Novell has been VERY actively marketing in BC as well as the rest of Canada and Europe.
I have been to more than seven Novel seminars this year and have only seen ONE Microsoft booth at a trade fair in Vancouver, MS just doesn't sit well here.
as far as Linux, HP/Compaq and IBM are already selling workstations AND servers with Novell Linux in them (Ximian and SUSE, which blow away any RedHat efforts) XD2 has MAJOR advantages over Windoze, Open Office is phenominal and pretty much handles any office document in it's first release, with the exception of some macros in Excell.
Novell has taken a MAJOR turn in incorporating the Linux kernel, on the contrary, I see more Novell installs than Microsoft. BC Institue of Technology ofers more Novell and Linux courses than MS because it is in higher demand. Novell is FAR more stable than Windows will ever hope to be, easier to maintain, more resourceful and a lot more affordable than MS. Ms is a dirty word in Canada, it just sucks and everyone knows it now.
Most people in Vancouver have turned against MS ANYTHING (whether server, desktop, games, office etc.) as people here despise Bil Gates and his typically American business tactics that as I've said before, just don't fly here. We aren't American or even remotely similar to Americans, in Canada.
When I was in Europe last, I saw nothing but Novell seminars, luncheons, product showcases etc. They are targeting hard, although their marketing efforts in the US seem few and far between.
I don't even know where to buy a copy of server 2003, I could probably get one from my reseller on order but it is not a product of interest here anymore. Those with SOME Network knowledge use the latest Netware 6.5 with GroupWise email as it offers a far better suite of STABLE tools than MS Server 2003 (such as i-Folder, which can't be beat) and for less money, thus providing better ROI. Those a little more savvy will jump on the Novell Ximian for Desktops package as it offers a full set of desktop goodies, email software (Evolution, Exchange compliant), Open Office a true office suite and much more in the initial box for less than $99.00. No more licencing everything you want to complment your desktop.
Until Microsoft can create a stable DESKTOP and NOS, that comes packaged with MS Office, MS Exchange and other fter market offerings, they will have their work cut out if they wish to remain on top. Novell's market share has grown drastically in the past two years, they have shown margins WELL above Microsoft and are gaining market share daily. They are certainly going to provide a viable alternative for all those milions who are sick to death of a MS products.
So will you be the next person to make a massive market prediction and be caught with his pants down?
"We will never need more than a 386."
"There is no use for anything more than a 750 MB hard drive"
"...but even I recognize the fact that NetWare does not, nor will it ever, dominate the networking operating system market the way that Windows does."
Right, and Japanese compact cars will never outsell the North American auto industry.
Instead of looking ahead 5 or even 10 years, look backward. Microsoft has done nothing except make personal computing easier. They have created more nightmares than ANY other player in the industry, their software is the most insecure product available, the most targeted and the most exploited and unreliable. People are getting sick of it, as they have for many years now, other players who once lead the market are now providing MUCH better value for money in their solutions, peace of mind and security. This is EXACTLY what businesses are seeking in network software now.
As for Ximian, I have just today been contracted to tear out yet another a mixed Unix MS environment to be replaced with Novell Ximian, XD2 for desktops and Evolution email.
It's always the guy who sits and smirks at the top of the hill that falls farthest.
Novell is going nowhere but up, MS products aren't going anywhere either, perhaps that's the MS problem, they are in a comfort zone and that is exactly when you start to get pushed around.
So to conclude, I wil agree that MS is going to dominate the US market, as you have all chosen to make it that way for some reason. It is definitely not a favorite in Canada, Gemany or England, or....
I think the difference for IT stff will be when they realize that being an MCSE is about as effective as having grade 12 and pays about the same.
Novell MCSE's are still in demand and reap higher pay as the budget isn't split between 12 IT staff members and there is less competition for work.
The high number of MCSE's, whether real techs or just thiose who cheated to get a quick cert and join the IT ranks, is another reason MS products are so widely reccomended in the US. Once the schools there start teaching mroe MCNE's, Novell will be reccommended more often and the scales will balance. Staff reccommendations are a GOOD portion of MS sales, not product capabilities.