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Next Day's Advance Market Decisions

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The Stock Market Held And Should Move Higher

by jdg8119 In reply to Next Day's Advance Market ...

<strong>Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Look" to: http://www.mktmetrics.com/ - see for yourself at what prices Specialists and Market Makers buy and sell your stocks.</strong><br /><br />Track our successful growth on: www.mktmetrics.com/usage<br /><br />Tuesday 06-6-06: DJIA close 11,002.14 down -46.58 vs. Prior day: -199.15<br />DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 11,272.74 -18.58 (down) vs. Prior day: -18.58<br /<em>the DJIA is trading below its 21-day moving average</em&gt<br /><br /><strong>Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening<br />Wednesday June 7 Stock Market Forecast<br />DJIA probability of closing "Up" Wednesday: 58% </strong><br /><br /><em>Market Comment:</em> The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 58% probability to be "Up" Wednesday. The DJIA Trend declined Tuesday. Wednesdays often do quite well. Sorry about the late Blog today. We had a massive power outage. The Stock Market will now make a stand and move higher for a while. Our objective of a decline for the DJIA is 10,800. The DJIA 11,000 level held support yesterday in the decline, which, is very positive. Good luck and good trading.<br /><br /><strong>Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low):</strong><br />DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Wednesday: 58% (High 100% / Low 0%)<br />DJIA Trend: Falling Today 26% vs. Yesterday 32% (High 94% / Low 10%)<br />DJIA Momentum: Falling Today 32% vs. Yesterday 39% (High 87% / Low 13%)<br />DJIA Flow of Funds: Falling Today 19% vs. Yesterday 23% (High 97% / Low 10%)<br />DJIA Volatility: Rising Today 1.70% vs Yesterday 1.52% (High 2.11% / Low 0.17%)<br /><br /><strong>Institutional Investor Statistics (Historic High / Low):</strong><br />Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling Today -.08% vs Yesterday -.05% (High .19% / Low -.24%)<br />Institutional Demand Factor: Falling Today 34.94% vs Yesterday 35.55% (High 58.32% / Low 22.19%) <br />Institutional Inventory Factor: Falling Today 36.68% vs Yesterday 39.84% (High 71.45% / Low 33.48%)<br />Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Falling Today -.20 vs. Yesterday -.13 (High .35% / -.41)%<br /><br /><em>DJIA Outlook:</em> Bearish Falling Today 37% vs. Yesterday 38% (High 86% / Low 18%)<br /><em>Stock Market Outlook:</em> Bearish Falling Today 38.9% vs. Yesterday 43.8% (High 93.9 / Low 12.2%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)<br /><br />******************************************************************************<br /><strong>10-Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish</strong><br />DIA: Falling Today -34% vs. Yesterday -22% (High 62% / Low -48%)<br />SPY: Falling Today -32% vs. Yesterday -26% (High 62% / Low -54%)<br />MDY: Falling Today -55% vs. Yesterday -43% (High 85% / Low -64%)<br />IWM: Rising Today -34% vs. Yesterday -36% (High 71% / Low -53%)<br />QQQQ: Falling Today -26% vs. Yesterday -23% (High 54% / Low -43%)<br />SMH: Falling Today -48% vs. Yesterday -45% (High 45% / Low -52%)<br />IYT: Rising Today -38% vs. Yesterday -42% (High 80% / Low -51%)<br />IDU: Falling Today 4% vs. Yesterday 12% (High 61% / Low -64%)<br />XLE: Falling Today -25% vs. Yesterday -20% (High 62% / Low -41%)<br />XLF: Falling Today -9% vs. Yesterday -3% (High 31% / Low -33%)<br /><br /><strong>Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com</strong><br />A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader<br /><br />Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)<br />Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.<br /><em><strong>"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!"</strong></em><p><div class="blogdisclaim"><a href="http://galefinancialmarketeconometrics.blogspot.com/2006/06/stock-market-held-and-should-move.html">This post originally appeared on an external website</a></div>

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Stock Market Looks Climatic

by jdg8119 In reply to Next Day's Advance Market ...

<strong>Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Look" to: http://www.mktmetrics.com/ - see for yourself at what prices Specialists and Market Makers buy and sell your stocks.</strong><br /><br />Track our successful growth on: www.mktmetrics.com/usage<br /><br />Wednesday 06-7-06: DJIA close 10,930.90 down -71.24 vs. Prior day: -46.58<br />DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 11,241.62 -31.12 (down) vs. Prior day: -27.41<br /<em>the DJIA is trading below its 21-day moving average</em&gt<br /><br /><strong>Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening<br />Thursday June 8 Stock Market Forecast<br />DJIA probability of closing "Up" Thursday: 71% </strong><br /><br /><em>Market Comment:</em> The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 71% probability to be "Up" Thursday. The DJIA Trend declined Wednesday. Current Positives: The DJIA is now at the bottom of its Least Squares Regression Channel, which, will often provide very strong support. Also, the DJIA 14-day Relative Strength Indicator moved up and the Trend moved lower to a support range. The Speculative Index and NASDAQ statistics rose yesterday. The DJIA Directional Indicator has hit a 30-year climatic low. The one big Negative remains the fact that the DJIA Trend is declining. Our objective has been a DJIA 10,800 level. It now becomes apparent our objective may be touched intra-day today, before moving higher. We believe the Stock Market represents a trading "Buy" if nothing else, for the short term. Good luck and good trading.<br /><br /><strong>Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low):</strong><br />DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Thursday: 71% (High 100% / Low 0%)<br />DJIA Trend: Falling Today 19% vs. Yesterday 26% (High 94% / Low 10%)<br />DJIA Momentum: Falling Today 26% vs. Yesterday 32% (High 87% / Low 13%)<br />DJIA Flow of Funds: Unchanged Today 19% vs. Yesterday 19% (High 97% / Low 10%)<br />DJIA Volatility: Falling Today 1.20% vs Yesterday 1.70% (High 2.11% / Low 0.17%)<br /><br /><strong>Institutional Investor Statistics (Historic High / Low):</strong><br />Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling Today -.11% vs Yesterday -.08% (High .19% / Low -.24%)<br />Institutional Demand Factor: Falling Today 27.52% vs Yesterday 34.94% (High 58.32% / Low 22.19%) <br />Institutional Inventory Factor: Falling Today 31.29% vs Yesterday 36.68% (High 71.45% / Low 31.29%)<br />Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Falling Today -.24 vs. Yesterday -.20 (High .35% / -.41)%<br /><br /><em>DJIA Outlook:</em> Bearish Falling Today 33% vs. Yesterday 37% (High 86% / Low 18%)<br /><em>Stock Market Outlook:</em> Bearish Falling Today 25.8% vs. Yesterday 38.9% (High 93.9 / Low 12.2%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)<br /><br />******************************************************************************<br /><strong>10-Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish</strong><br />DIA: Falling Today -41% vs. Yesterday -34% (High 62% / Low -48%)<br />SPY: Falling Today -39% vs. Yesterday -32% (High 62% / Low -54%)<br />MDY: Falling Today -68% vs. Yesterday -55% (High 85% / Low -68%)<br />IWM: Falling Today -44% vs. Yesterday -34% (High 71% / Low -53%)<br />QQQQ: Falling Today -31% vs. Yesterday -26% (High 54% / Low -43%)<br />SMH: Falling Today -53% vs. Yesterday -48% (High 45% / Low -53%)<br />IYT: Falling Today -45% vs. Yesterday -38% (High 80% / Low -51%)<br />IDU: Falling Today 2% vs. Yesterday 4% (High 61% / Low -64%)<br />XLE: Falling Today -45% vs. Yesterday -25% (High 62% / Low -45%)<br />XLF: Rising Today -6% vs. Yesterday -9% (High 31% / Low -33%)<br /><br /><strong>Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com</strong><br />A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader<br /><br />Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)<br />Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.<br /><em><strong>"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!"</strong></em><p><div class="blogdisclaim"><a href="http://galefinancialmarketeconometrics.blogspot.com/2006/06/stock-market-looks-climatic.html">This post originally appeared on an external website</a></div>

