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Microsoft is running scared

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Let's be frank here. Until Linux started to show its colours on the desktop, Windows has had very little competition, and when something did come along, it wasn't anything Microsoft couldn't handle with a little FUD.

Now that Linux has emerged as a credible Windows replacement, Microsoft has had to pick up its game. For the first time in 20 years, Microsoft has a worthy competitor: the open source community.

44 replies

by deadly ernest

Linux and Open Source for the last decade or more. The only difference in the last few years is that some people have started to spend money marketing Linux - something not previously done. But it will take time to get through the multi-million dollar MS campaigns.

by jck

Just look at the first screen shots TR had of Vista.

Can anyone say...KDE look-alike?

I noticed too that MS modified their "X" button to look different. Wonder why?

Gotta love intellectual theft.

by oz_media

They stole Novell's network directory and management system too, well they tried to come close anyway.

This isn't running scared though, if someone has something that gains market share and then you have it too, that's not running scared that's outdoing your competition, now teh competition has ot come up with somethign better again, which MS will again take.

The whole basis of Windows from day one was to steak good code and brand it as your own.

However they have succeeded very well at doing so. With the hysteria and excitement over Win7, I think it will be back to the drawing board for potential competitors.

by william.bondy

Until I see a copy of Linux any version sitting on the shelves at Best Buy, I won't be worrying much. Linux is great but as soon as you attach a price tag to it and offer 24/7 support the community bashes it. And what would that price be???

I?m a guy who spends tons of time trying to save money for companies and I would never recommend a Linux box even know it can be Free. The software is free but the time spend on it over the years cost far too much money than a HQL MS server or PC.

I think Linux people put themselves in a position of power because there the only one who understands what they have built even another Linux guys would take a long time trying to figure out what the hell that last guy did. Why a company/Business would put themselves in that position is beyond me everyone is expendable. Everyone will quit sooner than later and at the point if you don?t have good Documents your business is at jeopardy. Everyone laughs at MS because it?s all the same and any old IT guy could work on it. I love that fact that there is a website called TechNet.com and Event codes that are very easy to look up. I have always said between TechRepublic and TechNet are all any MS IT guys ever need to solve any MS problems.

I have base my entire career on MS I will never say they are perfect by any means and they have pissed me off with Licensing fees over the years but they have a good standard that meets everyone needs today, and as Linux grows MS grows twice as much.

I would never say I wish Linux would just disappear, I believe that fact that MS has progressed is because of Linux and other competition. Competition is healthy but I really don?t believe Linux will be Mainstream any time soon. And if they become mainstream server and Desktops it would be a sell out because I guarantee you there will large fees just for the support alone! I base most of my decisions on Support, if a problem rises I don?t want to re-invite the solution, it should already be on TECHNET.

by deadly ernest

several years ago I worked in a secure gateway where we had several Linux boxes and a few Windows boxes. It took six times as long to build and harden a Windows box as it did a Linux box and we spent four times more work on maintenance of the Windows boxes than we did the Linux boxes.

There are already organisations that provide support contracts for Linux - like red Hat etc. But the damn things just work so well they don't get much from them. They spend more time in customising software for people.

The only reason a Linux guy can get power in an IT area is because none of the other people will be bothered to take the time to learn how simple most Linux systems are, they'd rather stick with their Windows boxes and ignore the rest.

There are more Linux boxes providing Internet services than Windows boxes, Linux is in so many embedded systems that it's not funny - and the reason for that is the stability of the system.

The only thing Windows does better than Linux is predatory marketing.

by jmgarvin

It's not as well maintained as it used to be, the articles are crap, and it's just not keeping up to date with articles.

by charliespencer

Linux runs on less than 5% of the world's desktops. Apple runs on many more systems, with an equally dedicated fan base, and it hasn't scared MS yet.

The problem with viewing the OSS community as a competitor to MS is that it is just that: a community, not a business. MS sets goals and objectives for each product line and the employees work toward those specified goals. The OSS community has no specified goals, feuding factions, and no overall leadership with the ability or authority to set direction or settle feuds.

by jck

in one way that open source has no defacto standard, it is in many ways a blessing.

All that feuding brings more points to the table, which means things get hashed over more and what not.

At MS, the business decision is a consideration in deployment decision making and an end toward driving corporate financial goals as well as meeting technological goals.

I don't know if I could fault the open source community for feuding. It drives innovation.

Besides, who should be setting standards?

Microsoft?

or

W3C,IEEE, IETF, etc?

