial and economic crisis in 2007, economists began to raise concerns about the usefulness of macroeconomic building blocks, because none of them had predicted...
Provided by Kellogg / WHU-Otto Beisheim School
-
White Papers
Cargo Revenue Management With Allotments And Spot Market Demand
Jan 2010
The paper considers a problem faced by an airline that operates a number of parallel flights to transport cargo between a particular origin destination pair. The airline can sell its cargo...
Provided by Queen's University
-
White Papers
Predictable Currency Risk Premia
Aug 2009
Currency excess returns are highly predictable, more than stock returns, and about as much as bond returns. Author shows that in a general, no-arbitrage setup, expected currency excess returns...
Provided by University of California, Los Angeles (Anderson)
-
White Papers
Self-Selection And The Forecasting Abilities Of Female Equity Analysts
May 2009
This paper investigates whether there are systematic differences between the forecasting style and abilities of female and male analysts, and whether market participants recognize these...
Provided by University of Texas at Austin (McCombs)
-
White Papers
Sentiment-Driven Overvaluation And Management Forecasting Strategies
Jan 2010
Prior research suggests that managers adopt disclosure strategies to exacerbate sentiment driven overvaluation, concluding that managers either "Keep quiet" or inject bias into certain voluntary...
Provided by University of Texas at Austin (McCombs)
-
White Papers
Management Earnings Forecasts: A Review And Framework
Jan 2008
In this paper, author provides a framework in which to view management earnings forecasts. By evaluating management earnings forecast research within the context of this framework, author renders...
Provided by University of Texas at Austin (McCombs)
-
White Papers
The Financial Crisis, Rethinking Of The Global Financial Architecture, And The Trilemma
Apr 2010
This paper extends the previous paper (Aizenman, Chinn, and Ito 2008) and explores some of the unexplored questions. The authors examine the channels through which the trilemma policy...
Provided by Asian Development Bank Institute
-
White Papers
Projecting Global Economic Growth An Information Technology Contribution-Based Approach
Sep 2008
This paper introduces a framework for projecting economic growth that takes into account the contribution of Information Technology. The author applies this framework to forecast the growth of...
Provided by National University of Singapore School of Business
-
White Papers
Dynamic Revenue Management For Online Display Advertising
Nov 2008
In this paper, the authors propose a dynamic optimization model to maximize a web publisher's online display advertising revenues. Specifically, the model dynamically selects which advertising...
Provided by University of California, Los Angeles (Anderson)
-
White Papers
Robust Controls For Network Revenue Management
Sep 2007
Revenue management models traditionally assume that future demand is unknown, but can be represented by a stochastic process or a probability distribution. Demand is however often difficult to...
Provided by University of California, Los Angeles (Anderson)
-
White Papers
4 Secrets Of Meaningful Projections
Mar 2010
Most business owners feel one of two ways about projections. Either they feel projections are worthless because they cannot predict the future, or they feel projections are a mechanism to make...
Provided by American Express
-
White Papers
The Three Budgets
Mar 2010
We're all optimistic about the future of our business. Without that optimism, we wouldn't be able to push through the challenges of small business ownership. Our dream of a sunny future and our...
Provided by American Express
-
White Papers
Term Structure Forecasting Using Macro Factors And Forecast Combination
Jan 2010
The authors examine the importance of incorporating macroeconomic information and, in particular, accounting for model uncertainty when forecasting the term structure of U.S. interest rates. They...
Provided by Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
-
White Papers
The Taylor Rule And Forecast Intervals For Exchange Rates
Mar 2009
This paper attacks the Meese-Rogoff (exchange rate disconnect) puzzle from a different perspective: out-of-sample interval forecasting. Most studies in the literature focus on point forecasts. In...
Provided by Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
-
White Papers
Estimating The Parameters Of A Small Open Economy DSGE Model: Identifiability And Inferential Validity
Nov 2008
This paper estimates the parameters of a stylized dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model using maximum likelihood and Bayesian methods, paying special attention to the issue of weak...
Provided by Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
-
White Papers
Predicting Cycles In Economic Activity
Apr 2008
Predicting cycles in economic activity is one of the more challenging but important aspects of economic forecasting. This paper reports the results from estimation of binary probit models that...
Provided by Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
-
White Papers
Automatic Stabilizers And The Size Of Government: Correcting A Common Misunderstanding
Jul 2010
The size of government is a commonly used variable in many analytical studies on the effects of fiscal policy. An accepted practice is to measure it as the ratio of government spending to GDP....