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DJIA Level 10,800 Held Support

by jdg8119 In reply to Next Day's Advance Market ...

<strong>Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Look" to: http://www.mktmetrics.com/ - see for yourself at what prices Specialists and Market Makers buy and sell your stocks.</strong><br /><br />Track our successful growth on: www.mktmetrics.com/usage<br /><br />Thursday 06-8-06: DJIA close 10,938.82 up +7.92 vs. Prior day: -71.24<br />DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 11,208.24 -33.38 (down) vs. Prior day: -31.12<br /<em>the DJIA is trading below its 21-day moving average</em&gt<br /><br /><strong>Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening<br />Friday June 9 Stock Market Forecast<br />DJIA probability of closing "Up" Friday: 29%</strong> <br /><br /><em>Market Comment:</em> The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 29% probability to be "Up" Friday. The DJIA Trend rose Thursday. Our downside objective of DJIA 10,800 has been met. Also, the DJIA 14-day Relative Strength Indicator higher yesterday. The DJIA Directional Indicator has hit a 30-year climatic low. We believe the Stock Market represents a trading "Buy" if nothing else, for the short term. The Futures and Options expiration next Friday is helping matters. Good luck and good trading.<br /><br /><strong>Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low):</strong><br />DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Friday: 29% (High 100% / Low 0%)<br />DJIA Trend: Rising Today 23% vs. Yesterday 19% (High 94% / Low 10%)<br />DJIA Momentum: Rising Today 35% vs. Yesterday 26% (High 87% / Low 13%)<br />DJIA Flow of Funds: Unchanged Today 19% vs. Yesterday 19% (High 97% / Low 10%)<br />DJIA Volatility: Rising Today 2.35% vs Yesterday 1.20% (High 2.35% / Low 0.17%)<br /><br /><strong>Institutional Investor Statistics (Historic High / Low):</strong><br />Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising Today -.10% vs Yesterday -.11% (High .19% / Low -.24%)<br />Institutional Demand Factor: Rising Today 35.90% vs Yesterday 27.52% (High 58.32% / Low 22.19%) <br />Institutional Inventory Factor: Rising Today 34.39% vs Yesterday 31.29% (High 71.45% / Low 31.29%)<br />Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Unchanged Today -.24 vs. Yesterday -.24 (High .35% / -.41)%<br /><br /><em>DJIA Outlook:</em> Bearish Falling Today 31% vs. Yesterday 33% (High 86% / Low 18%)<br /><em>Stock Market Outlook:</em> Bearish Rising Today 30.9% vs. Yesterday 25.8% (High 93.9 / Low 12.2%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)<br /><br />******************************************************************************<br /><strong>10-Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish</strong><br />DIA: Falling Today -42% vs. Yesterday -41% (High 62% / Low -48%)<br />SPY: Rising Today -37% vs. Yesterday -39% (High 62% / Low -54%)<br />MDY: Rising Today -61% vs. Yesterday -68% (High 85% / Low -68%)<br />IWM: Rising Today -34% vs. Yesterday -44% (High 71% / Low -53%)<br />QQQQ: Rising Today -24% vs. Yesterday -31% (High 54% / Low -43%)<br />SMH: Rising Today -47% vs. Yesterday -53% (High 45% / Low -53%)<br />IYT: Rising Today -30% vs. Yesterday -45% (High 80% / Low -51%)<br />IDU: Rising Today 23% vs. Yesterday 2% (High 61% / Low -64%)<br />XLE: Rising Today -30% vs. Yesterday -45% (High 62% / Low -45%)<br />XLF: Rising Today -1% vs. Yesterday -6% (High 31% / Low -33%)<br /><br /><strong>Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com</strong><br />A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader<br /><br />Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)<br />Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.<br /><em><strong>"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!"</strong></em><p><div class="blogdisclaim"><a href="http://galefinancialmarketeconometrics.blogspot.com/2006/06/djia-level-10800-held-support.html">This post originally appeared on an external website</a></div>

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The MktMetrics Weekly Stock Market Analysis

by jdg8119 In reply to Next Day's Advance Market ...