I don't know about you, but I'd be more comfortable with the latter.

by cg it

If anyone remembers the days of DOS and Windows 3.1, they will remember IRQ conflicts, having to create config.sys and autoexec files, and the problems associated with getting all the hardware to work let alone getting applications to work [Direct Access was a nifty program for that].

What Microsoft did with Windows was allow computers to be usable by Joe/Jane Consumer who had with little or not technical knowledge.

The open source community has made big strides in this area but it is still open source not creating a standardized product that Joe/Jane consumer can use without technical knowledge that keeps open source solutions from mass market.

And this debate between Windows and Open Source will most likely end with Cloud Computing and Thin Clients.

by charliespencer

This is one of those questions that I toss into the 'Philosophy' category.

Standards SHOULD be set by independent agencies such as those you mention.

In the real world, independent standards are often ignored in favor of the most popular solutions. In this case, MS users ARE setting the standards.

De jure vs. de facto - you may be more comfortable with the former, but I have to work with the latter.

by aaron mason

Pamletto,

I challenge your claim that it runs on less than 5% of the world's desktops. Every machine I've tried to run Linux on has been faultless - heck, it will even happily run on an Apple - and it did long before Boot Camp came along - and that says a lot for a proprietary system.

In regards to Linux having no overall leadership, I think you miss the point. Linux itself is not an operating system - it is a collaboration of operating systems, each with the same core, but each with its own goals in mind: RHEL and SUSE aim for the enterprise market, Debian wants to run on as many things as possible, Ubuntu brings Linux to ordinary computer users, CentOS brings enterprise stability to the lower-end market and Gentoo puts the power of what you get in your system in your hands. BSD is exactly the same - each strand comes from the same history, though admittedly the core of each has evolved separately depending on their goals - OpenBSD to out-of-the-box security, FreeBSD for power with ease of use, NetBSD for running on everything from your desktop to the kitchen sink and DragonflyBSD for bringing BSD to the desktop.

Yes, they still have a long way to go, but it can't be denied that Microsoft's game has picked up dramatically. Every good businessman knows that it doesn't matter how streamlined your processes are, nor does it matter how much money you make, if you're churning out crap and there's something better out there, people will use that instead of your products. Even an involute knows that.

by bfilmfan

According to the report, "Worldwide Client and Server Operating Environment Market Forecast and Analysis, 2002-2007," Windows desktop OS sales worldwide increased from 93.2 percent of the market in 2001 to 93.8 percent in 2002, accounting for more than $9.75 billion in sales. Various Mac OS versions stalled in second place, with just 2.9 percent of the market (and 2.2 percent of the revenues), although IDC noted that Apple will soon relinquish second place to Linux, which saw desktop growth in 2002 to 2.3 percent of the market. All told, 121 million client OSs shipped in 2002, IDC says; about 113 million were XP, 3.5 million were Mac OS, and 2.9 million were Linux.

Source: http://windowsitpro.com/article/articleid/40481/os-market-share-microsoft-stomps-the-competition.html

Windows OS share at 88.26% followed by MAC and then Linux as of February 2009.

Source:
http://news.cnet.com/8301-10805_3-10154133-75.html

by charliespencer

"I challenge your claim that it runs on less than 5% of the world's desktops. Every machine I've tried to run Linux on has been faultless..."

I'm guessing you are referring to being able to run Linux on any model of desktop, and not just 5% of the different models available. If that's the case, I agree with you; Linux will run on darn near anything.

What I meant was that Linux is installed only 5% of all the desktops in use. Not that those systems are capable of running Linux, but that 95% of the users have chosen to run something else (mostly Windows or OS X).

by drowningnotwaving

Linux may be [i]capable[/i] of running on more than 5% of the world's desktop machinery. You need to find reference to prove that it does, though.

In the meantime check this out ...

http://www.netmarketshare.com/report.aspx?qprid=9&qpcustom=Linux

I know it is only one reference but it is there, and it is up to date as at January 2010.

It is, of course, open for challenge should you have another reference.

{ It doesn't however split the share between corporates and households, which I can't find any up to date figures so far ... }

by oz_media

Priceless!

So when you woke up form this dream were your sheets damp?

Runnign scared from a company with a mere tick of teh market share. There are SO many thousands, hundreds of thousands of business in the world that couldn't consider Linux that MS knows very well they have little to nothing to worry about.

It is likely that a small increase, just one or two percent of teh market share, would make MS consider a new ad campaign, however i'm sure that Linux being able to conquer more than a meager market share is not there concern.

