The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail—but Some Don't by Nate Silver
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February 2015: Analyst Nate Silver has been widely recognized for the success of FiveThirtyEight, a polling blog that has been extremely successful in predicting outcomes in politics, sports, and other areas. The Signal and the Noise tells the story of how forecasting can go right or wrong, based on human biases. The interweaving of big data and human nature makes this a captivating read, selected as Amazon's No. 1 Best NonFiction Book for 2012 and making it on the New York Times bestseller list.