Our belief is that the Stock Market is controlled by the Specialists and Market Makers or Exchange Insiders. We developed MktMetrics over a four year period and performed a 30-year computer generated study to test our findings. Our sole purpose was to produce a mirror image of where the Exchange Insiders buy and sell their stock inventory. We hope you will subscribe to http://www.mktmetrics.com/ for $40.00 monthly and financially benefit by its consistent accuracy. After performing our extensive research, we found that the Exchange Insiders control the direction of the Stock Market by moving individual members of the Dow Jones Industrial Average to establish a trend for the purpose of accumulating and distributing stock at wholesale and retail prices for maximum gain. Ergo, we pay strict attention to the numbers generated from the MktMetrics program to spot their intent. To that end, our focus is concentrated on the Dow Jones Industrial Average.<br /><em>Dow Jones Industrial Average trading range: High 11,709.09 - Low 9,961.52 = 1,747.57</em><br /><br /><strong>DJIA- Week Ending June 9, 2006<br />MktMetrics Weekly Stock Market Analysis:</strong><br /><br />DJIA Close: 10,891.92 vs Last week: 11,247.87 down -355.95 / Prior week: -30.74<br />21-day moving average: 11,172.49 vs Last week: 11,318.73 -146.24 / Prior week: -36.01<br />DJIA Trend: Falling 19% vs Last week: 39% (High 94% / Low 10%)<br />DJIA Momentum: Falling 29% vs Last week: 55% (High 88% / Low 10%)<br />DJIA Volatility: Falling 0.31% vs Last week: 0.73% (High 2.35% / Low 0.17%)<br /><em>DJIA Outlook:</em> Bearish Falling 29% vs Last week: 37% (High 84% / Low 12%)<br />DJIA Resistance: Falling Near Term 11,368 vs Last week: 11,517 <br />DJIA Resistance: Falling Intermediate Term 11,564 vs Last week: 11,715<br />DJIA Support: Falling Near Term 10,977 vs Last week: 11,121 <br />DJIA Support: Falling Intermediate Term 10,782 vs Last week: 10,923 <br />DJIA Money Flow Index: Falling 19% vs Last week: 35% (High 97% / Low 08%)<br />DJIA Current Directional Indicator: -35.8 vs Last week: -7.3 (High 35.4 / Low -35.<br />21-Day M/A Price Advance/Decline Line: -316 vs Last week: -14 (High 647 / Low -455)<br />21-Day M/A Volume Advance/Decline Line: -424 vs Last week: -208 (High 188/ Low -424)<br />DJIA Price vs 21-Day M/A: -2.51% vs Last week: -0.63% (High 4.36% / Low -3.56%)<br />DJIA Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD): SELL(-) vs Last week: SELL (+)<br />DJIA Overbought/Oversold Index (CCI): -132 vs Last week: +49 (High +255 / Low -202)<br />DJIA Stochastic 20-Day Indicator: Falling 16 vs Last week: 34 (High 100 / Low 00)<br />DJIA Relative Strength 14-Day Indicator: 37 vs Last week: 43 (High 97 / Low 12)<br />DJIA Day/50-Day Moving Average Volume: 0.9 vs Last week: 0.8 (High 1.4 / Low 0.3) <br /><br /><em>Stock Market Outlook:</em> Bullish Rising 23.1% vs Last week: 58.9% (93.9 / Low 12.2%)<br />Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling -.124% vs Last week: -.014% (High +.187 %/ Low -.241%)<br />Institutional Demand Factor: Falling 31.48 vs Last week: 42.90 (High 58.32 / Low 22.19) <br />Institutional Inventory Factor: Falling 32.61 vs Last week: 45.32 (High 71.45 / 31.29)<br />Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Falling -.27 vs Last week: -.05 (High .35 / -.41)<br />Institutional Sentiment Index: Unchanged 88 vs Last week: 88 (High 124 / Low 6<br />Speculation Indicator: Falling -.52 vs Last week: +.16 (High +.59 / Low -1.02)<br />*********************************************************************************<br /><em><strong>Exchange Traded Funds- Trend/Sector Analysis: (Change +/-)</strong></em><strong>Diamonds-Dow 30</strong><br />DIA: -.47 vs Last week: -.10 (High .62 / Low -.4 Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 52-<br /><strong>SPDR-S&P 500</strong><br />SPY: -.43 vs Last week: -.10 (High .62 / Low -.54) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 75-<br /><strong>SPDR-S&P 400 Mid-Cap</strong><br />MDY: -.69 vs Last week: -.19 (High .85 / Low -.69) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 79-<br /><strong>Russell 2000 Small-Cap</strong><br />IWM: -.37 vs Last week: -.14 (High .51 / Low -.42) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 79-<br /><strong>Nasdaq 100 Large Growth</strong><br />QQQQ: -.25 vs Last week: -.13 (High .54 / Low -.35) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 28-<br />1. <strong>Biotech</strong><br />BBH: +.04 vs Last week: +.53 (High 1.58 / Low -1.02)Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 83-<br />2. <strong>Broadband</strong><br />BDH: -.31 vs Last week: -.22 (High .57 / Low -.34) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 32/<br />3. <strong>Central Fund of Canada (Physical Precious Metals)</strong><br />CEF: -.14 vs Last week: +.03 (High .41 / Low -.23) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 61+<br />4. <strong>Deutsche Bank Commodity Index Tracking ETF</strong><br />DBC: -.05 vs Last week: +.12 (High .56 / Low -.65) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 98-<br />5. <strong>Emerging Markets</strong><br />EEM: -.116 vs Last week: -.55 (High .84 / Low -.116) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 30-<br />6. <strong>EAFE Global Equities</strong><br />EFA: -.37 vs Last week: +.03 (High .56 / Low -.37) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 93-<br />7. <strong>Canada</strong><br />EWC: -.01 vs Last week: +.10 (High .52 / Low -.23) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 96+<br />8. <strong>Sweden</strong><br />EW -.24 vs Last week: +.04 (High .56 / Low -.26) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 85-<br />9. <strong>Germany</strong><br />EWG: -.19 vs Last week: +.04 (High .61 / Low -.19) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 97-<br />10. <strong>Hong Kong</strong><br />EWH: -.06 vs Last week: -.06 (High .37 / Low -.25) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 99+<br />11. <strong>Japan</strong><br />EWJ: -.14 vs Last week: -.01 (High .63 / Low -.43) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 93-<br />12. <strong>Belgium</strong><br />EWK: -.16 vs Last week: +.08 (High .60 / Low -.21) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 95-<br />13. <strong>Malaysia</strong><br />EWM: +.10 vs Last week: +.14 (High .29 / Low -.21) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 82-<br />14. <strong>France</strong><br />EWQ: -.36 vs Last week: -.02 (High .56 / Low -.36) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 74-<br />15. <strong>Singapore</strong><br />EWS: -.03 vs Last week: +.05 (High .37 / Low -.21) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 85-<br />16. <strong>Taiwan</strong><br />EWT: -.12 vs Last week: +.06 (High .23 / Low -.21) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 66-<br />17. <strong>United Kingdom</strong><br />EWU: -.20 vs Last week: +.07 (High .42 / Low -.20) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 73-<br />18. <strong>South Korea</strong><br />EWY: -.53 vs Last week: -.32 (High .43 / Low -.53) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 52+<br />19. <strong>Street TRACKS Gold Trust</strong><br />GL -.61 vs Last week: -.09 (High .54 / Low -.61) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 68/<br />20. <strong>Internet</strong><br />HHH: -.18 vs Last week: -.06 (High .50 / Low -.72) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 18-<br />21. <strong>Internet Architecture</strong><br />IAH: -.12 vs Last week: +.12 (High .65 / Low -.60) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 19-<br />22. <strong>Comex Gold</strong><br />IAU: -.65 vs Last week: -.15 (High .81 / Low -.65) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 60-<br />23. <strong>Biotechnology</strong><br />IBB: -.10 vs Last week: +.09 (High .58 / Low -.62) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 89-<br />24. <strong>Utilities</strong><br />IDU: +.22 vs Last week: +.23 (High .52 / Low -.54) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100/<br />25. <strong>Natural Resources</strong><br />IGE: -.72 vs Last week: -.09 (High .88 / Low -.72) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 87-<br />26. <strong>Networking</strong><br />IGN: -.40 vs Last week: -.36 (High .38 / Low -.46) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 10-<br />27. <strong>Software</strong><br />IGV: -.60 vs Last week: -.59 (High .33 / Low -.60) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 04-<br />28. <strong>Semiconductor</strong><br />IGW: -.69 vs Last week: -.57 (High .62 / Low -.75) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 00-<br />29. <strong>Internet Infrastructure</strong><br />IIH: +.02 vs Last week: -.02 (High .37 / Low -.23) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 50+<br />30. <strong>Mid-Cap 400 Blend</strong><br />IJH: -.30 vs Last week: -.04 (High .42 / Low -.30) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 96-<br />31. <strong>Mid-Cap 400 Growth</strong><br />IJK: -.45 vs Last week: -.21 (High .38 / Low -.52) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 40-<br />32. <strong>Small-Cap 600</strong><br />IJR: -.41 vs Last week: -.13 (High .83 / Low -.41) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 73-<br />33. <strong>S&P/TOPIX 150 Japan Index</strong><br />ITF: -.86 vs Last week: -.25 (High .92 / Low -.90) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 98-<br />34. <strong>Global Financial</strong><br />IXG: -.29 vs Last week: -.00 (High .52 / Low -.35) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 99+<br />35. <strong>Consumer Cyclical</strong><br />IYC: -.02 vs Last week: +.03 (High .36 / Low -.64) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 62+<br />36. <strong>Energy</strong><br />IYE: -.51 vs Last week: -.11 (High .79 / Low -.69) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 55+<br />37. <strong>Healthcare</strong><br />IYH: +.01 vs Last week: +.09 (High .39 / Low -.44) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 62-<br />38. <strong>Industrial</strong><br />IYJ: -.35 vs Last week: -.03 (High .41 / Low -.35) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 71-<br />39. <strong>Consumer Non-Cyclical</strong><br />IYK: +.09 vs Last week: +.19 (High .31 / Low -.56) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 14+<br />40. <strong>Basic Materials</strong><br />IYM: -.49 vs Last week: -.06 (High .38 / Low -.52) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 64-<br />41. <strong>Real Estate</strong><br />IYR: -.06 vs Last week: +.13 (High .62 / Low -.3 Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 60-<br />42. <strong>Transportation</strong><br />IYT: -.32 vs Last week: -.07 (High .80 / Low -.52) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 94+<br />43. <strong>Technology</strong><br />IYW: -.48 vs Last week: -.40 (High .42 / Low -.50) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 07+<br />44. <strong>Telecommunications</strong><br />IYZ: +.30 vs Last week: +.11 (High .30 / Low -.30) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 99+<br />45. <strong>Oil Services</strong><br />OIH: -.129 vs Last week: -.38 (High 1.63/ Low -.129) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 76-<br />46. <strong>Pharmaceutical</strong><br />PPH: -.13 vs Last week: -.19 (High .47 / Low -.61) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 37+<br />47. <strong>Regional Bank</strong><br />RKH: -.36 vs Last week: -.34 (High .88 / Low -.4 Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 47+<br />48. <strong>Retail</strong><br />RTH: -.43 vs Last week: -.07 (High .58 / Low -.5 Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 03-<br />49. <strong>Semiconductor</strong><br />SMH: -.45 vs Last week: -.35 (High .45 / Low -.52) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 00-<br />50. <strong>Software</strong><br />SWH: -.41 vs Last week: -.18 (High .51 / Low -.41) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 00-<br />51. <strong>Lehman 20+ Treasury Bond Fund</strong><br />TLT: +.25 vs Last week: +.14 (High .34 / Low -.44) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 76+<br />52. <strong>Telecommunications</strong><br />TTH: -.25 vs Last week: -.24 (High .54 / Low -.31) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 03-<br />53. <strong>Utilities</strong><br />UTH: +.15 vs Last week: +.26 (High .68 / Low -.65) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 100+<br />54. <strong>Wireless</strong><br />WMH: -.44 vs Last week: -.24 (High .55 / Low -.50) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 00-<br />55. <strong>S&P Energy Select</strong><br />XLE: -.41 vs Last week: -.05 (High .76 / Low -.41) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 58-<br />56. <strong>S&P Financial Select</strong><br />XLF: -.08 vs Last week: +.03 (High .31 / Low -.23) Rating: BUY Demand Factor: 93-<br />57. <strong>Technology</strong><br />XLK: -.30 vs Last week: -.26 (High .34 / Low -.32) Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 01-<br />58. <strong>Consumer Staples</strong><br />XLP: -.12 vs Last week: -.07 (High .28 / Low -.29) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 26+<br />59. <strong>Healthcare Select</strong><br />XLV: -.11 vs Last week: -.16 (High .37 / Low -.2 Rating: SELL Demand Factor: 30-<br />60. <strong>Industrial Sector </strong><br />XLY: -.04 vs Last week: +.18 (High .22 / Low -.45) Rating: SELL- Demand Factor: 94-<br /><br /><strong>Information provided by: www.MktMetrics.com</strong><br />A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader<br /><br />Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)<br />Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.<br /><em><strong>"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know"</strong></em><p><div class="blogdisclaim"><a href="http://galefinancialmarketeconometrics.blogspot.com/2006/06/mktmetrics-weekly-stock-market_10.html">This post originally appeared on an external website</a></div>

