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Tech Perspective: Gauging enthusiasm for

By techperspective ·
According to Gartner, one way to predict the relative health and longevity of OS platforms is to measure independent software vendors' (ISVs) interest in the product. Using this metric, Gartner anticipates that five high-volume operating systems will retain strong market visibility over the next four years. How much credence to you give to this method? Do you believe that market share outweighs ISV enthusiasm for an OS as a predictor for success? Which operating systems do you think will enjoy the most popularity over the next four years? You can read the related Gartner article, which will be posted on 3 A.M. Monday, at http://www.techrepublic.com/article.jhtml?id=r00220000807ggp01.htm.

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Tech Perspective: Gauging enthusiasm for

by bpalmer In reply to Tech Perspective: Gauging ...

Not sure about the ISV thing. Seems to make sense in that if the vendors aren't interested in the OS then it isn't goign to be very avaialble to end users, however vendors were very slow to pick up LINUX, now they all have it. I see NT 4.0 remaining a big player in the server OS market, just because alot of companies are already using it and I've seen alot of reluctance to upgrade to win 2000. I see Linux continuing to increse in popularity, especialy as more and more business look for high availability solutions. Unix in general just gives you much more flexibility in high availability solutions, especially as vendors start to bring thier staffs up to speed on Unix platforms. Novell also seems to continue to be a popular alternative to Microsoft. I don't see a change in that any time soon either, especially as more and more business start to wake up to the realities of the Microsoft strnglehold they have all been under. and my forth pick would defiunately have to be Palm OS. Not sure if it will ha

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Tech Perspective: Gauging enthusiasm for

by techperspective In reply to Tech Perspective: Gauging ...

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Tech Perspective: Gauging enthusiasm for

by Wayne M. In reply to Tech Perspective: Gauging ...

I didn't see any real surprises in the chart, so it feels like a valid method. A couple of suggestions, 1) I would like to see WinNT and Win2000 separated, and 2) it would be interesting to see the trends over time. I suspect LINUX is on the upward swing in number of deployments, but I would like to see some data. I expect UNIX flavors to stay high, and I would like to see the transition between WinNT and Win2000.
I suspect Microsoft may have hit their peak (for technical reasons, rather than litigation), but again I would like to see some data.

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Tech Perspective: Gauging enthusiasm for

by techperspective In reply to Tech Perspective: Gauging ...

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Tech Perspective: Gauging enthusiasm for

by senulj In reply to Tech Perspective: Gauging ...

ISV interest is a useful metric, and should be considered, but it is not the only one and in many ways is unreliable since it does not guarantee that the vendor's will actually support, or continue to support, an OS. How important it is depends on one's particular situation. There are also other important considerations: 1) Is the OS compatible with the existing environment or is this an environment being created from scratch? 2) Does the OS support the business environment and applications,including third-party software support, that are to run now and the near-term? 3) The world changes; will the choice of OS allow flexibility in the future, either with choice of applications or with migration to the next choice of OS? 4) Is the choice affordable in the near-term and over time, including software, hardware, personnel, maintenance? 5) How actively is the OS vendor supporting the OS? 6) Is the OS reliable? All of these questions must be considered, not just ISV interest.

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Tech Perspective: Gauging enthusiasm for

by techperspective In reply to Tech Perspective: Gauging ...

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