Microsoft

Do Vista users come from XP?

The theory is that people on XP will skip over to Windows 7 when it appears and Vista users will come from Windows 2000. A silly idea that can be disproved by a simple graph -- or can it?

The old wives tale goes that most people in the "real world" will buy every second version of Windows.

The theory being that those who used Windows 98 moved to Vista. Presumably leaving Windows 95 users to move to Windows ME? I have no idea how this is meant to work when there were two branches of the Windows line of 9x and NT.

Using this idea as a basis, leads us the conclusion that people on XP will skip over to Windows 7 when it appears and Vista users will come from Windows 2000.

A silly idea that can be disproved by a simple graph showing the monthly percentages of Builder AU readers from the start of January 2007 through to the end of January 2008.



Maybe there is something in this old wives tale after all.

The proper question to ask before making any conclusions is what has happened to XP over that interval?



A slight decrease but not much to write home about.

You can see the same trend at w3schools.com's OS statistics.

So what is happening here? Are people actually skipping a generation of Windows operating system? Or am I attempting to see patterns where there are none? Perhaps there is a similar percentage of early adopters and people who adopt one generation behind?

Without intensive study, I cannot come to a reasonable conclusion. Can you?

Give us your thoughts by commenting below.

About Chris Duckett

Some would say that it is a long way from software engineering to journalism, others would correctly argue that it is a mere 10 metres according to the floor plan.During his first five years with CBS Interactive, Chris started his journalistic advent...

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