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DJIA Volatility To Provide Catalyst For Higher Prices

by jdg8119 In reply to Next Day's Advance Market ...

<strong>Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Look" to: http://www.mktmetrics.com/ - see for yourself at what prices Specialists and Market Makers buy and sell your stocks.</strong><br /><br />Track our successful growth on: www.mktmetrics.com/usage<br /><br />Friday 06-9-06: DJIA close 10,891.92 down -46.90 vs. Prior day: +7.92<br />DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 11,172.49 -35.75 (down) vs. Prior day: -33.38<br /<em>the DJIA is trading below its 21-day moving average</em&gt<br /><br /><strong>Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening<br />Friday June 12 Stock Market Forecast<br />DJIA probability of closing "Up" Monday: 74% </strong><br /><br /><em>Market Comment:</em> The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 74% probability to be "Up" Monday. The DJIA Trend moved down a notch Friday. However, we are encouraged that our downside objective of DJIA 10,800 was met last week and the Trend is above its lowest point for the past 12 months. Also, today's volatility reading is near the bottom of its range, which, should yield a dynamic Monday for trading. The DJIA Directional Indicator hit a 30-year climatic low reading of -35.75 on Friday. We believe the Stock Market represents a trading "Buy" if nothing else, for the short term. The Futures and Options expiration this Friday and will most likely help support and provide impetus for a positive bias. Good luck and good trading.<br /><br /><strong>Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low):</strong><br />DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Monday: 74% (High 100% / Low 0%)<br />DJIA Trend: Falling Today 19% vs. Yesterday 23% (High 94% / Low 10%)<br />DJIA Momentum: Falling Today 29% vs. Yesterday 35% (High 87% / Low 13%)<br />DJIA Flow of Funds: Unchanged Today 19% vs. Yesterday 19% (High 97% / Low 10%)<br />DJIA Volatility: Falling Today 0.31% vs Yesterday 2.35% (High 2.35% / Low 0.17%)<br /><br /><strong>Institutional Investor Statistics (Historic High / Low):</strong><br />Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling Today -.12% vs Yesterday -.10% (High .19% / Low -.24%)<br />Institutional Demand Factor: Falling Today 31.48% vs Yesterday 35.90% (High 58.32% / Low 22.19%) <br />Institutional Inventory Factor: Falling Today 32.61% vs Yesterday 34.39% (High 71.45% / Low 31.29%)<br />Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Falling Today -.27 vs. Yesterday -.24 (High .35% / -.41)%<br /><br /><em>DJIA Outlook:</em> Bearish Falling Today 29% vs. Yesterday 31% (High 86% / Low 18%)<br /><em>Stock Market Outlook: </em>Bearish Falling Today 23.1% vs. Yesterday 30.9% (High 93.9 / Low 12.2%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)<br /><br />******************************************************************************<br /><strong>10-Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish</strong><br />DIA: Falling Today -47% vs. Yesterday -42% (High 62% / Low -48%)<br />SPY: Falling Today -43% vs. Yesterday -37% (High 62% / Low -54%)<br />MDY: Falling Today -69% vs. Yesterday -61% (High 85% / Low -69%)<br />IWM: Falling Today -37% vs. Yesterday -34% (High 71% / Low -53%)<br />QQQQ: Falling Today -25% vs. Yesterday -24% (High 54% / Low -43%)<br />SMH: Rising Today -45% vs. Yesterday -47% (High 45% / Low -53%)<br />IYT: Falling Today -32% vs. Yesterday -30% (High 80% / Low -51%)<br />IDU: Rising Today 22% vs. Yesterday 23% (High 61% / Low -64%)<br />XLE: Falling Today -41% vs. Yesterday -30% (High 62% / Low -45%)<br />XLF: Falling Today -8% vs. Yesterday -1% (High 31% / Low -33%)<br /><br /><strong>Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com</strong><br />A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader<br /><br />Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)<br />Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.<br /><em><strong>"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!"</strong></em><p><div class="blogdisclaim"><a href="http://galefinancialmarketeconometrics.blogspot.com/2006/06/djia-volatility-to-provide-catalyst.html">This post originally appeared on an external website</a></div>

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Stock Market 94% Probability: "Turn-Around Tuesday"

by jdg8119 In reply to Next Day's Advance Market ...

<strong>Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Look" to: http://www.mktmetrics.com/ - see for yourself at what prices Specialists and Market Makers buy and sell your stocks.</strong><br /><br />Track our successful growth on: www.mktmetrics.com/usage<br /><br />Monday 06-12-06: DJIA close 10,792.58 down -99.34 vs. Prior day: -46.90<br />DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 11,138.77 -33.72 (up) vs. Prior day: -35.75<br /<em>the DJIA is trading below its 21-day moving average</em&gt<br /><br /><strong>Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening<br />Tuesday June 13 Stock Market Forecast<br />DJIA probability of closing "Up" Tuesday: 94%</strong> <br /><br /><em>Market Comment:</em> The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 94% probability to be "Up" Tuesday. The DJIA Trend moved down to its lowest point in over a year, Monday. Last night our technical analysis showed that there were several non-confirmations of internal measurements of relative strength, etc., leading us to believe that the bottom of this dramatic sell-off is near. In yesterday's Blog, we stated that the DJIA Volatility reading was near the bottom of its range, which should yield a dynamic Monday for trading, and it did. Also, the DJIA Directional Indicator hit a 30-year climatic low reading of -35.75 on Friday. This reading actually moved up Monday. We believe the Stock Market represents a trading "Buy" if nothing else, for the short term. Futures and Options expire this Friday and will most likely help support and provide impetus for a positive bias. Good luck and good trading.<br /><br /><strong>Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low):</strong><br />DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Tuesday: 94% (High 100% / Low 0%)<br />DJIA Trend: Falling Today 16% vs. Yesterday 19% (High 94% / Low 10%)<br />DJIA Momentum: Unchanged Today 29% vs. Yesterday 29% (High 87% / Low 13%)<br />DJIA Flow of Funds: Unchanged Today 19% vs. Yesterday 19% (High 97% / Low 10%)<br />DJIA Volatility: Rising Today 0.62% vs Yesterday 0.31% (High 2.35% / Low 0.17%)<br /><br /><strong>Institutional Investor Statistics (Historic High / Low):</strong><br />Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling Today -.13% vs Yesterday -.12% (High .19% / Low -.24%)<br />Institutional Demand Factor: Falling Today 25.55% vs Yesterday 31.48% (High 58.32% / Low 22.19%) <br />Institutional Inventory Factor: Falling Today 29.81% vs Yesterday 32.61% (High 71.45% / Low 31.29%)<br />Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Unchanged Today -.27 vs. Yesterday -.27 (High .35% / -.41)%<br /><br /><em>DJIA Outlook:</em> Bearish Falling Today 28% vs. Yesterday 29% (High 86% / Low 18%)<br /><em>Stock Market Outlook:</em> Bearish Falling Today 14.0% vs. Yesterday 23.1% (High 93.9 / Low 12.2%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)<br /><br />******************************************************************************<br /><strong>10-Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish</strong><br />DIA: Rising Today -45% vs. Yesterday -47% (High 62% / Low -48%)<br />SPY: Falling Today -44% vs. Yesterday -43% (High 62% / Low -54%)<br />MDY: Falling Today -80% vs. Yesterday -69% (High 85% / Low -80%)<br />IWM: Falling Today -42% vs. Yesterday -37% (High 71% / Low -53%)<br />QQQQ: Falling Today -26% vs. Yesterday -25% (High 54% / Low -43%)<br />SMH: Falling Today -46% vs. Yesterday -45% (High 45% / Low -53%)<br />IYT: Falling Today -40% vs. Yesterday -32% (High 80% / Low -51%)<br />IDU: Rising Today 25% vs. Yesterday 22% (High 61% / Low -64%)<br />XLE: Falling Today -43% vs. Yesterday -41% (High 62% / Low -45%)<br />XLF: Unchanged Today -8% vs. Yesterday -8% (High 31% / Low -33%)<br /><br /><strong>Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com</strong><br />A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader<br /><br />Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)<br />Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.<br /><em><strong>"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!"</strong></em><p><div class="blogdisclaim"><a href="http://galefinancialmarketeconometrics.blogspot.com/2006/06/stock-market-94-probability-turn.html">This post originally appeared on an external website</a></div>