Runnign scared ? :D I guess you buy into the 2012 end of the world theory too, huh?

by thamadgreek

I would actually speak on this comment but as we can all see from a MS user who can not get the spelled right through this doc and also running? Wow thank you for showing the idiots that make up Microsoft as a whole. Of course all you can talk about is shares that does not say much about the streangth of them but how about a company that has released 2 very unstable OS's to the world and had to go back to fix it. Oh wait and on top of it all people would go and purchase another version that was supposed to be stable. You must drive a ford to because of the stability of the Pinto they released right? Wow makes me laugh thank you for that.

by aaron mason

Thank you for your very... um... sophisticated response.

You miss the point entirely. Most of MS's market share comes from the corporate sector. Those customers demand stability and compatibility with the rest of the world, and so far, Microsoft has been able to fit the bill (mostly because they don't have the time or resources to check out other alternatives). Home users are getting fed up with the instability and want change. Linux (and its derivatives) provide a stable yet ever improving platform for that change.

TL;DR version: Linux is becoming a viable alternative for those who wish to seek it.

And yes, I do believe the world will end "as we know it" - not stop cold, but something will come along that will change the world so profoundly that the world will never be the same. Maybe alien contact. Who knows?

Oh and one last thing... please learn how to spell. I agree with the person who said this - your post was quite painful to read. At least you split your argument into paragraphs, thank you for that.

by charliespencer

Dude, this ship has sailed. If you're going to wait five months between posts on a topic, it's going to be difficult for others to maintain interest.

Singular 'world changing' events like alien contact are not worth planning for. More likely the world as we know it will not 'end', but change gradually via evolutionary processes, not revolutionary ones.

by vishuindian

In near future, microsoft should be ready to face tough fight from open source solutions. Knowledge(software) should be free ..

by charliespencer

Software isn't knowledge. Software is a tool used to manage certain kinds of knowledge storage. Tools aren't necessarily free, and I'm not building tools without compensation.

by drowningnotwaving

[i]Knowledge(software) should be free [/i]

Defend your position.

Why should any new idea that I invent be delivered at no cost to anyone and everyone else?

Do you suggest this rule should apply to all fields of endeavour? What, if any, are the boundaries?

edit shpellnk

by aaron mason

You know, "free" doesn't always mean price. "Free" can refer to freedom - in other words, we can do what we want with it to suit our needs. We shouldn't be encumbered by what one person (or organisation) thinks is good for us - we should have the ability to define that for ourselves, and to choose a solution to suit that definition.

Freedoms extend to the creators as well. You are free to charge whatever price you wish, and to release it under whatever terms suit you and your goals. Heck, you're even free to make sure that only those who pay for it can use it, even though such attempts are inherently flawed from the outset - ask the thousands of software companies in a constant arms race against software crackers.

When companies try to restrict freedom beyond reasonable bounds (and this is subjective as well), that's where we have a problem. Especially if such attempts cause problems for legitimate users.

by charliespencer

Well, maybe it was maintained but it's always been cumbersome to use. I've always found it easier to Google a problem and let that find the appropriate TechNet page than to try to use any of Microsoft's tools for searching TechNet. Just me, I guess.

by jmgarvin

Ya, it's easier to google foo site:technet.com...However, it seems like for at least the past couple years nothing is being updated and it's just not maintained....

by william.bondy

I am guessing in serveral years that would be windows NT 3.1. Please post some Facts that Linux has more Boxes prividing Internet services than windows?

by jck

But, Kubuntu is easy to install and use as Windows...excepting them referring as your first drive as hd0 rather than C.

Other than that, I installed it and it autoconfigured as well as XP did.

by jck

I write and maintain the HR/Inventory/Budget system which is an Access Database (ugh).

I also write non-MS website stuff as well as Java and C++.

I do SQL Server and Oracle.

I do Office and OpenOffice.org.

I do 6 flavors of Windows and mess with 3 flavors of Linux.

Also, Gates/MS "contributes" to the panels for a lot of stuff. Hell, he's the reason Adobe is so big...because True-Type Fonts were nothing before integrated into Windows.

MS users aren't setting the standards. Their complacency to continue using the most brainless software drives Gates power to persuade and coerce standards makers to accept Microsoft's ideologies.

Like Cyndi Lauper sang: "Money changes everything."

by seanferd

That post was practically unreadable.