Provided by International Monetary Fund
-
White Papers
In Search Of Lost Revenue: Why Restoring Fiscal Soundness After A Crisis Is Harder Than It Looks
Jun 2010
This note argues that because fiscal deficit after a crisis owe much to a drop in tax revenues and a sluggish revenue growth, its adjustment has to rely more on revenue augmentation than commonly...
Provided by International Monetary Fund
-
White Papers
New Keynesian Exchange Rate Pass-Through
Jul 2008
The recent development literature stresses that countries that receive large revenues from natural resource endowments typically raise less revenue from domestic taxation, and that this creates...
Provided by International Monetary Fund
-
White Papers
Bank Recycling Of Petro Dollars To Emerging Market Economies During The Current Oil Price Boom
May 2008
Fiscal performance in Latin America looks much improved this decade compared to the 1980s or 1990s. Is this a "structural" improvement or likely to be transitory? This paper answers this question...
Provided by International Monetary Fund
-
White Papers
Determinants Of Tax Revenue Efforts In Developing Countries
Jul 2007
This paper contributes to the existing empirical literature on the principal determinants of tax revenue performance across developing countries by using a broad dataset and accounting for some...
Provided by International Monetary Fund
-
White Papers
U.S. Revenue Surprises: Are Happy Days Here To Stay?
Jun 2007
A key question for U.S. policymakers is whether the recent strength in federal revenue is likely to continue. This question is addressed through an econometric analysis of the determinants of tax...
Provided by International Monetary Fund
-
White Papers
Box Office Revenue Forecasting: A System Dynamics Approach
May 2009
System dynamics models offer tremendous potential for use as forecasting tools. The primary advantages offered by systems dynamics-based forecasting models over traditional forecasting methods...
Provided by Sensorlytics
-
White Papers
MIS Alea The Engine For Reforecasting
Jun 2007
Competition is fiercer now than it has ever been. Requirements for reporting up to date actuals are greater than ever and the need to analyse data and spot trends to gain competitive advantage is...
Provided by Corporate Financial Management Systems
-
Whitepapers
Bridging Operational & Financial Forecasting
Jun 2010
This white paper examines the need for an analytic and planning environment based on definitions and metrics that are common to operations and finance. An environment like this can 1) provide...
Provided by IBM
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White Papers
The Determinants Of Foreign Box Office Revenue For English Language Movies
Jun 2009
This paper examines the determinants of foreign box office revenue for English language movies. The sample consists of 449 films released during 2006-2008. Regression results indicate the primary...
Provided by West Texas A&M University
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White Papers
Auction Pricing: A Case Study Assessing The Price Elasticity Of Demand Based On Supply And The Revenue Equivalence Theorem
Feb 2009
This paper addresses the price elasticity of demand related to various categories of goods sold within the consignment auction-marketing environment. An actual ongoing non-traditional business...
Provided by University of Texas
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White Papers
Forecasting U.S. Investment
Nov 2010
This Working Paper should not be reported as representing the views of the IMF. The views expressed in this Working Paper are those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of the IMF...
Provided by International Monetary Fund
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White Papers
Forecasting Financial Market Annual Performance Measures: Further Evidence
Sep 2010
Forecasting is simple; producing accurate forecasts is the essential task. Experience suggests that financial managers often assume that because models used in forecasting are appropriate that...
Provided by Science Publications
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White Papers
The Year Ahead
Jan 2010
No one can accurately predict how the economy will perform in 2010. Most stock markets are up and many signs point to a recovery that is gaining some momentum. At the same time, the latest US...
Provided by Business Process Trends
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White Papers
Forecasting Exchange Rate Change Between USD And JPY By Using Dynamic Adaptive Neuron-Fuzzy Logic System
Jun 2008
Foreign exchange rate is a chaotic time series which is consistent with the Mackey-Glass equation. Fuzzy logic is an intelligent computational technique and has good potential in forecasting...
Provided by Eastern Connecticut State University
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White Papers
Dramatic Revenue Growth? Without Selling!
Feb 2010
This paper gives a step-by-step action plan to radically re-design the company's sales approach, eliminating the need for pushy salespeople and developing long-term relationships with the...
Provided by IdeaBridge
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White Papers
Forecasting In The Presence Of Recent Structural Change
Dec 2010
The authors examine how to forecast after a recent break. They consider monitoring for change and then combining forecasts from models that do and do not use data before the change; and robust...
Provided by Bank of England
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Podcasts
Forecasting Cloud Computing: Opportunities For Banking
Jan 2011
Cloud computing can cut costs; increase efficiency and help banks achieve competitive differentiation. In this podcast, Accenture's author outlines opportunities for banks that use cloud...
Provided by Accenture