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Stock Market Money Is Being Shifted

by jdg8119 In reply to Next Day's Advance Market ...

<strong>Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Look" to: http://www.mktmetrics.com/ - see for yourself at what prices Specialists and Market Makers buy and sell your stocks.</strong><br /><br />Track our successful growth on: www.mktmetrics.com/usage<br /><br />Tuesday 06-13-06: DJIA close 10,706.14 down -86.44 vs. Prior day: -99.34<br />DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 11,106.64 -32.13 (up) vs. Prior day: -33.72<br /<em>the DJIA is trading below its 21-day moving average</em&gt<br /><br /><strong>Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening<br />Wednesday June 14 Stock Market Forecast<br />DJIA probability of closing "Up" Wednesday: 71% </strong><br /><br /><em>Market Comment:</em> The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 71% probability to be "Up" Wednesday. The DJIA Trend moved down to its lowest point in nearly a decade. However, once again our technical indicators are showing several non-confirmations of internal measurements of relative strength, etc., leading us to believe that the bottom of this dramatic sell-off is near. The DJIA Directional Indicator hit a 30-year climatic low reading of -35.75 on Friday. This reading actually moved up Monday and again on Tuesday. We believe the Stock Market represents a trading "Buy" if nothing else, for the short term. Futures and Options expire this Friday and will most likely help support and provide impetus for a positive bias. By examining the Money Flows of the Key Statistics for the ETFs below, we notice that money has come out of IDU (safety) and moved yesterday into MDY, SMH & IYT (growth) which is a positive sign for the condition of the Stock Market. Wednesdays are typically positive. Good luck and good trading.<br /><br /><strong>Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low):</strong><br />DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Wednesday: 71% (High 100% / Low 0%)<br />DJIA Trend: Falling Today 10% vs. Yesterday 16% (High 94% / Low 10%)<br />DJIA Momentum: Falling Today 19% vs. Yesterday 29% (High 87% / Low 13%)<br />DJIA Flow of Funds: Falling Today 6% vs. Yesterday 19% (High 97% / Low 10%)<br />DJIA Volatility: Rising Today 0.92% vs Yesterday 0.62% (High 2.35% / Low 0.17%)<br /><br /><strong>Institutional Investor Statistics (Historic High / Low):</strong><br />Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Falling Today -.14% vs Yesterday -.13% (High .19% / Low -.24%)<br />Institutional Demand Factor: Falling Today 21.10% vs Yesterday 25.55% (High 58.32% / Low 21.10%) <br />Institutional Inventory Factor: Falling Today 25.23% vs Yesterday 29.81% (High 71.45% / Low 25.23%)<br />Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Unchanged Today -.27 vs. Yesterday -.27 (High .35% / -.41)%<br /><br /><em>DJIA Outlook:</em> Bearish Falling Today 24% vs. Yesterday 28% (High 86% / Low 18%)<br /><em>Stock Market Outlook:</em> Bearish Falling Today 4.8% vs. Yesterday 14.0% (High 93.9 / Low 4.8%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)<br /><br />******************************************************************************<br /><strong>10-Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish</strong><br />DIA: Falling Today -46% vs. Yesterday -45% (High 62% / Low -48%)<br />SPY: Falling Today -47% vs. Yesterday -44% (High 62% / Low -54%)<br />MDY: Rising Today -76% vs. Yesterday -80% (High 85% / Low -80%)<br />IWM: Unchanged Today -42% vs. Yesterday -42% (High 71% / Low -53%)<br />QQQQ: Unchanged Today -26% vs. Yesterday -26% (High 54% / Low -43%)<br />SMH: Rising Today -45% vs. Yesterday -46% (High 45% / Low -53%)<br />IYT: Rising Today -33% vs. Yesterday -40% (High 80% / Low -51%)<br />IDU: Falling Today 17% vs. Yesterday 25% (High 61% / Low -64%)<br />XLE: Rising Today -40% vs. Yesterday -43% (High 62% / Low -45%)<br />XLF: Falling Today -15% vs. Yesterday -8% (High 31% / Low -33%)<br /><br /><strong>Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com</strong><br />A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader<br /><br />Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)<br />Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.<br /><em><strong>"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!"</strong></em><p><div class="blogdisclaim"><a href="http://galefinancialmarketeconometrics.blogspot.com/2006/06/stock-market-money-is-being-shifted.html">This post originally appeared on an external website</a></div>

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Stock Market Needs Further Accumulation

by jdg8119 In reply to Next Day's Advance Market ...

