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The fundamentalist factor ....
I wish to annouce that I, a humble foreigner from Australia who is not supposed to know anything about American politics, correctly predicted the outcome of the US Presidential election, and also the principal factor behind Bush's victory.
It is actually very simple: George Bush claims to be a born-again Christian. I figured that masses of Christians would vote for him because of his stand on moral issues, and overlook the more important issues (IMHO of course) of the national economy and the war in Iraq.
My forecast was vindicated 100 per cent in an interview shown on Australian television last night (Thursday evening my time).
Here is a link to the interview:
http://www.abc.net.au/lateline/content/2004/s1235130.htm
And here is the relevant excerpt:
"In voter surveys taken as people left their polling places across America, a surprising fact emerged.
A large percentage of voters ranked moral issues as high in order of importance to them as terrorism, the war in Iraq and the economy.
And even more significant, of those who ranked moral issues as their number one concern, 80 per cent voted for George Bush.
And bear this in mind, it's estimated 25 per cent of the electorate are white Evangelicals or born again Christians.
This mobilisation of new voters from that group has emerged as one of the deciding factors in the campaign.
As President Bush himself acknowledged, the architect was his political guru Karl Rove.