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Gmail initiative! A viable business model!

By Dr. Al Olaimi ·
Recently Google announced the Gmail project initiation. And I?ve been reading most of those who got involved in discussing Google entry to such venture. I would summarize all responders? comments into 3 categories:
1. How would Google be able to stop spam
2. how Google would benefit financially (business model)
3. how far Google would go in supporting such large storage.

Some other minor comments included other issues which are not less important in their own merits, yet still fall into one of the three previous categories, i.e. Google messenger (Gim), personalization of accounts, portals and so forth.

In an attempt to give myself a starting point, I thought of it in a macro prospective, thus I would go for answering question #2 first, then justify #3, ending with an attempt to describe an effective method in blocking spam (theoretically).

A. The moment that Google was recognized for its superior search engine, they were able to provide net- demographics, usage behavior, aggressive proactive capture and comparison for all in-listed web pages, changes pre and post changes as per monitored traffic. An extremely important statistical analysis reports for to the content about search patterns to advertisers would easily be available. Such self-positioning by Google would only be described comparably as ?the modern age censes department?, but this time it?s global near real-time coverage!

Once Google develop a scan technique that would scan the contents of emails, Google shall be able to provide even more analytical prospective, but this time supported with factual figures about their findings. Even though anonymity is assured, still scanning email contents is not going to be a crime since what is sought are merely patterns not intimate details ? something in the nature of an added value virus scanning ?.

Henceforth, the ultimate behavioral analysis tool for measuring human-web interactivity and usability is geared up to be delivered to mass marketing and advertisement centric organizations, only after merging both email and user search patterns! But what if we could add to it the preset user-requested news letters and interests? Therefore, the only natural progress is to have personalization touch intact to it e.g. semi-portal coupled with peer to peer messaging. Voila, we got the basic building block for a business model that is indeed promising.

Regardless to the fact that offering 1 GB free sounds appealing, yet it is possible to cause a churn in competitors? serious users who are dependant on long term retention of some ?valuable? emails. I can not see Google spending much on what already was invested hardware wise, as simple calculation to thousands of servers already installed, it is easier to calculate the storage that was already bundled and installed. For our argument purposes, I would consider an average of 60 GB of storage was provided per server ? very classical figure ?, and should be there 10,000 server running, then this would be considered enough for serving 600,000 clients immediately only if they are going to use there allowed quota in full, which is impossible to reach during the first 6 months of full deployment of Gmail! All statistics leads to the sold fact that the average user/customer would use no more than one third of his/her quota (given the fact that larger than 2 MB multi-media attachments? transfer is prohibited to avoid possible copy rights violation). This would translate into an immediate doubling to the size of client base! Shall figures change I would presume it will reflect better forecasting in favor Google.

Not to mention if Gmail offers POP3 and IMAP accessibility that would push more users to ?clean? their accounts and move their ?contents? into their own ?local hard drives?, another increase in storage space that would translate into more quota for other potential subscribers.

However, the investment will be defiantly on the band width usability. Nevertheless, Gmail would be ready to be shipped as a corporate solution with a little bit of value additives to it. Shall we say a MS-Exchange competitor is in the horizon?

B. As for blocking spam, I would believe the only effective way to prevent spam is not to install spam ?reception? blockers software/tools, instead install a spam initiator blocking mechanism. This would require a miniature scanner as an extension to mail servers, only to scan the content of any bulk email at sending time ? only possible through buffering all bulk mail to given enough time for the scanner to work effectively ?, Shall content of the buffered bulk email match with a rate of 90-100% along with a variable recipient?s list, then it is clearly a spam.

The only method to develop such tool would be to have the right proven technology of ?search engine?. Do we need to guess what would be the most superior search engine running so far?

Although the subject is not rounded up entirely, I am pretty much sure that I already flooded the discussion area with enough words, especially after writing this article one shot non-stop!