<strong>Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Look" to: http://www.mktmetrics.com/ - see for yourself at what prices Specialists and Market Makers buy and sell your stocks.</strong><br /><br />Track our successful growth on: www.mktmetrics.com/usage<br /><br />Wednesday 06-14-06: DJIA close 10,816.92 up +110.78 vs. Prior day: -86.44<br />DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 11,077.50 -29.14 (up) vs. Prior day: -32.13<br /<em>the DJIA is trading below its 21-day moving average</em&gt<br /><br /><strong>Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening<br />Thursday June 15 Stock Market Forecast<br />DJIA probability of closing "Up" Thursday: 16%</strong> <br /><br /><em>Market Comment:</em> The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 16% probability to be "Up" Thursday. The DJIA Trend was unchanged Wednesday after moving down to its lowest point in nearly a decade. The recent Stock Market decline has been the result of Investor uncertainty due to rising inflation at the consumer level and rising interest rates, which is the major competitor to the Stock Market. Safe haven rates are currently yielding 5.25%. So there will need to be some base building at these lower levels to create support in order for the Stock Market to move higher. Short covering helped Wednesday's DJIA 110 point rally, but remains in a downtrend until proven otherwise. The DJIA Directional Indicator hit a 30-year climatic low reading of -35.75 last Friday, and has moved up since then. Still, Investors must expect additional backing and filling before the Stock Market can regain its composure to move higher from these lower levels. Futures and Options expire this Friday and will most likely help support the situation, possibly creating a solid footing for a Summer rally as the July 4th holiday approaches. Good luck and good trading.<br /><br /><strong>Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low):</strong><br />DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Thursday: 16% (High 100% / Low 0%)<br />DJIA Trend: Unchanged Today 10% vs. Yesterday 10% (High 94% / Low 10%)<br />DJIA Momentum: Rising Today 26% vs. Yesterday 19% (High 87% / Low 13%)<br />DJIA Flow of Funds: Unchanged Today 6% vs. Yesterday 6% (High 97% / Low 10%)<br />DJIA Volatility: Falling Today 0.54% vs Yesterday 0.92% (High 2.35% / Low 0.17%)<br /><br /><strong>Institutional Investor Statistics (Historic High / Low):</strong><br />Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising Today -.13% vs Yesterday -.14% (High .19% / Low -.24%)<br />Institutional Demand Factor: Rising Today 28.29% vs Yesterday 21.10% (High 58.32% / Low 21.10%) <br />Institutional Inventory Factor: Rising Today 28.29% vs Yesterday 25.23% (High 71.45% / Low 25.23%)<br />Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising Today -.25 vs. Yesterday -.27 (High .35% / -.41)%<br /><br /><em>DJIA Outlook:</em> Bearish Falling Today 22% vs. Yesterday 24% (High 86% / Low 18%)<br /><em>Stock Market Outlook:</em> Bearish Rising Today 17.9% vs. Yesterday 4.8% (High 93.9 / Low 4.8%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)<br /><br />******************************************************************************<br /><strong>10-Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish</strong><br />DIA: Rising Today -40% vs. Yesterday -46% (High 62% / Low -48%)<br />SPY: Rising Today -40% vs. Yesterday -47% (High 62% / Low -54%)<br />MDY: Rising Today -63% vs. Yesterday -76% (High 85% / Low -80%)<br />IWM: Rising Today -34% vs. Yesterday -42% (High 71% / Low -53%)<br />QQQQ: Rising Today -21% vs. Yesterday -26% (High 54% / Low -43%)<br />SMH: Rising Today -39% vs. Yesterday -45% (High 45% / Low -53%)<br />IYT: Rising Today -29% vs. Yesterday -33% (High 80% / Low -51%)<br />IDU: Falling Today 15% vs. Yesterday 17% (High 61% / Low -64%)<br />XLE: Rising Today -23% vs. Yesterday -40% (High 62% / Low -45%)<br />XLF: Falling Today -19% vs. Yesterday -15% (High 31% / Low -33%)<br /><br /><strong>Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com</strong><br />A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader<br /><br />Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)<br />Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.<br /><em><strong>"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!"</strong></em><p><div class="blogdisclaim"><a href="http://galefinancialmarketeconometrics.blogspot.com/2006/06/stock-market-needs-further.html">This post originally appeared on an external website</a></div>

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0% Probability For DJIA "UP" Day

by jdg8119 In reply to Next Day's Advance Market ...

<strong>Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Look" to: http://www.mktmetrics.com/ - see for yourself at what prices Specialists and Market Makers buy and sell your stocks.</strong><br /><br />Track our successful growth on: www.mktmetrics.com/usage<br /><br />Thursday 06-15-06: DJIA close 11,015.19 up +198.27 vs. Prior day: +110.78<br />DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 11,058.23 -19.27 (up) vs. Prior day: -29.14<br /<em>the DJIA is trading below its 21-day moving average</em&gt<br /><br /><strong>Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening<br />Friday June 16 Stock Market Forecast<br />DJIA probability of closing "Up" Friday: 0%</strong> <br /><br /><em>Market Comment:</em> The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 0% probability to be "Up" Friday. The DJIA Trend moved up a notch Thursday after moving down Wednesday to its lowest point in nearly a decade. This is significant if the Trend can continue to move higher. Experience tells us that after such a move off of intermediate lows, a mild pull-back the following day represents a buying opportunity to acquire inventory at wholesale prices. Therefore, we should expect this to happen today on strong volume as Institutional Investors sell their poor performers and add to winning positions that have reasonably held up during the recent steep decline. The only caveat at this stage is that next week the DJIA must sustain itself above the 10,800 level. Safe haven rates of 5.25% remain attractive to Investors during uncertain times. So there will need to be some base building at current levels to create support in order for the Stock Market to move higher. The DJIA Directional Indicator hit a 30-year climatic low reading of -35.75 last Friday, and has moved up since then. Still, Investors must expect additional backing and filling before the Stock Market can regain its composure to move higher. Be sure to catch our MktMetrics Weekly Edition. Good luck and good trading.<br /><br /><strong>Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low):</strong><br />DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Friday: 0% (High 100% / Low 0%)<br />DJIA Trend: Rising Today 13% vs. Yesterday 10% (High 94% / Low 10%)<br />DJIA Momentum: Rising Today 39% vs. Yesterday 26% (High 87% / Low 13%)<br />DJIA Flow of Funds: Rising Today 19% vs. Yesterday 6% (High 97% / Low 10%)<br />DJIA Volatility: Rising Today 1.41% vs Yesterday 0.54% (High 2.35% / Low 0.17%)<br /><br /><strong>Institutional Investor Statistics (Historic High / Low):</strong><br />Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising Today -.9% vs Yesterday -.13% (High .19% / Low -.24%)<br />Institutional Demand Factor: Rising Today 38.39% vs Yesterday 28.29% (High 58.32% / Low 21.10%) <br />Institutional Inventory Factor: Rising Today 37.74% vs Yesterday 28.29% (High 71.45% / Low 25.23%)<br />Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising Today -.17 vs. Yesterday -.25 (High .35% / -.41)%<br /><br /><em>DJIA Outlook:</em> Bearish Unchanged Today 22% vs. Yesterday 22% (High 86% / Low 18%)<br /><em>Stock Market Outlook:</em> Bearish Rising Today 35.4% vs. Yesterday 17.9% (High 93.9 / Low 4.8%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)<br /><br />******************************************************************************<br /><strong>10-Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish</strong><br />DIA: Rising Today -25% vs. Yesterday -40% (High 62% / Low -48%)<br />SPY: Rising Today -20% vs. Yesterday -40% (High 62% / Low -54%)<br />MDY: Rising Today -39% vs. Yesterday -63% (High 85% / Low -80%)<br />IWM: Rising Today -18% vs. Yesterday -34% (High 71% / Low -53%)<br />QQQQ: Rising Today -8% vs. Yesterday -21% (High 54% / Low -43%)<br />SMH: Rising Today -32% vs. Yesterday -39% (High 45% / Low -53%)<br />IYT: Rising Today -4% vs. Yesterday -29% (High 80% / Low -51%)<br />IDU: Rising Today 27% vs. Yesterday 15% (High 61% / Low -64%)<br />XLE: Rising Today -11% vs. Yesterday -23% (High 62% / Low -45%)<br />XLF: Rising Today -11% vs. Yesterday -19% (High 31% / Low -33%)<br /><br /><strong>Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com</strong><br />A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader<br /><br />Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)<br />Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.<br /><em><strong>"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!"</strong></em><p><div class="blogdisclaim"><a href="http://galefinancialmarketeconometrics.blogspot.com/2006/06/0-probability-for-djia-up-day.html">This post originally appeared on an external website</a></div>