Wait - since I have issues with MS, and rather like Linux and BSD, and mess around with Minix, Haiku, and Plan 9, I wasn't supposed to call attention to that, was I?

by bfilmfan

I am not sure honestly, but the retail market may be nearly as large as the corporate computer environment.

by deadly ernest

frequently put up showing that Windows has just short of 100% of market share - but the source is retail computer sales from major dealers, which is virtually the major vendor sales records - all the vendors that have sweetheart deals with MS. Essentially the stats are the Windows sales stats against the Mac sales stats.

Now the point is worth knowing as they NEVER take into account sales through minor retailers or purchases where the provided OS is wiped and replaced with something else.

by jkameleon

Ballmer looks pretty stupid on that famous video, but the strategy of being more developer friendly was sound. The end result was Visual Studio, which is the best possible way of getting large numbers developers (myself included) to stick with Microsoft. As a matter of fact, lack of a tool, as productive as VS, is the only reason I haven't switched to Linux.

The old truth, that OS is as good as applications and tools running on it, still applies.

by aaron mason

Hi,

You make some sound points there, and while the lack of a friendly IDE does make life difficult, there's good reason to develop for Open Source operating systems.

First, the toolchain is pretty much installed by default in some operating systems, and if not, it's a download and install away. Distributions like those based on Debian have a "build-essential" package that installs a complete toolchain into your system, free of charge (not including any charges your ISP might hit you with for exceeding your download quota). There's a number of IDEs available, but as you say there's probably a way to go to make them as friendly as VS.

Second, since the toolchain is readily available, it's easy to prepare your software for ever changing platforms. If errors arise from running your older versions on newer systems, update your toolchain and system libraries and rebuild it. Errors? No worries, the code's right there for you to fix them, and in most cases, compiler output is usually intuitive enough to tell you what's going on.

On the other hand, easy-to-use tools can be a double-edged sword. How do you know that the templates provided by VS are the best way to do it? How do you know that those provided by your chosen IDE aren't hiding any nasties that will make your application slow, make it crash, add any security problems, or a mix of the above? Do you have the time to make sure that the template you're using is on the level? If you're using a tool that provides ease of use, my guess is no.

There's value in handling the code yourself from go to whoa - you know exactly what's going into it, you can audit every little bit of it for problems and security issues, and there's less of a chance of nasty surprises unless you suck at coding.

Of course, if you know for sure that the templates are on the level, then all the power to you. Going from go to whoa isn't for everyone, hence the existence of such tools.

I hope you don't think I'm preaching, because I know that not everyone marches to the beat of the same drummer.

An OS is indeed as good as the tools it provides. That's the beauty of Open Source - the "killer app" (ugh) you write today could end up in a distro later on, with your name on it. No Microsoft system will provide that, and if they do, you certainly won't get any credit for it.

by drowningnotwaving

Hi SS,

[i]We shouldn't be encumbered by what one person (or organisation) thinks is good for us - we should have the ability to define that for ourselves, and to choose a solution to suit that definition.[/i]

... Valid, agreed by me and (in my interpretation) entirely available to anyone in today's desktop environment.

I'm comfortable that your definition is [i]not[/i] what the person intended in their post.

In the nicest possible fashion, of course.

by santeewelding

[b]simplersolution[/b] holds more back than he puts forth.

Unless, of course, he is already banging away on all cylinders and is near his end.

by aaron mason

> I'm comfortable that your definition is not what the person intended in their post.

No, I don't think it is either. I was simply offering a different viewpoint.

This is one of the biggest conflicts between open and closed source software - when people think "free" they think money instead of freedom. As such when people say "free software" they expect that it is indeed free of charge. People also associate "free of charge" with "crap" - another impediment.

All of these issues would, at least, be lessened if not eliminated, if people would realise that it really means that you're free to do with it what you please, without encumberment, even sell it.

Until that happens, there'll be a lot of resistance towards open source software. More people are realising this, however, and the tides are turning - but there's a long way to go.

by aaron mason

Agreed, but figured I should say something anyway.

The only reason people are in a turn over this is because it happens to be when the Mayan calendar expires. Someone, somewhere figured that when a dead civilisation's calendar expires, something huge is going to happen.

I doubt the world's heading for cataclysm, though. It doesn't have to be aliens - it could be a major scientific breakthrough, a UN treaty that everyone agrees is the Right Thing To Do(TM)... the possibilities are endless.

by charliespencer

on the day the Mayan calendar expires, we will get up and find a massive fusion explosion burning over our heads, pouring tremendous heat and light over the entire planet, and that it will burn for billions of years.

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