Shall be any comments, I would appreciate very much if it is shared with me by sending it directly to my email because I am a constant TechRepublic newsletter reader, but not that much of visitor to discussion areas.

Thank you

Dr. Al Olaimi
olaimi@infonovation.com

This conversation is currently closed to new comments.

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Gmail vs Yahoo

by patrick642 In reply to Much to do about nothing ...

Thanks. You know, you may be right, as to the least intrusiveness of Google. I'm going to have to hear from a couple of folks who I trust and see what they think of it. Maybe I'll even test drive it myself to check it out.
But you are dead on about the privacy of email. For the past 22 years I've been attempting to get people to pay attention to their own security instead of relying on someone else. Email, if not encrypted, is fair game - and with a good hacker, even encrypted email is not 100% safe. And definitely corporate email (as we all know) is not private nor safe if you want confidentiality.

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Proofread!

by ticonderoga In reply to Gmail initiative! A viabl ...

Dr Olaimi, I looked forward to reading your article on the implications of Google's Gmail service. Unfortunately, it was so poorly written that I couldn't make much sense of it. What is ?the modern age censes department?? Are you honestly able to make sense of "Therefore, the only natural progress is to have personalization touch intact to it e.g. semi-portal coupled with peer to peer messaging"? Please proofread your work in the future.

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pencil pusher should be more humble

by Steve In reply to Proofread!

it made sense to me. I think the bigger problem you personally encountered was unfamiliarity with the jargon. Maybe you don't know what the census department does or have trouble with english? adding a compound adjective that is also a figure of speech such as "modern day" to "census department" will no doubt be confusing to non english readers.

in conclusion, yes it could be improved in clarity, but it's better composed and thought out than your criticism which suffered from exageration and the associated loss of rapport and credibility.

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Blathering segments notorize the avuncular ozone grapefruit

by shorne In reply to pencil pusher should be m ...

Um...no, Ticonderoga is correct. Much of Dr. Als message is lost due to the poor writing skills. Ti's example "Therefore, the only natural progress is to have personalization touch intact to it e.g. semi-portal coupled with peer to peer messaging" may have meaning, but only Dr. Al would know what it is. Why you would defend such a sloppy posting is beyond me.

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Oververbaizationing inevetably mean Confusination !

by HermanatorIII In reply to Blathering segments notor ...

I agree with both sentences I was able to decipher. I'm sure this guy knows a lot, except about the English language.

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Physician heal thyself

by seldred In reply to pencil pusher should be m ...

In the first place, the doctor wrote "censes", not "census" - just one of many, many obvious spelling, punctuation, and word usage errors. It sounded like he had an interesting idea, but I had to guess at what he really meant.

In the second place, just what do YOU mean by "...exageration (sp!) and the associated loss of rapport and credibility"?!!

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Take an English Class at your local college

by The_Punisher79 In reply to Proofread!

Good content, but quite disjointed and full of grammatical and spelling errors. Maybe it was typed up on the fly, so I'll give you some room there. Trying to use big words without knowing what they mean or how to use them in a sentence doesn't look all that professional.

I'm all for larger free email services, but I'm not willing to take it at a substantial cost. If you want to STOP spam for good, don't encourage it in a legal way! What's the use of a GB of storage if half of it is advert. crap that Google thinks I need to see? What's preventing major spammers from hijacking the system and me having literally thousands of messages in my inbox one day? I HATE with a passion spending major amounts of my time cleaning junk mail out my email accounts. Google needs to think this through wisely, since other free email providers will more than likely follow suite in some way soon after GMail takes off.

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correction

by chrisnl In reply to Take an English Class at ...

I think that should be "follow suit."

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THX

by The_Punisher79 In reply to correction

Chris,

Thanks for the correction, even with using Spellchecker I can't spell :)

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?Cred

by muttaga In reply to Take an English Class at ...

Might be a good argument, but I find stylistic deficiencies erode the credibility of the content as well.

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