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Stock Market Must Now "Prove Itself"

by jdg8119 In reply to Next Day's Advance Market ...

<strong>"Just Suppose For A Moment, You Know What The Exchange Insiders Know!"</strong><br /><em><strong>Subscribe today for a "14-day Free Look" to: http://www.mktmetrics.com/ - See for yourself before you make a trade, at what price levels Specialists and Market Makers are interested to buy and sell your stocks.</strong></em><br /><br />Track our successful growth on: www.mktmetrics.com/usage<br /><br />Friday 06-16-06: DJIA close 11,014.55 down -0.64 vs. Prior day: +198.27<br />DJIA 21-Day Moving Average: 11,049.13 -9.10 (up) vs. Prior day: -19.27<br /<em>the DJIA is trading below its 21-day moving average</em&gt<br /><br /><strong>Before the U. S. Stock Market Opening<br />Monday June 19 Stock Market Forecast<br />DJIA probability of closing "Up" Monday: 48%</strong> <br /><br /><em>Market Comment:</em> The MktMetrics DJIA forecast has posted 48% probability to be "Up" Monday. The DJIA Trend jumped up Friday after moving down Wednesday to its lowest point in nearly a decade. This is significant if the Trend can continue to move higher as the DJIA rally off its lows is now at resistance of the declining 21-day moving average. Experience tells us that after such a move off of intermediate lows, a test of recent lows cannot be ruled out. Therefore, we should let the Stock Market tell us what it wants to do, instead of passing judgment based upon our perceived ideas as to what Investors believe the Stock Market should do. Today, June 19th, begins a five-week Future and Options cycle. What this means to Investors is more volatility than a four-week cycle because of the additional time value premium. So often this spells negative or positive the first two weeks of the extended cycle, and the complete opposite of the following three weeks of the remaining 5-weeks cycle. In this particular case, our educated guess would be a test of recent lows for what has been a very difficult month. Then, Friday before the July 4th holiday a rebound of renewed positive sentiment for July as Summer begins to take hold. As mentioned in the MktMetrics Weekly Edition: "Near-term Resistance is 11,240 and Near-term Support is 10,855." The only caveat at this stage is this week the DJIA must sustain itself above the 10,800 level. Safe haven rates of 5.25% remain attractive to Investors until the Stock Market can provide further evidence that the recent correction is over. Good luck and good trading.<br /><br /><strong>Dow Jones Industrial Average Statistics (Historic High / Low):</strong><br />DJIA Probability of Being "Up" Monday: 48% (High 100% / Low 0%)<br />DJIA Trend: Rising Today 35% vs. Yesterday 13% (High 94% / Low 10%)<br />DJIA Momentum: Rising Today 42% vs. Yesterday 39% (High 87% / Low 13%)<br />DJIA Flow of Funds: Rising Today 35% vs. Yesterday 19% (High 97% / Low 6%)<br />DJIA Volatility: Falling Today 0.35% vs Yesterday 1.41% (High 2.35% / Low 0.17%)<br /><br /><strong>Institutional Investor Statistics (Historic High / Low):</strong><br />Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rising Today -.06% vs Yesterday -.09% (High .19% / Low -.24%)<br />Institutional Demand Factor: Rising Today 39.35% vs Yesterday 38.39% (High 58.32% / Low 21.10%) <br />Institutional Inventory Factor: Rising Today 43.45% vs Yesterday 37.74% (High 71.45% / Low 25.23%)<br />Institutional Accumulation/Distribution Trend: Rising Today -.08 vs. Yesterday -.17 (High .35% / -.41)%<br /><br /><em>DJIA Outlook:</em> Bearish Rising Today 25% vs. Yesterday 22% (High 86% / Low 18%)<br /><em>Stock Market Outlook:</em> Bearish Falling Today 28.0% vs. Yesterday 35.4% (High 93.9 / Low 4.8%) (DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & NASDAQ 100) Aggregate)<br /><br />******************************************************************************<br /><strong>10-Key ETF Statistics: Above 0% Bullish - Below 0% Bearish</strong><br />DIA: Rising Today -9% vs. Yesterday -25% (High 62% / Low -48%)<br />SPY: Rising Today -12% vs. Yesterday -20% (High 62% / Low -54%)<br />MDY: Rising Today -24% vs. Yesterday -39% (High 85% / Low -80%)<br />IWM: Rising Today -15% vs. Yesterday -18% (High 71% / Low -53%)<br />QQQQ: Rising Today -4% vs. Yesterday -8% (High 54% / Low -43%)<br />SMH: Rising Today -27% vs. Yesterday -32% (High 45% / Low -53%)<br />IYT: Rising Today 11% vs. Yesterday -4% (High 80% / Low -51%)<br />IDU: Rising Today 39% vs. Yesterday 27% (High 61% / Low -64%)<br />XLE: Rising Today -1% vs. Yesterday -11% (High 62% / Low -45%)<br />XLF: Rising Today -7% vs. Yesterday -11% (High 31% / Low -33%)<br /><br /><strong>Information provided by http://www.mktmetrics.com</strong><br />A Marketing Alliance with Charles Schwab's CyberTrader<br /><br />Douglas Gale, President (jdg8119@gmail.com)<br />Gale Financial Market Econometrics, Inc.<p><div class="blogdisclaim"><a href="http://galefinancialmarketeconometrics.blogspot.com/2006/06/stock-market-must-now-prove-itself.html">This post originally appeared on an external website</a></div>

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