You may be getting pressure to move your company’s computer systems to Windows 2000 as soon as possible. Or you may just be eager to get your hands on Active Directory. But leading analyst firm Giga Information Group believes that there will not be a rush to adopt this new operating system in the next several months.
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In a recent Giga survey of more than 1,100 Windows NT user firms, just 10 percent said they would migrate to Windows 2000 in the first three months, and only 30 percent would do so within 12 to 18 months. The responses from early adopters to Windows 2000 will likely influence the pace of adoption for the rest of us. Not surprisingly, those with a wait-and-see attitude are asking the usual questions: Will it be hard to install? Will bugs be a significant problem? When 1,128 NT specialists were asked if they thought Windows 2000 version 1.0 would be relatively easy to install and would be bug-free, only 6 percent were very confident that it would be; 41 percent were somewhat confident, 30 percent were not confident at all, and 23 percent believed it would be neither easy to install nor bug-free. So it appears that about half of us aren’t too concerned, while the other half are waiting to see what happens.

Giga predicts that most firms will wait until the second half of 2000 to migrate to Windows 2000. To prepare for that migration, Giga recommends doing the following:

  • Take a realistic inventory of your Windows NT domain directory architecture.
  • Consolidate it and collapse it if necessary.
  • List hardware that will need to be upgraded.
  • Determine which third-party applications you will need.
  • Determine which existing applications need upgrading.
  • Evaluate the number and expertise of your service and support personnel.
  • Meet with experienced outsourcers to determine what they can do to help in your migration.

The source of the following data is the Giga Information Group assumption paper “Windows 2000 Deployment: Steady March but No Stampede,” by Laura DiDio, Dec. 27, 1999.

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